The nonlinear economy (I): How resource constrains lead to business cycles

Frank Schweitzer, Giona Casiraghi
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Abstract

We explore the nonlinear dynamics of a macroeconomic model with resource constraints. The dynamics is derived from a production function that considers capital and a generalized form of energy as inputs. Energy, the new variable, is depleted during the production process and has to be renewed, whereas capital grows with production and decreases from depreciation. Dependent on time scales and energy related control parameters, we obtain steady states of high or low production, but also sustained oscillations that show properties of business cycles. We also find conditions for the coexistence of stable fixed points and limit cycles. Our model allows to specify investment and saving functions for Kaldor's model of business cycles. We provide evidence for an endogenous origin of business cycles if depleting resources are taken into account.
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非线性经济(I):资源约束如何导致商业周期
我们探讨了一个具有资源约束的宏观经济模型的非线性动态。该动态源于一个生产函数,该函数将资本和广义形式的能源视为投入。能源是一个新变量,在生产过程中会消耗殆尽,必须更新。根据时间尺度和与能源相关的控制参数,我们可以得到高产或低产的稳定状态,也可以得到显示商业周期特性的持续振荡。我们还发现了稳定定点和极限周期共存的条件。我们的模型可以为卡尔多的商业周期模型指定投资和储蓄函数。如果将耗竭资源考虑在内,我们将为商业周期的内生性起源提供证据。
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