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The empirical evidence of digital trends in more disadvantaged European Union regions in terms of income and population density 欧盟收入和人口密度较低地区数字化趋势的经验证据
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12729
Anna Garashchuk, Fernando Isla‐Castillo, Pablo Podadera‐Rivera
Remote rural and postindustrial regions are much more vulnerable to population drain in comparison with industrialized centers and capitals, due to obvious reasons such as meager job opportunities, difficulties in accessing public services in education, healthcare and transport, housing, entertainment, lack of integration with other territories and, finally, less advanced levels of digitalization. This represents an open challenge for the European Union within the framework of its Cohesion Policy. This paper analyzes the impact of digital trends, represented by the percentage of the population with access to internet and broadband and the percentage of individuals who buy goods and internet services (percentages provided by Eurostat) in less populated EU NUTS2 regions with lower income, on the crude population growth rate composed of natural changes in population and migratory flows and on the unemployment rate by applying panel data analysis. It has been possible to confirm that digitalization has a positive impact on natural changes in population in EU regions with lower economic development. On the contrary, the unemployment rate does not affect natural changes in population, but it does have a negative impact on migratory flows. The findings show that digitalization may contribute to reversing negative demographic trends in more disadvantaged EU regions in terms of income and population density.
与工业化中心和首都相比,偏远农村和后工业化地区更容易受到人口外流的影响,原因显而易见,如就业机会少,难以获得教育、医疗保健和交通、住房、娱乐等方面的公共服务,缺乏与其他地区的融合,以及数字化水平较低等。这是欧盟在其凝聚政策框架内面临的一个公开挑战。本文通过面板数据分析,分析了在人口较少、收入较低的欧盟 NUTS2 地区,数字化趋势(以接入互联网和宽带的人口比例以及购买商品和互联网服务的个人比例(欧盟统计局提供的百分比)为代表)对由人口自然变化和移民流构成的粗人口增长率以及失业率的影响。在经济发展水平较低的欧盟地区,数字化对人口自然变化产生了积极影响。相反,失业率不会影响人口的自然变化,但会对移民潮产生负面影响。研究结果表明,在收入和人口密度方面较为落后的欧盟地区,数字化可能有助于扭转不利的人口趋势。
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引用次数: 0
The geography of intergenerational mobility in Norway: Labor market diversity, career opportunities, and gender 挪威代际流动的地理分布:劳动力市场多样性、职业机会和性别
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-29 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12731
Lena Magnusson Turner, Terje Wessel
We investigate intergenerational income mobility across labor market regions in Norway, looking at gender differences in response to industrial diversity. Our identification strategy exploits variation in the timing of regional migration, measured over the age spans 6−19 and 13−19 years. We make extensive use of fixed effects so that each region only affects adult outcomes, measured as income rank, through differences in exposure time. Our results reveal significantly larger exposure effects among daughters than among sons. The difference is particularly large when we contrast sons to fathers and daughters to mothers, but it is also apparent when we place sons and daughters, respectively, fathers and mothers, in the same distribution. We further find that industrial diversity, and thus the range of job opportunities, matters most during the teenage years. The patterns are, to some extent, detectible on maps, for example, with better mobility opportunities for men in coastal regions based on maritime and/or marine specialization. We conclude with assessments, a recommendation for regional policy, and some international considerations.
我们研究了挪威劳动力市场地区间的代际收入流动性,探讨了性别差异对产业多样性的影响。我们的识别策略利用了地区迁移时间的变化,以6-19岁和13-19岁的年龄跨度来衡量。我们广泛使用了固定效应,从而使每个地区仅通过接触时间的差异来影响成年后的结果(以收入排名衡量)。我们的结果显示,女儿的接触效应明显大于儿子。当我们将儿子与父亲、女儿与母亲进行对比时,这种差异尤为明显,但当我们将儿子和女儿、父亲和母亲分别置于相同的分布中时,这种差异也很明显。我们还发现,在青少年时期,行业多样性以及工作机会的范围最为重要。这种模式在一定程度上可以在地图上发现,例如,在沿海地区,男性在海事和/或海洋专业领域有更好的流动机会。最后,我们将进行评估,为地区政策提出建议,并考虑一些国际因素。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and real estate: An introduction to the special issue 气候变化与房地产:特刊导言
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12728
Edward Coulson, Juan Palacios, Siqi Zheng
<p>Climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of natural disasters, putting tens of millions of real estate properties at significant physical and financial risk. A recent climate change assessment by the Biden administration estimates that extreme weather events cost the United States approximately $150 billion in direct damages annually (USGCRP, <span>2023</span>).1 In addition to imposing a substantial welfare cost on property owners, mounting risks could threaten the stability of the property market, financial sector, and macroeconomy itself. At the same time, the real estate and building sector consumes around one-third of the world's energy annually and is responsible for a similar share of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Given its volume, reducing emissions from the sector is central to achieving the pledged net-zero goals of nations.</p><p>Real estate investors are increasingly putting sustainability at the center of their decision-making processes, given the close association between climate risk and real estate assets, both of which are location-based. In the meantime, more stringent building decarbonization regulations are putting pressure on real estate owners and investors, who must invest heavily to retrofit their buildings or pay “carbon penalties” and see their assets lose value. In recognition of the real estate sector's vulnerability and its contribution to climate change, the MIT Inaugural Climate and Real Estate Symposium was held on the MIT campus on December 4 and 5, 2022. Sponsored by the MIT Center for Real Estate, the conference brought together some of the leading experts on the interface of real estate markets and their reaction and adaptation to climate change. Academic, policy, and industry experts convened to listen to and discuss the leading research in this area.</p><p>The <i>Journal of Regional Science</i> is pleased to publish this special issue, consisting of five papers from that conference. Edited by Juan Palacios of Maastricht University and MIT (assisted by Siqi Zheng and Ed Coulson), the papers have been vetted through the conference discussions as well as the journal's standard refereeing process. The contributors include some of the leading scholars in the area of sustainable real estate, and the papers represent a broad set of analyses on important issues in this field:</p><p>Le (<span>2024</span>) sheds light on the dynamics of residential markets following Hurricane Sandy, and factors explaining the price recovery. The estimates show that remodeling expenditures are responsible for the return of prices to pre-storm levels, rather than changes in risk perception. In addition, the author documents an increase in flood insurance take-up rates in affected areas outside of floodplains after the hurricane.</p><p>On the other hand, the increasing availability of green finance instruments offers a promising set of solutions to transform real estate into a more resilient and environmentally friend
Ling 等人(2023 年)探讨了气候风险从房地产向上市股票市场的传导。作者估计,当地房地产市场受到的气候冲击会导致美国上市房地产投资信托基金(REITs)的季度股票回报率下降 0.2-1.4 个百分点。这两篇论文都表明,在气候风险面前,债务和股票市场可能是脆弱的。这五篇论文共同构成了对房地产和气候风险研究的宝贵贡献。更重要的是,特刊编辑希望这些论文能促进对这些问题的进一步研究,并有助于研究成果的传播。这对我们通过支持房地产行业、建筑环境和整个经济领域的气候行动--包括减缓和适应干预措施--来应对气候挑战的努力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Out‐of‐area home purchase and U.S. internal migration 地区外购房和美国国内移民
IF 3 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-26 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12730
Minghao Li, Pengfei Liu, Chuan Tang
This study demonstrates that out‐of‐area (OOA) property transactions can serve as a proxy for migration. Using micro‐level transaction data, we document that about 35% of migrants make OOA property purchases. The goodness‐of‐fit between migration and OOA purchases is higher for aggregate migration measures and lower for migration flows between disaggregated areas. Furthermore, in most specifications, a one percent increase in OOA purchases is associated with an approximately one percent increase in migration. We characterize the monthly out‐migration from NYC zip codes to surrounding areas after the outbreak of the COVID‐19 pandemic to demonstrate the high temporal and spatial resolution of OOA transaction data.
本研究表明,区外(OOA)房产交易可以作为移民的替代指标。利用微观层面的交易数据,我们记录了约 35% 的移民购买了海外房地产。对于总体移民措施而言,移民与 OOA 购买之间的拟合优度较高,而对于分类地区之间的移民流而言,两者之间的拟合优度较低。此外,在大多数情况下,OOA 购买量每增加 1%,移民人数就会增加约 1%。我们描述了 COVID-19 大流行爆发后从纽约市邮政编码向周边地区的月度外迁情况,以展示 OOA 交易数据的高时空分辨率。
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引用次数: 0
We're not in dreamland anymore: The consequences of community opioid use on local industrial composition 我们不再身处梦境社区使用阿片类药物对当地工业构成的影响
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12727
W. Scott Langford, Maryann P. Feldman

We estimate the effect of opioid use rates on local economic resilience through changes in industrial composition. We find regional opioid use rates adversely affect firm growth in general, with the greatest impact on small firms. Our results are robust to several identification strategies (Difference in Differences, Propensity Score Matching, and Instrumental Variables) and alternative empirical specifications. Our findings establish that local industrial composition and long-term resilience are each adversely affected by the opioid public health crisis.

我们通过产业构成的变化来估算阿片类药物使用率对当地经济恢复能力的影响。我们发现,地区阿片类药物使用率总体上对企业增长产生了不利影响,对小型企业的影响最大。我们的研究结果在多种识别策略(差分法、倾向得分匹配法和工具变量法)和其他经验规格下都是稳健的。我们的研究结果表明,阿片类药物公共卫生危机对当地产业构成和长期恢复能力都产生了不利影响。
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引用次数: 0
What contributes to rising inequality in large cities? 是什么导致了大城市不平等现象的加剧?
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12725
Luis Ayala, Javier Martín-Román, Juan Vicente

This paper aims to analyze the trends in income inequality in large cities within a selected sample of OECD countries. Specifically, we consider a set of individual characteristics that account for changes in the income distribution and estimate their contribution to differences in inequality in large cities over the last two decades. We use a combination of reweighting techniques and recentered influence functions (RIF) to detect an upward trend in inequality within large cities. This result is mainly driven by changes in the returns to endowments rather than by changes in its distribution. Our findings suggest that these results are not of the same magnitude across the countries analyzed. A key finding is that the contribution to inequality of the skill premium is considerably higher in North American countries than in European countries.

本文旨在分析经合组织国家大城市收入不平等的趋势。具体而言,我们考虑了一组能反映收入分配变化的个体特征,并估算了它们在过去二十年间对大城市不平等差异的贡献。我们结合使用了重新加权技术和重定向影响函数 (RIF),发现大城市内部的不平等呈上升趋势。这一结果主要是由禀赋回报的变化而非禀赋分布的变化所驱动的。我们的研究结果表明,在所分析的国家中,这些结果的程度并不相同。一个关键的发现是,北美国家的技能溢价对不平等的贡献大大高于欧洲国家。
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引用次数: 0
The drivers of intra- and interregional labor mobility over the industry life cycle of the high-tech sector 高科技产业生命周期中区域内和区域间劳动力流动的驱动因素
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-08 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12724
Jaakko Simonen, Philip McCann, Santtu Karhinen, Rauli Svento

In this article, we analyze how industry- and region-specific characteristics influence individual-level decisions on mobility within and between regions during the life cycle of the industry. Using uniquely detailed panel-type data from the Finnish high technology sector, our analysis demonstrates that the influence of different regional features varies for different types of job changes and labor mobility and also according to the industry life cycle. We find that the classic agglomeration-type arguments regarding labor search and matching only really operate in the early growth stages of an industry life cycle. These patterns change throughout the various stages of the industry life cycle, although in quite different ways according to different factors, and understanding how these patterns change helps to provide a richer understanding of the labor market roles of agglomeration and clustering.

在这篇文章中,我们分析了在行业生命周期内,行业和地区特征如何影响个人在地区内和地区间的流动决策。通过使用芬兰高科技行业独一无二的详细面板型数据,我们的分析表明,对于不同类型的工作变动和劳动力流动,不同地区特征的影响也各不相同,而且还取决于行业生命周期。我们发现,有关劳动力搜索和匹配的经典集聚型论点只有在产业生命周期的早期增长阶段才能真正发挥作用。这些模式在产业生命周期的各个阶段都会发生变化,尽管根据不同的因素,变化的方式大不相同。
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引用次数: 0
Good intentions gone awry: Rail lines and inner-city development 好心办了坏事:铁路线与市内发展
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12726
Tianshi Sun, Zhicheng Xu, Mingyue Wang, Xiuyan Liu

This study explored the impact of transportation systems in urban areas on economic activity. We examined the effect of traditional Chinese railway construction fencing on urban spatial development using nighttime luminance and railway data from prefecture-level cities. The study found that the fencing effect exacerbated uneven development on either side of the railway, especially in economically underdeveloped areas. These results were supported by different measures of development and a placebo test. The fencing effect was also found to affect the location of newly registered firms and the total factor productivity of industrial firms, leading to unbalanced growth on either side of the railway.

本研究探讨了城市地区交通系统对经济活动的影响。我们利用地级市的夜间亮度和铁路数据,研究了中国传统铁路建设围栏对城市空间发展的影响。研究发现,围栏效应加剧了铁路两侧的不均衡发展,尤其是在经济欠发达地区。这些结果得到了不同发展衡量标准和安慰剂测试的支持。研究还发现,围栏效应影响了新注册企业的所在地和工业企业的全要素生产率,导致铁路两侧的发展不平衡。
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引用次数: 0
Unintended distortion of regulating water use: Evidence from China 用水监管的意外扭曲:来自中国的证据
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-29 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12721
Hua Zhong

The Chinese government has been using water efficiency targets to manage commercial, institutional, and industrial water use across the country. This paper argues that water efficiency targets may influence provincial administrators’ preferences in tightening water regulation in cities with higher water use while disproportionately overregulating water use in productive cities to satisfy their efficiency goals. I develop a city-level production model with water regulation preferences and show that the unintended distortion of water regulation in response to water efficiency targets leads to efficiency loss of resource allocation and further reshapes regional output across cities, especially for productive cities. Using a sample of city-level water data from 2006 to 2016 in China, this paper empirically investigates the impact of the Three Red Lines (TRL) policy on provincial administrators’ preferences in water use regulation. The results indicate that the elasticity of water regulation in response to the policy is approximately −0.64 to −0.8 and has resulted in tighter water regulations for cities with higher economic outputs. Quantitatively, eliminating water distortions would reshape water use across cities and increase the aggregate output of an entire province by up to 0.069%. The results imply that possible consequences of the political consideration of provincial administrators in satisfying water efficiency targets include inefficiency and inequality in water allocation.

中国政府一直采用用水效率目标来管理全国的商业、机构和工业用水。本文认为,用水效率目标可能会影响省级管理者的偏好,即在用水量较大的城市加强水监管,而在用水量较高的城市过度监管用水,以满足其效率目标。我建立了一个具有水监管偏好的城市级生产模型,结果表明,为应对用水效率目标而进行的水监管的意外扭曲会导致资源配置的效率损失,并进一步重塑各城市的地区产出,尤其是生产性城市的产出。本文利用中国 2006 年至 2016 年的城市级水资源数据样本,实证研究了三条红线(TRL)政策对省级行政官员用水监管偏好的影响。结果表明,用水监管对政策的响应弹性约为-0.64 至-0.8,并导致经济产出较高的城市用水监管更加严格。从数量上看,消除用水扭曲将重塑各城市的用水方式,并使整个省份的总产出增加最多 0.069%。研究结果表明,省级管理者为满足用水效率目标而进行的政治考量可能会导致用水效率低下和水资源分配不均。
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引用次数: 0
The role of public social expenditure for mitigating local income inequality: An investigation across spatial scales in Austria 公共社会支出在缓解地方收入不平等方面的作用:奥地利跨空间尺度调查
IF 3.2 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-24 DOI: 10.1111/jors.12722
Tatjana Neuhuber, Antonia E. Schneider

This paper investigates the role of municipal and provincial public social spending for local income inequality after taxes and transfers in Austria. We utilize a spatial multi-level model, which allows us to analyze the contribution of three spatial scales (municipal, district, and provincial level) to municipal income inequality. Our analysis shows that the effect of public social spending on local Gini indices does not only differ across provinces but also across municipalities which indicates that the potential cushioning effect of social expenditure is highly localized. Further splitting total public social expenditure into three distinct categories (education, health, social protection) reveals that spending on social protection has the highest effect on local inequality across all provinces, while health spending does not exert a discernible influence in any province. The method and results presented in this paper are of international interest for policymakers and researchers who aim to investigate whether the same patterns hold true in other countries.

本文研究了奥地利在税收和转移支付之后,市级和省级公共社会支出对当地收入不平等的影响。我们利用空间多层次模型,分析了三个空间尺度(市级、县级和省级)对市级收入不平等的影响。我们的分析表明,公共社会支出对当地基尼系数的影响不仅在各省之间存在差异,在各市之间也存在差异,这表明社会支出的潜在缓冲作用具有高度的地方性。进一步将公共社会总支出分为三个不同的类别(教育、医疗卫生、社会保障),可以发现社会保障支出对各省地方不平等的影响最大,而医疗卫生支出在各省都没有明显的影响。本文介绍的方法和结果在国际上引起了决策者和研究人员的兴趣,他们希望研究其他国家是否也存在同样的模式。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Regional Science
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