Modelling the nexus between green energy, agricultural production, forest cover, and population growth towards climate change for the transition towards a green economy

IF 4.7 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Environment, Development and Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI:10.1007/s10668-024-05385-9
Karambir Singh Dhayal, David Forgenie, Arun Kumar Giri, Nikmatul Khoiriyah, Wendy-Ann P. Isaac
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Abstract

India’s rapid industrialisation and burgeoning population have positioned the nation as a leading global carbon dioxide emitter primarily responsible for climate change. This study delves into various critical factors driving emissions and proposes actionable strategies for a sustainable green economy. This study examines the impact of the energy mix (comprising fossil fuel usage and green energy consumption), forest cover, population, and agricultural production towards carbon emissions (CO2) in India from 1990 to 2019. This study makes use of the autoregressive distributed lagged model and co-integration analysis. The study also uses the Toda and Yamamoto causality test to explore causal relationships among variables. While green energy shows potential for CO2 reduction, further efforts are needed to promote its use. The present study necessitates several urgent and robust policy interventions, including transitioning to clean energy, enforcing afforestation initiatives, managing population growth sustainably, and promoting eco-friendly agricultural practices. These measures are essential for balancing economic growth with environmental sustainability, aligning with India’s commitment to meeting the sustainable development goals.

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模拟绿色能源、农业生产、森林覆盖率和人口增长与气候变化之间的关系,向绿色经济过渡
印度快速的工业化和不断增长的人口使其成为全球主要的二氧化碳排放国,对气候变化负有主要责任。本研究深入探讨了导致排放的各种关键因素,并提出了可持续绿色经济的可行战略。本研究探讨了 1990 年至 2019 年印度的能源组合(包括化石燃料使用和绿色能源消耗)、森林覆盖率、人口和农业生产对碳排放(CO2)的影响。本研究使用了自回归分布滞后模型和协整分析。研究还使用了 Toda 和 Yamamoto 因果检验来探讨变量之间的因果关系。虽然绿色能源显示出减少二氧化碳排放的潜力,但仍需进一步努力推广其使用。本研究认为有必要采取几项紧迫而有力的政策干预措施,包括向清洁能源过渡、实施植树造林计划、可持续地管理人口增长以及推广生态友好型农业实践。这些措施对于平衡经济增长与环境可持续性至关重要,符合印度实现可持续发展目标的承诺。
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来源期刊
Environment, Development and Sustainability
Environment, Development and Sustainability Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics and Econometrics
CiteScore
10.20
自引率
6.10%
发文量
754
期刊介绍: Environment, Development and Sustainability is an international and multidisciplinary journal covering all aspects of the environmental impacts of socio-economic development. It is also concerned with the complex interactions which occur between development and environment, and its purpose is to seek ways and means for achieving sustainability in all human activities aimed at such development. The subject matter of the journal includes the following and related issues: -mutual interactions among society, development and environment, and their implications for sustainable development -technical, economic, ethical and philosophical aspects of sustainable development -global sustainability - the obstacles and ways in which they could be overcome -local and regional sustainability initiatives, their practical implementation, and relevance for use in a wider context -development and application of indicators of sustainability -development, verification, implementation and monitoring of policies for sustainable development -sustainable use of land, water, energy and biological resources in development -impacts of agriculture and forestry activities on soil and aquatic ecosystems and biodiversity -effects of energy use and global climate change on development and sustainability -impacts of population growth and human activities on food and other essential resources for development -role of national and international agencies, and of international aid and trade arrangements in sustainable development -social and cultural contexts of sustainable development -role of education and public awareness in sustainable development -role of political and economic instruments in sustainable development -shortcomings of sustainable development and its alternatives.
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