Exploring cultural futures: Dimensions of projectivity as a methodological lens for narrative analysis

IF 3 3区 管理学 Q1 ECONOMICS Futures Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI:10.1016/j.futures.2024.103445
Ulrike Ehgartner , Daniel Welch
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Abstract

This paper discusses the applicability of the cultural sociologist Ann Mische’s (2009) nine “dimensions of projectivity”, or modes of orientation to the future, as methodological tools for narrative analysis to identify cultural formations of future orientation. Future orientation is understood here on the level of cultural regularities, rather than individual cognition. The paper discusses the exploratory process of operationalising Mische’s dimensions on texts produced by the volunteer panel of the Mass Observation Project (MOP) on the topic of ‘Futures of Consumption’. We explore how the difficulties encountered were addressed to utilise the dimensions for analysis. This exploratory process led to the classification of these dimensions into three categories, which specify their methodological utility. Firstly, literary components, suitable to analyse projectivity in professionally produced future narrations, such as corporate or NGO reports. Secondly, cognitive competences, suitable to study texts for the capacity for future thinking they demonstrate. And thirdly, formative orientations: the implicit, cultural repertoires from which actors construct their orientations to the future. The latter proved operationalizable in the analysis of the MOP data to identify cultural formations of future orientation. The paper provides a nuanced understanding of the application and utility of methodological tools for the study of future orientation.

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探索文化未来:作为叙事分析方法透镜的投射性维度
本文讨论了文化社会学家安-米什(Ann Mische,2009 年)提出的九个 "预测维度"(或未来取向模式)作为叙事分析方法工具的适用性,以确定未来取向的文化形态。本文从文化规律的层面而非个人认知的层面来理解未来取向。本文讨论了在大众观察项目(MOP)志愿者小组就 "消费的未来 "这一主题所撰写的文本中运用 Mische 的维度的探索过程。我们探讨了如何解决遇到的困难,以便利用这些维度进行分析。在这一探索过程中,我们将这些维度分为三类,具体说明了它们在方法论上的用途。首先,文学要素,适用于分析企业或非政府组织报告等专业制作的未来叙述中的项目性。第二,认知能力,适用于研究文本所展示的未来思维能力。第三,形成性取向:行动者构建其未来取向的隐性文化复制品。在分析澳门威尼斯人线上网址数据以确定未来取向的文化形式时,后者被证明是可操作的。本文对研究未来取向的方法工具的应用和效用提供了细致入微的理解。
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来源期刊
Futures
Futures Multiple-
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
10.00%
发文量
124
期刊介绍: Futures is an international, refereed, multidisciplinary journal concerned with medium and long-term futures of cultures and societies, science and technology, economics and politics, environment and the planet and individuals and humanity. Covering methods and practices of futures studies, the journal seeks to examine possible and alternative futures of all human endeavours. Futures seeks to promote divergent and pluralistic visions, ideas and opinions about the future. The editors do not necessarily agree with the views expressed in the pages of Futures
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