A high hospital frailty risk score indicates an increased risk for complications following surgical treatment of proximal humerus fractures

Abstract

Background

Approximately 70 % of proximal humerus fractures (PHF) occur after the age of 60. High complication rates have been described in correlation with the treatment of PHF. Major risk factors for the outcome might be frailty, mobility and comorbidities of patients at the time of hospital admission. The aim of this study was to create risk adjusted quality indicators for surgical treatment of proximal humerus fractures based on German claims data and to evaluate the impact of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) on risk adjustment.

Methods

Retrospective claims data (2015–2021) were used to create risk adjusted quality indicators for eight outcomes by clustered multivariable logistic regression. The comparison of different risk adjustment model performances was done by ROC-AUC and Standardized Mortality/Morbidity Ratios.

Results

In total, N = 34,912 patients (median age 75 years, 80.3 % female) were included. The most common surgical procedure was open reduction and internal fixation with plate osteosynthesis with 39.7 %, followed by reverse shoulder arthroplasty with 25.3 %. The most influential risk factor for all outcomes was a high HFRS with an Odds Ratio of 2.0 (95 %-Confidence Interval 1.8–2.3) for any secondary surgery (365 days) up to an Odds Ratio of 17.6 (95 %-Confidence Interval 14.9–20.8) for general complications during the index stay.

Conclusion

Comparative quality reporting for the surgical treatment of PHF appears feasible with the developed models for risk adjustment using claims data. Preoperative evaluation of HFRS in PHF can contribute to risk assessment, and individual patient management. It therefore enables personalized treatment decisions.