The empirical evidence of digital trends in more disadvantaged European Union regions in terms of income and population density

IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Journal of Regional Science Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI:10.1111/jors.12729
Anna Garashchuk, Fernando Isla‐Castillo, Pablo Podadera‐Rivera
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Abstract

Remote rural and postindustrial regions are much more vulnerable to population drain in comparison with industrialized centers and capitals, due to obvious reasons such as meager job opportunities, difficulties in accessing public services in education, healthcare and transport, housing, entertainment, lack of integration with other territories and, finally, less advanced levels of digitalization. This represents an open challenge for the European Union within the framework of its Cohesion Policy. This paper analyzes the impact of digital trends, represented by the percentage of the population with access to internet and broadband and the percentage of individuals who buy goods and internet services (percentages provided by Eurostat) in less populated EU NUTS2 regions with lower income, on the crude population growth rate composed of natural changes in population and migratory flows and on the unemployment rate by applying panel data analysis. It has been possible to confirm that digitalization has a positive impact on natural changes in population in EU regions with lower economic development. On the contrary, the unemployment rate does not affect natural changes in population, but it does have a negative impact on migratory flows. The findings show that digitalization may contribute to reversing negative demographic trends in more disadvantaged EU regions in terms of income and population density.
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欧盟收入和人口密度较低地区数字化趋势的经验证据
与工业化中心和首都相比,偏远农村和后工业化地区更容易受到人口外流的影响,原因显而易见,如就业机会少,难以获得教育、医疗保健和交通、住房、娱乐等方面的公共服务,缺乏与其他地区的融合,以及数字化水平较低等。这是欧盟在其凝聚政策框架内面临的一个公开挑战。本文通过面板数据分析,分析了在人口较少、收入较低的欧盟 NUTS2 地区,数字化趋势(以接入互联网和宽带的人口比例以及购买商品和互联网服务的个人比例(欧盟统计局提供的百分比)为代表)对由人口自然变化和移民流构成的粗人口增长率以及失业率的影响。在经济发展水平较低的欧盟地区,数字化对人口自然变化产生了积极影响。相反,失业率不会影响人口的自然变化,但会对移民潮产生负面影响。研究结果表明,在收入和人口密度方面较为落后的欧盟地区,数字化可能有助于扭转不利的人口趋势。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.90
自引率
6.70%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Journal of Regional Science (JRS) publishes original analytical research at the intersection of economics and quantitative geography. Since 1958, the JRS has published leading contributions to urban and regional thought including rigorous methodological contributions and seminal theoretical pieces. The JRS is one of the most highly cited journals in urban and regional research, planning, geography, and the environment. The JRS publishes work that advances our understanding of the geographic dimensions of urban and regional economies, human settlements, and policies related to cities and regions.
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