Rapid lake ice structure changes across Swedish lakes puts public ice safety at risk.

IF 5.8 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL Ambio Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI:10.1007/s13280-024-02067-8
Kevin Vikström, Gesa Weyhenmeyer, Ellinor Jakobsson, Mark Peternell
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Abstract

Lakes are rapidly losing ice under global warming, but little is known about ice structure changes. Ice structure is a key regulator of ice stability and thus safety, affecting activities on ice. Here, we analysed spatial and temporal variations in ice structure across 21 Swedish lakes, spanning from 55 to 69 °N, and over five decades. We found regional differences in ice structure, with fastest changes occurring in southern Sweden. The stable clear ice layer was particularly sensitive to warming, showing a rapid decline. The number of days when temperatures exceeded the freezing point during the ice cover period was identified as a strong driver for how ice was structured. Since there is a high risk for increased occurrences of unsafe ice conditions under predicted air temperature changes, we recommend re-establishing ice structure monitoring programmes, informing society on the increased risks of being on ice and including ice structure to safety guidelines.

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瑞典湖泊冰层结构的快速变化危及公众的冰上安全。
在全球变暖的影响下,湖泊的冰层正在迅速减少,但人们对冰层结构的变化却知之甚少。冰层结构是冰层稳定性的关键调节因素,因此也是影响冰上活动安全的关键因素。在这里,我们分析了瑞典 21 个湖泊冰层结构的时空变化,这些湖泊位于北纬 55 度到 69 度之间,时间跨度长达五十年。我们发现冰层结构存在区域差异,瑞典南部的冰层结构变化最快。稳定的透明冰层对气候变暖特别敏感,出现了快速下降。在冰覆盖期间,气温超过冰点的天数被认为是冰层结构的一个重要驱动因素。由于在预测的气温变化下,冰层不安全的情况极有可能增加,因此我们建议重新建立冰层结构监测计划,向社会宣传在冰层上的风险增加,并将冰层结构纳入安全指南。
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来源期刊
Ambio
Ambio 环境科学-工程:环境
CiteScore
14.30
自引率
3.10%
发文量
123
审稿时长
6 months
期刊介绍: Explores the link between anthropogenic activities and the environment, Ambio encourages multi- or interdisciplinary submissions with explicit management or policy recommendations. Ambio addresses the scientific, social, economic, and cultural factors that influence the condition of the human environment. Ambio particularly encourages multi- or inter-disciplinary submissions with explicit management or policy recommendations. For more than 45 years Ambio has brought international perspective to important developments in environmental research, policy and related activities for an international readership of specialists, generalists, students, decision-makers and interested laymen.
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