A comprehensive review of the impacts of climate change on agriculture in Thailand

Muhammad Waqas , Adila Naseem , Usa Wannasingha Humphries , Phyo Thandar Hlaing , Muhammad Shoaib , Sarfraz Hashim
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Abstract

The agricultural sector is vulnerable to climate change (CC). Various climate-related extremes, such as droughts, heat waves, unpredictable rainfall patterns, storms, floods, and an increase in insect pests, have adversely affected farmers' livelihoods. Climate forecasts indicate a significant increase in temperatures and more inconsistent, extreme rainfall, obfuscating the prediction of extreme weather events. The IPCC projects that by the end of the 21st century, temperatures in Thailand will rise by 0.95 ​°C–3.23 ​°C. This study aims to review the current understanding of CC's impact on the agricultural sector and evaluate the adaptation measures being employed in Thailand. Farmers have begun adopting adaptive measures such as alternative farming techniques, crop diversification, and water management strategies to mitigate climate risks and maintain productivity. However, limited resources, knowledge gaps, and insufficient government support hinder widespread adoption. Targeted interventions and policy support are essential for enhancing adaptive capacity and resilience. The impacts on crop water requirements and livelihoods reveal vulnerabilities due to extreme weather events. Rain-fed agriculture faces significant yield declines and reduced crop water productivity, exacerbating economic impacts on rural households and leading to food insecurity and financial instability. Effective adaptation requires enhanced water management, sustainable practices, and improved institutional support. Community engagement and participatory approaches are vital for building resilience against CC impacts. Comprehensive, region-specific, and long-term studies are crucial for developing robust adaptive strategies.

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全面审查气候变化对泰国农业的影响
农业部门很容易受到气候变化(CC)的影响。各种与气候有关的极端事件,如干旱、热浪、不可预测的降雨模式、风暴、洪水和虫害的增加,都对农民的生计产生了不利影响。气候预测显示,气温将大幅上升,极端降雨量将更加不稳定,从而使极端天气事件的预测变得模糊不清。政府间气候变化专门委员会预测,到 21 世纪末,泰国气温将上升 0.95 ℃-3.23 ℃。本研究旨在回顾目前对气候变化对农业部门影响的认识,并评估泰国正在采用的适应措施。农民已开始采取适应措施,如替代耕作技术、作物多样化和水资源管理策略,以减轻气候风险并保持生产力。然而,有限的资源、知识差距和政府支持不足阻碍了这些措施的广泛采用。有针对性的干预措施和政策支持对于提高适应能力和复原力至关重要。对作物需水量和生计的影响揭示了极端天气事件造成的脆弱性。雨水灌溉农业面临产量大幅下降和作物水分生产率降低的问题,这加剧了对农村家庭的经济影响,并导致粮食不安全和金融不稳定。有效的适应需要加强水资源管理、采取可持续的做法和改善机构支持。社区参与和参与式方法对于建设抵御气候变化影响的能力至关重要。全面、针对具体地区的长期研究对于制定强有力的适应战略至关重要。
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