Technological Forecasting and Social Change最新文献

英文中文

The adoption of electric vehicles in public transport services: Space, path dependency and embeddedness: The Venice case

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124132

Anna Cabigiosu

The adoption of electric vehicles in public transport will be essential for the transition of the world's economies toward more sustainable mobility. For this reason, we need an in-depth understanding of the variables that affect the choice of a specific electric technology for public transport: successful implementation of electric transport is highly sensitive to operational context and there could be different types of challenges regarding the electrification of public transport in our cities. This study, by analysing the introduction process of fully electric buses and hybrid vaporetti in the Venice Municipality, contributes to the existing debate on EV adoption. The study explores why and how space can generate path dependency and embeddedness moving from an ICE public transport mobility service toward an electrified mobility service and identifies the specific space attributes that affect the adoption of electric vehicles for public transport. Findings help managers and policymakers in understanding which type of technological innovation, why and how, can support sustainable mobility in each place, while at the same time preserving existing service levels. Interestingly, our findings suggest that space availability in cities can generate barriers of entry for fully electric vehicles, especially for most performing vehicles with higher range.

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引用次数: 0

Open social innovation: A systematic literature review and future research agenda

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124160

Jose Nicolas Pacheco , Andreu Turro , David Urbano

Open Social Innovation (OSI) has garnered significant attention in recent years as a collaborative approach to addressing societal challenges. However, the field remains fragmented, with divergent definitions, methods, and theoretical underpinnings across disciplines. Through bibliometric and multi-level content analysis, we analyze 115 studies to address these tensions and propose a systems-based framework that bridges conceptual and practical divides. We map the intellectual structure and synthesize OSI research's antecedents, processes, relationships, and outcomes. Unlike prior reviews focused on particular OSI initiatives (e.g., Living Labs) or single levels of analysis, our study integrates dispersed knowledge to highlight actionable insights for practitioners and policymakers. Finally, our review establishes a thematic agenda for future research, targeting multi-level investigations into OSI drivers, mechanisms, and impacts.

引用次数: 0

How platform enterprises compete through suppliers: the mediation role of supplier value co-creation between digital platform capabilities and competitive advantage

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124142

Yue Liu , Xiumei Zhu , Shengliang Deng

Despite growing research interests in a single enterprise-based competition, the existing literature has primarily focused on the emergency of competitive advantage. The digital platform offers unprecedented opportunities for competition between enterprises, with only a limited understanding of whether, how and when digital platform capabilities affect platform enterprises' competitive advantage. This study investigates how the digital platform capabilities of platform enterprises contribute to their competitive advantages through supplier value co-creation. The study also examines how digital market exploration moderates this relationship. Based on an analysis of 386 valid questionnaires, the results indicate that digital platform capability positively affects platform enterprises' competitive advantage, supplier value co-creation mediates the relationship between digital platform capability and platform enterprises' competitive advantage, and digital market exploration positively moderates the relationship between digital platform capability and supplier value co-creation. The findings of this study contribute to a better understanding of why platform enterprises with digital platform capabilities perform better in building competitive advantage and provide new insights on how a platform enterprise can achieve better competitive advantage to address competitive challenges effectively.

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引用次数: 0

Firewalls or frontlines: Geopolitical tensions and multinationals' digital technology upgrading

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124147

Di Fan , Jiayan Ding , Sihong Wu , Yiyi Su

How do geopolitical tensions affect digital technology upgrading? Digital technology upgrading is widely recognized as a crucial driver of the Industry 4.0 era. As multinational enterprises (MNEs) increasingly seek to absorb or transfer cutting-edge digital technologies from overseas, the recent escalation of geopolitical tensions has introduced substantial uncertainty into this process. Drawing from the techno-geopolitical uncertainty literature in general and the geographic relational view in particular, this study explores how Chinese MNEs are impacted by the rise of geopolitical tensions in their efforts to transform digitally. Our findings reveal that geopolitical tensions between home and host countries adversely impact the digital technology depth and breadth of the focal firm. Also, these relationships are reinforced by the firm's contextual feature – state ownership. Yet the foreign presence of these MNEs positively moderates the relationship between geopolitical tensions and digital technology depth, but the effect is not observed for digital technology breadth. Our exploration of the interrelationships between geopolitical tensions, digital technologies, and firm governance advances the literature and provides practical implications for policymakers and managers in the new era of geopolitics.

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引用次数: 0

Informal intervention, information availability and innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises 国有企业的非正式干预、信息可用性和创新效率

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124149

Yao Wang, Nannan Yu

Innovation management studies have focused on improving innovation efficiency in state-owned enterprises (SOEs). Given the close relationship between government and SOEs, whether government intervention can impact firm innovation efficiency is an interesting question but underexplored. This study introduces a unique form of informal government intervention based on social connections between government leaders and firm managers and examines its impact on innovation efficiency using local SOEs innovation data during the 2008–2019 period. Our findings demonstrate that informal government intervention can enhance SOEs' innovation efficiency, mainly by improving SOEs' information availability. Moreover, the connection-based information availability has greater efficiency-enhancing impacts when the information providers (politicians) possess more external knowledge, and when the information receivers (SOE managers) belong to less technology-intensive industries. These findings illuminate how informal government intervention helps SOEs improve innovation efficiency by reducing agency risks. They also provide valuable policy insights for improving innovation efficiency in SOEs through strengthening institutional arrangements on information transparency.

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引用次数: 0

Social acceptability of innovation: A systematic literature review and future research directions

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124131

Julie Jammes , Pauline Folcher , Gilles N'Goala

Social acceptability of innovation has been a rapidly growing field of study over the past three decades. However, this domain remains characterized by fragmented knowledge, which impedes both theoretical advancements and practical applications. In particular, the absence of a unified framework prevents the integration of diverse perspectives from existing research, limiting our understanding of the mechanisms involved in the innovation evaluation process. To address this gap, this study conducts a systematic literature review (SLR) of 169 studies published between 1989 and 2022 across three databases (Web of Science, ScienceDirect, and Google Scholar). Using the SPAR-4-SLR protocol, we collected, organized, and evaluated the literature. Bibliometric analyses were conducted to map the field, revealing five key themes, which were further examined using the TCCM (Theory-Context-Characteristics-Methodology) framework. This integrated approach provides a unified perspective on the field while paving the way for new directions in future research.

引用次数: 0

The impact of trust-based challenges on user satisfaction in food sharing platforms: A text mining approach

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124159

Ben Krishna , Praveen Puram

Food waste is a pressing ethical and environmental challenge. One-third of all food produced is wasted, while 3 billion people are food insecure. Online food-sharing platforms enable the redistribution of surplus food at a community level. Though highly beneficial, these platforms have not witnessed high usage due to multiple challenges, which includes trust. As stakeholders' trust in food-sharing apps is essential to maintain their patronage, this study attempts to obtain trust-based challenges and assess their impact on user satisfaction through a mixed-method study. Using topic modeling, user reviews from popular food-sharing apps are first analyzed to identify eight challenges that impact user experience. These challenges are then aligned with the dimensions of cognition-based trust, experience-based trust, and personality-oriented trust. Further, hypotheses are formulated and tested using linear regression to assess the impact of these challenges on user experience. This study addresses the topics of food waste and food insecurity, which are related to Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs): SDG-2 (Zero hunger) and SDG-12 (Responsible consumption and production). While some challenges have been explored in the extant literature, others are unique to this study, such as the lack of optimal experience, information quality, perceived privacy, and opportunism. These findings contribute to the food-sharing literature by analyzing user experiences worldwide and assesses trust-related challenges, thereby improving upon the extant literature which mainly explores the motivators, and has a cursory focus on the aspect of ‘trust’. Also, this study informs policy development to address users' trust concerns, thus enhancing food-sharing apps' adoption.

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引用次数: 0

Leveraging eco-innovation and market knowledge for a circular economy transition: Insights from Spanish manufacturing firms

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124152

A. Triguero, D. Córcoles

In this study, we used a panel of Spanish manufacturing companies to explore the influence of external knowledge from market sources in the context of the circular economy. We distinguished among the three groups of innovative firms by their explicit intention to achieve integrated environmental benefits from their innovations (sustainability orientation). This allowed us to classify firms into pro-circular, transition-circular and non-circular economy innovators. Our findings reveal three key contributions to the literature. First, we show that while external knowledge is crucial for driving any type of innovation, pro-circular firms prioritize external partners vertically integrated into their production chain, such as suppliers and customers. Second, we find that the breadth of external knowledge for pro-circular innovators, compared to firms with lower circularity, is less important than explicit cooperation agreements and internal R&D efforts. Third, we expand the understanding of open innovation strategies to increase the adoption of eco-innovations congruent with the circular economy. These insights contribute to the literature by highlighting that not all information sources hold the same level of importance for circular economy innovations. For managers, the results underscore the importance of fostering strong relationships with vertical partners and investing in internal R&D to drive eco-innovation and sustainability.

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引用次数: 0

Defensive routines as coping mechanisms against technostress: roles of digital leadership and employee goal orientation

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124143

Yumei Yang , Saqib Shamim , Alfredo De Massis , Dehua Gao

In today's workplace, the proliferation of digital technologies has transformed work tasks but also led to technostress. This stress, associated with technology use, negatively impacts employees' behavioral outcomes and performance. Despite these effects, research on coping strategies for technostress and mitigation methods for individuals and organizations remains limited. This study utilizes the transactional theory of stress and coping to analyze the process of technostress, specifically focusing on defensive routines as a coping mechanism and technology-enabled performance as an outcome. Additionally, the study draws on Job-Demand Resource model to examine two critical moderators: employees' goal orientations and digital leadership. To gather data, we collected multisource data from 221 salespeople and their line managers in Pakistan. The results demonstrate that defensive routines act as a mediator between technostress creators and technology-enabled performance. Furthermore, we found that digital leadership plays a buffering role, alleviating the negative impact of technostress creators on technology-enabled performance. This research significantly contributes to the existing theories on technostress and routine dynamics.

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引用次数: 0

Navigating the business model design space: A case of insects as food and feed in Sweden

IF 12.9 1区管理学 Q1 BUSINESS

Technological Forecasting and Social Change

Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2025.124148

Linus Thomson , Chattraporn Chatthong , Thomas Taro Lennerfors

Business model innovation (BMI) plays a key role in driving sustainability transitions, yet its interplay with the broader socio-technical system is often overlooked. This study investigates BMI in the emerging niche of insect-based food and feed in Sweden, employing a combined Business Model Design Space (BMDS) and dynamic capabilities perspective. Drawing on interviews with ten insect firms, we examine how firm-level dynamic capabilities shape BMI strategies and interact with the BMDS. Our findings show that firms adopt different strategies to navigate the opportunities and constraints they perceive within the BMDS. We introduce a novel typology that outlines how firms perceive and respond to the BMDS through two dimensions: BMDS Sensing (systematic & intuitive) and BMDS Enactment (fit-and-conform & stretch-and-transform). This typology identifies four distinct BMI seizing modes: Analytical Adaptation, Analytical Shaping, Instinctive Adaptation, and Instinctive Shaping, highlighting how firms interpret and enact the BMDS through BMI. By integrating dynamic capabilities theory with the BMDS framework, we address the gap of accounting for varied perceptions of the BMDS among different actors. We show how firms exercise strategic agency in shaping and responding to system-level dynamics, offering new theoretical insights that bridge firm-level and system-level perspectives on BMI within emerging niches.

商业模式创新（BMI）在推动可持续发展转型方面发挥着关键作用，但它与更广泛的社会技术系统之间的相互作用却常常被忽视。本研究采用商业模式设计空间（BMDS）和动态能力相结合的视角，调查了瑞典以昆虫为基础的食品和饲料这一新兴利基市场的商业模式创新。通过对十家昆虫公司的访谈，我们研究了公司层面的动态能力如何形成 BMI 战略并与 BMDS 相互影响。我们的研究结果表明，企业采用不同的战略来驾驭它们在 BMDS 中感知到的机遇和限制。我们引入了一种新的类型学，通过两个维度概述了企业如何感知和应对 BMDS：BMDS 感知（系统性和直观性）和 BMDS 执行（适应和顺应以及伸展和变革）。这种类型学确定了四种不同的 BMI 抓住模式：分析性适应、分析性塑造、本能性适应和本能性塑造，突出了企业如何通过 BMI 来解释和实施 BMDS。通过将动态能力理论与 BMDS 框架相结合，我们解决了不同参与者对 BMDS 的不同认知的问题。我们展示了企业如何行使战略代理权来塑造和应对系统层面的动态，从而提供了新的理论见解，将企业层面和系统层面的视角联系在一起，探讨新兴利基市场中的企业管理机制。

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引用次数: 0

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Technological Forecasting and Social Change

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