Air Transport Resilience, Tourism and Its Impact on Economic Growth

IF 2.1 Q2 ECONOMICS Economies Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI:10.3390/economies12090236
Chien-Van Nguyen
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Abstract

The aims of this study are to evaluate the influence of air transport and tourism on economic growth in selected Southeast Asian countries such as Thailand, Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore in the period 1970 to 2021. The study applies the ordinary least squares (OLS), fixed effects (FEM), and random effects (REM), especially to robustness test of the research results by deploying the DOLS, and IV-GMM regression for endogeneity and autocorrelation analysis. The research results confirmed that air transport has a significant and positive impact on economic growth, especially because the positive impact increased in normal economic conditions and decreased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Therefore, if the air transport recovers, it is likely to boost economic development. In addition, there is no impact of tourism on economic growth. The research results also confirmed the positive impact of foreign direct investment and international trade on the economic growth of Southeast Asian countries; however, there is a negative impact of renewable energy consumption on economic growth.
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航空运输复原力、旅游业及其对经济增长的影响
本研究旨在评估 1970 年至 2021 年期间航空运输和旅游业对泰国、菲律宾、越南、印度尼西亚、马来西亚和新加坡等部分东南亚国家经济增长的影响。研究运用了普通最小二乘法(OLS)、固定效应(FEM)和随机效应(REM),特别是通过运用 DOLS 和 IV-GMM 回归进行内生性和自相关性分析,对研究结果进行了稳健性检验。研究结果证实,航空运输对经济增长有显著的正向影响,特别是在正常经济条件下,正向影响增加,而在 COVID-19 大流行期间,正向影响减少。因此,如果航空运输恢复,很可能会促进经济发展。此外,旅游业对经济增长没有影响。研究结果还证实,外国直接投资和国际贸易对东南亚国家的经济增长有积极影响;但可再生能源消费对经济增长有消极影响。
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来源期刊
Economies
Economies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
11.50%
发文量
271
审稿时长
11 weeks
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