The role of biodiversity and energy transition in shaping the next techno-economic era

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123700
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Abstract

Destructive extreme weather caused by climate change causes severe biodiversity loss, prompting us to accelerate the energy transition to net-zero emissions to achieve green sustainability goals. Thus, this paper aims to examine the relationship between biodiversity risks and the energy transition. We choose to use four indicators—carbon emissions (COE), the energy financial market (COE), climate policy uncertainty (CPU), and the world production industry (WPI)—to characterize the energy transition process and use newly constructed global biodiversity attention indicator (GBAI) to characterize biodiversity risks. We find a significant feedback relationship between the GBAI and the COE (CPU), which also confirms the close connection between climate and biodiversity. Second, we find a long-term feedback mechanism between the GBAI and COE (CPU\WPI), but only the GBAI and the COE have a feedback mechanism in the short term. Finally, the impact of the GBAI on the COE (CPU) occurs over a short period, while the impact of the COE (WPI) on the GBAI occurs over multiple periods. Therefore, these detectable feedback relationships prompt us to adjust short- and long-term environmentally friendly policies related to climate and carbon emissions.

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生物多样性和能源转型在塑造下一个技术经济时代中的作用
气候变化导致的破坏性极端天气造成了严重的生物多样性损失,促使我们加快向净零排放的能源转型,以实现绿色可持续发展目标。因此,本文旨在研究生物多样性风险与能源转型之间的关系。我们选择使用碳排放(COE)、能源金融市场(COE)、气候政策不确定性(CPU)和世界生产工业(WPI)四个指标来表征能源转型过程,并使用新构建的全球生物多样性关注度指标(GBAI)来表征生物多样性风险。我们发现 GBAI 与 COE(CPU)之间存在明显的反馈关系,这也证实了气候与生物多样性之间的密切联系。其次,我们发现 GBAI 和 COE 之间存在长期反馈机制(CPU/WPI),但只有 GBAI 和 COE 在短期内存在反馈机制。最后,GBAI 对 COE(CPU)的影响发生在短期内,而 COE(WPI)对 GBAI 的影响发生在多个时期。因此,这些可察觉的反馈关系促使我们调整与气候和碳排放有关的短期和长期环境友好政策。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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