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Investigating the Drivers of Firm Internationalisation: A Fuzzy Set Analysis Using Global Entrepreneurship Development Index Data 调查企业国际化的驱动因素:利用全球创业发展指数数据进行模糊集分析
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090252
Takawira Munyaradzi Ndofirepi
Firm internationalisation, a key driver of global economic growth, is influenced by various entrepreneurial resources. This study explores the relationships between human capital, risk capital, risk acceptance, opportunity perception, and firm internationalisation using cross-national data from the Global Entrepreneurship Development Index (GEDI). Employing fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (fsQCA), this study analyzes data from 137 countries. The findings highlight two primary configurations driving internationalisation: (1) risk acceptance and opportunity perception, and (2) risk capital and opportunity perception. Opportunity perception emerges as a critical factor in both configurations, while human capital is not found to be a necessary condition. These results contribute to a better understanding of the factors that foster firm internationalisation and inform policies aimed at promoting global entrepreneurial ecosystems.
企业国际化是全球经济增长的重要推动力,受到各种创业资源的影响。本研究利用全球创业发展指数(GEDI)的跨国数据,探讨了人力资本、风险资本、风险接受度、机会感知与企业国际化之间的关系。本研究采用模糊集定性比较分析法(fsQCA),分析了来自 137 个国家的数据。研究结果突出了推动国际化的两个主要配置:(1) 风险接受度和机会感知,以及 (2) 风险资本和机会感知。在这两种配置中,机会认知都是关键因素,而人力资本并不是必要条件。这些结果有助于更好地理解促进企业国际化的因素,并为旨在促进全球创业生态系统的政策提供参考。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying Loss to the Economy Using Interrupted Time Series Models: An Application to the Wholesale and Retail Sales Industries in South Africa 利用中断时间序列模型量化经济损失:南非批发和零售业的应用
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090249
Thabiso Ernest Masena, Sandile Charles Shongwe, Ali Yeganeh
A few recent publications on interrupted time series analysis only conduct preintervention modelling and use it to illustrate postintervention deviation without quantifying the amount lost during the intervention period. Thus, this study aims to illustrate how to estimate and quantify the actual amounts (in South African Rands—ZAR) that the negative impact of the intervention effects of the COVID-19 pandemic had on the South African total monthly wholesale and retail sales using the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) with exogenous components (SARIMAX) model. In addition, the SARIMAX model is supplemented with three approaches for interrupted time series fitting (also known as a pulse function covariate vector), which are: (i) trial and error, (ii) quotient of fitted values and actual values, and (iii) a constant value of 1 throughout the intervention period. Model selection and adequacy metrics indicate that fitting a pulse function with a trial-and-error approach produces estimates with the minimum errors on both datasets, so a more accurate loss in revenue in the economy can be approximated. Consequently, using the latter method, the pandemic had an immediate, severe negative impact on wholesale trade sales, lasting for 15 months (from March 2020 to May 2021) and resulted in a loss of ZAR 302,339 million in the economy. Moreover, the retail sales were also negatively affected, but for 8 months (from March 2020 to October 2020), with a 1-month lag or delay, suggesting the series felt the negative effects of the pandemic one month into the intervention period and resulted in a loss of ZAR 87,836 million in the economy.
最近发表的一些关于中断时间序列分析的出版物只进行了干预前的建模,并用它来说明干预后的偏差,而没有量化干预期间的损失额。因此,本研究旨在说明如何利用具有外生成分的季节性自回归综合移动平均(SARIMA)模型(SARIMAX)来估算和量化 COVID-19 大流行病的干预效应对南非每月批发和零售总额的实际负面影响(以南非兰特-扎尔为单位)。此外,SARIMAX 模型还辅以三种间断时间序列拟合方法(也称为脉冲函数协变量向量),分别是(i) 尝试和误差,(ii) 拟合值和实际值的商,以及 (iii) 在整个干预期间的恒定值为 1。模型选择和适当性度量表明,用试错法拟合脉冲函数,在两个数据集上产生的估计值误差最小,因此可以近似得出更准确的经济收入损失。因此,使用后一种方法,大流行病对批发贸易销售产生了直接、严重的负面影响,持续时间长达 15 个月(从 2020 年 3 月到 2021 年 5 月),导致经济损失 3,023.39 亿南非兰特。此外,零售销售也受到了负面影响,但持续时间为 8 个月(从 2020 年 3 月到 2020 年 10 月),滞后或延迟 1 个月,这表明在干预期开始一个月后,该系列就感受到了大流行病的负面影响,并导致经济损失 878.36 亿南非兰特。
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引用次数: 0
What Determines the Crime Rate? A Macroeconomic Case Study 是什么决定了犯罪率?宏观经济案例研究
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090250
Tomas Karpavicius, Andriy Stavytskyy, Vincentas Rolandas Giedraitis, Erstida Ulvidienė, Ganna Kharlamova, Brigita Kavaliauskaite
This study examines the relationship between economic indicators and crime rates in six European countries: Lithuania, Germany, Greece, Portugal, Finland and Sweden. By examining macroeconomic factors such as GDP, security spending and per capita consumption, the study aims to understand how these variables affect crime dynamics. Using robust econometric techniques, including panel regression with fixed effects, the study identifies significant correlations and patterns. The findings reveal that the crime rate has a high degree of inertia and is significantly influenced by the previous level. Contrary to expectations, increased per capita consumption is associated with higher crime rates, which may indicate that wealthier societies are experiencing an increase in economic crime. Furthermore, higher spending on security does not necessarily reduce crime, suggesting that types of crime evolve as detection capabilities improve. This study highlights the complexity of the nexus between crime and the economy, highlighting the need for multifaceted, long-term policies to effectively combat crime and increase public safety. The results offer valuable insights for policymakers to develop comprehensive crime prevention and economic development strategies.
本研究探讨了六个欧洲国家的经济指标与犯罪率之间的关系:立陶宛、德国、希腊、葡萄牙、芬兰和瑞典。通过研究国内生产总值、安全支出和人均消费等宏观经济因素,本研究旨在了解这些变量如何影响犯罪动态。该研究采用稳健的计量经济学技术,包括固定效应的面板回归,确定了重要的相关性和模式。研究结果表明,犯罪率具有高度的惯性,受先前水平的影响很大。与预期相反,人均消费的增加与犯罪率的上升相关,这可能表明较富裕的社会正在经历经济犯罪的增加。此外,安保支出的增加并不一定会减少犯罪,这表明随着侦查能力的提高,犯罪类型也在不断变化。这项研究凸显了犯罪与经济之间关系的复杂性,强调需要多方面的长期政策来有效打击犯罪和提高公共安全。研究结果为决策者制定全面的犯罪预防和经济发展战略提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
The Contribution of Green, Blue, and Energy Sources to Economic Development in Central Asia 绿色、蓝色和能源对中亚经济发展的贡献
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090251
Massimiliano Caporin, Bekhzod Kuziboev, Ergash Ibadullaev, Elbek Khodjaniyazov, Peter Marty, Olimjon Saidmamatov
Central Asia (CA) is a young integrated region formed after the collapse of the Soviet Union, with most of its infrastructure based on fossil fuels. The traditional energy and water infrastructure is facing huge inefficiency and technical losses. This study investigates the transition of the green, blue, and energy economies in Central Asia using a small-dimensional panel dataset on five countries, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Turkmenistan, over the period 1995–2018. The authors analyze the impact of ecological footprint, water withdrawal, and energy consumption on gross domestic product. In applying the Panel Vector Error Correction Model, evidence was found supporting the long-running association between variables. Furthermore, the adjustment coefficients suggest that only GDP growth will adjust toward equilibrium. Overall, the findings suggest a more effective role of green transition compared to blue and energy transitions.
中亚(CA)是苏联解体后形成的一个年轻的一体化地区,其大部分基础设施都以化石燃料为基础。传统的能源和水利基础设施面临着巨大的低效率和技术损失。本研究使用 1995-2018 年期间乌兹别克斯坦、哈萨克斯坦、吉尔吉斯斯坦、塔吉克斯坦和土库曼斯坦五个国家的小维度面板数据集,调查了中亚绿色经济、蓝色经济和能源经济的转型情况。作者分析了生态足迹、取水量和能源消耗对国内生产总值的影响。在应用面板向量误差修正模型时,发现有证据支持变量之间的长期关联。此外,调整系数表明,只有国内生产总值的增长会向均衡方向调整。总体而言,研究结果表明,与蓝色转型和能源转型相比,绿色转型的作用更为有效。
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引用次数: 0
Accessibility and Older and Foreign Populations: Exploring Local Spatial Heterogeneities across Italy 交通便利与老年人口和外国人口:探索意大利各地的空间异质性
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090248
Massimo Armenise, Federico Benassi, Maria Carella, Roberta Misuraca
The interplay between accessibility and population change is a relatively new subject in Italian academic research. Along with social and economic factors such as regional economic prosperity, the ease of movement inside and outside an area can play a pivotal role in shaping population dynamics. This study seeks to explore the spatial distribution and spatial relationships of three indicators, including one related to real accessibility (RAI) and two others related, respectively, to the shares of the older population (SOP) and of the foreign population (SFP). An exploratory spatial data analysis is, therefore, conducted at the local level using Italian municipalities as the statistical units for the empirical analysis. Local univariate spatial autocorrelation analysis is used together with a regression analysis based on ordinary least squares (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR) models. The results provide valuable insights into the local heterogeneity that characterizes the distribution of each indicator and the local relationship between them, highlighting the importance of thinking locally in quantitative social sciences.
在意大利的学术研究中,交通便利与人口变化之间的相互作用是一个相对较新的课题。除了地区经济繁荣等社会和经济因素外,一个地区内外的交通便利程度在影响人口动态方面也起着举足轻重的作用。本研究试图探讨三个指标的空间分布和空间关系,其中一个与实际可达性(RAI)有关,另外两个分别与老年人口(SOP)和外来人口(SFP)的比例有关。因此,我们以意大利各市为统计单位,在地方层面进行了探索性空间数据分析,以进行实证分析。在使用地方单变量空间自相关分析的同时,还使用了基于普通最小二乘法(OLS)和地理加权回归(GWR)模型的回归分析。分析结果为深入了解各指标在当地的异质性分布特点以及它们之间的当地关系提供了宝贵的见解,突出了定量社会科学中地方思维的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Development of Small Business in Kazakhstan 哈萨克斯坦小型企业的可持续发展
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090247
Venera Zarubina, Mikhail Zarubin, Zhaukhar Yessenkulova, Tursyngul Gumarova, Almira Daulbayeva, Zhuldyz Meimankulova, Aizhan Kurmangalieva
The small business sector in Kazakhstan demonstrates dynamic growth, but its sustainable development in modern conditions requires activation from government agencies, society and entrepreneurs themselves. The purpose of the article was to study the development of small entrepreneurship in Kazakhstan and develop a mechanism for sustainable development based on network interaction “business entities–society–state” with the identification of priority areas of development based on a rating approach. The methods of bibliographic analysis of scientific literature, statistical, correlation analysis, survey, comparative analysis and ranking based on data normalization were used. The results revealed the need to formalize indicators of sustainable development of the small business sector in strategic development programs; create conditions, support, explain the importance and prospects of investing in sustainable innovations by small businesses and form a balanced strategy for achieving carbon neutrality based on network interaction “business entities–society–state” with the identification of priority areas of development based on a rating approach to ensure transparency and publicity of decisions made. Conclusions were made about the need to popularize sustainable development among business entities, stimulate investment activity through government participation, enact legislative regulation of public presentation of non-financial reporting, and assist society in the formation of an ESG culture.
哈萨克斯坦的小企业部门呈现出蓬勃发展的态势,但其在现代条件下的可持续发展需要政府机构、社会和企业家自身的积极参与。本文旨在研究哈萨克斯坦小型企业的发展情况,并在 "企业实体-社会-国家 "网络互动的基础上制定可持续发展机制,同时根据评级方法确定优先发展领域。研究采用了科学文献分析、统计、相关分析、调查、比较分析和基于数据正常化的排序等方法。结果表明,有必要在战略发展计划中正式确定小企业部门的可持续发展指标;创造条件、提供支持、解释小企业投资可持续创新的重要性和前景,并在 "企业实体-社会-国家 "网络互动的基础上形成实现碳中和的平衡战略,同时根据评级方法确定优先发展领域,以确保决策的透明度和公开性。会议得出结论认为,有必要在企业实体中普及可持续发展,通过政府参与刺激投资活动,颁布关于公开提交非财务报告的立法规定,并协助社会形成环境、社会和治理文化。
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引用次数: 0
“Optimal Honesty” in the Context of Fiscal Crimes 财政犯罪背景下的 "最佳诚信"
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090242
Lory Barile, John Cullis, Philip Jones
This paper begins by contrasting the caricatures ‘homo and femina economicus’ with ‘homo and femina realitus’. Against this backdrop, the paper considers three ‘apparently falsified’ empirical predictions of the standard expected utility model of individual decision-making concerning participation in fiscal crimes: that tax evasion and benefit fraud can be treated identically; fiscal crimes should be endemic; and that all individuals, depending on parameter values, should be either honest or dishonest. A utility function relating to decisions with a moral dimension is used to offer insight into the rationalization of the predictions and involves defining an individual’s ‘optimal honesty’ in the context of fiscal crimes. The policy implications of the approach are briefly explored.
本文首先将 "经济人和女性 "与 "现实人和女性 "进行了对比。在此背景下,本文探讨了个人决策的标准预期效用模型中有关参与财政犯罪的三个 "明显被证伪 "的经验预测:逃税和福利欺诈可以同等对待;财政犯罪应该是地方性的;以及根据参数值的不同,所有个人都应该是诚实或不诚实的。与道德层面的决策相关的效用函数被用来深入分析预测的合理性,并涉及在财政犯罪的背景下定义个人的 "最佳诚实"。本文简要探讨了该方法的政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Demand and Nutrient Elasticities of Egg Consumption: Evidence from Saudi Arabia 鸡蛋消费的需求和营养弹性:沙特阿拉伯的证据
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090245
Dana Alsaad, Mohammed Al-Mahish
Chicken eggs are a staple food widely consumed directly or indirectly (as an ingredient in other food items) in Saudi Arabia. Due to the importance of eggs in Saudi consumers’ diet, this study aimed to determine the sociodemographic factors affecting Saudi consumer demand for eggs and how changes in egg prices and consumer income may influence dietary intake derived from eggs. This study analyzes survey data from 466 respondents. We used a double-log demand model to obtain the price and income elasticities of egg demand. The results show that the price elasticity of egg demand is negative and inelastic, indicating that changes in egg price have a small influence on egg demand. Additionally, income elasticity is positive and <1, implying that eggs are a necessary food item. Cross-price elasticities show that cheese and milk complement egg consumption. Meanwhile, cornflakes (a breakfast cereal) were found to be a good substitute for eggs. Furthermore, the results show that consumer demand for eggs is expected to increase as household size increases. Women exhibited a higher demand for eggs, compared with men. Nutrient income elasticity shows that an increase in consumer income increases protein, fat, and calorie intake from eggs. Nutrient price elasticity shows that an increase in egg price has the greatest negative influence on protein intake, resulting from a decrease in egg consumption. This study recommends that decision makers actively monitor egg prices and take all necessary actions to prevent spikes in egg prices, as this will improve nutritional and food security and help consumers maintain a stable protein intake from egg consumption.
在沙特阿拉伯,鸡蛋是一种直接或间接(作为其他食品的配料)广泛消费的主食。鉴于鸡蛋在沙特消费者饮食中的重要性,本研究旨在确定影响沙特消费者鸡蛋需求的社会人口因素,以及鸡蛋价格和消费者收入的变化如何影响鸡蛋的膳食摄入量。本研究分析了来自 466 名受访者的调查数据。我们使用双对数需求模型得出了鸡蛋需求的价格和收入弹性。结果显示,鸡蛋需求的价格弹性为负且无弹性,表明鸡蛋价格的变化对鸡蛋需求的影响较小。此外,收入弹性为正且小于 1,这意味着鸡蛋是一种必需食品。交叉价格弹性表明,奶酪和牛奶是鸡蛋消费的补充。同时,玉米片(一种早餐谷物)被认为是鸡蛋的良好替代品。此外,研究结果表明,随着家庭人口的增加,消费者对鸡蛋的需求也会增加。与男性相比,女性对鸡蛋的需求量更大。营养素收入弹性表明,消费者收入增加会增加鸡蛋中蛋白质、脂肪和卡路里的摄入量。营养素价格弹性表明,鸡蛋价格上涨对蛋白质摄入量的负面影响最大,导致鸡蛋消费量下降。本研究建议决策者积极监测鸡蛋价格,并采取一切必要行动防止鸡蛋价格飙升,因为这将改善营养和食品安全,并帮助消费者从鸡蛋消费中保持稳定的蛋白质摄入量。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption’s Crossroads: Exploring Firm Performance and Auditors’ Role in Emerging Markets 腐败的十字路口:探索新兴市场的公司业绩与审计师的作用
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090239
Sheela Sundarasen, Izani Ibrahim, Ahnaf Ali Alsmady, Tanaraj Krishna
This study examines the relationship between country-level corruption (proxied by the Corruption Perception Index, CPI) and firm performance (measured by Return on Assets, ROA) across 18,286 firms in the East Asia, South Asia, and Southeast Asia regions. Additionally, the moderating effects of audit quality (proxied by auditors’ reputation) on the relationship are examined. The findings of the study indicate a positive association between corruption and ROA in high-income nations, thus providing evidence in favor of the “greasing the wheel” theory. On the other hand, a negative association is documented in the upper middle- and low-income nations, which is consistent with the “sanding the wheel” notion. Notably, audit quality has a positive moderating influence on the relationship between corruption and ROA, especially in nations with low corruption levels, reaffirming the pivotal role of reputable auditors in enhancing firm performance within these economic contexts. The results of this study have important ramifications for forming policy suggestions and enhancing governance. The findings highlight the opportunity to improve governance practices and regulations to reduce corruption and increase transparency. Policymakers can develop ways to strengthen institutional frameworks by recognizing the complex link between corruption, corporate profitability, and the function of respected auditors.
本研究探讨了东亚、南亚和东南亚地区 18,286 家公司的国家级腐败(以清廉指数(Corruption Perception Index,CPI)表示)与公司业绩(以资产回报率(Return on Assets,ROA)表示)之间的关系。此外,研究还考察了审计质量(以审计师声誉为代表)对两者关系的调节作用。研究结果表明,在高收入国家,腐败与投资回报率之间存在正相关关系,从而提供了支持 "润滑轮子 "理论的证据。另一方面,在中上等和低收入国家,腐败与投资回报率之间存在负相关关系,这与 "打磨车轮 "理论相一致。值得注意的是,审计质量对腐败与投资回报率之间的关系具有积极的调节作用,尤其是在腐败程度较低的国家,这再次证明了声誉良好的审计师在这些经济环境下提高公司绩效的关键作用。本研究的结果对提出政策建议和加强治理具有重要影响。研究结果凸显了改进治理实践和法规以减少腐败和提高透明度的机会。政策制定者可以通过认识到腐败、公司盈利能力和声誉良好的审计师的职能之间的复杂联系,制定加强制度框架的方法。
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引用次数: 0
Is the Nexus between Gender Diversity and Firm Financial Distress Moderated by CEO Duality? 首席执行官双重性是否调节了性别多样性与公司财务困境之间的联系?
IF 2.6 Q2 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-09 DOI: 10.3390/economies12090240
Muhammad Tahir Khan, Waqar Ahmad, Sajjad Nawaz Khan, Valentin Marian Antohi, Costinela Fortea, Monica Laura Zlati
This study examines the impact of gender diversity in the positions of board commissioners, executive directors, and audit committee members on the financial performance of firms experiencing financial trouble. It also evaluates whether the presence of a CEO with multiple responsibilities moderates this relationship. The analysis encompassed 224 publicly traded companies from the non-financial sector, spanning the years 2012 to 2021. The study employed the dynamic panel model system GMM to address issues of endogeneity, simultaneity, and heterogeneity in the data. The findings indicate that the presence of women on supervisory boards and in senior positions has a substantial impact. Companies with a higher number of female board members have reduced financial hardship among Malaysian listed enterprises. Female directors exhibit a greater level of caution and risk aversion while participating in management choices, which is a significant conclusion. Research indicates that the majority of financial variables are inherently endogenous, so dynamic models are better suited for analyzing the interaction between these variables. This study also presents the notable correlation between gender diversity on boards of management, CEO duality, and financial difficulty.
本研究探讨了董事会专员、执行董事和审计委员会成员职位的性别多样性对遭遇财务困境的公司财务业绩的影响。研究还评估了身兼数职的首席执行官是否会调节这种关系。分析涵盖了非金融行业的 224 家上市公司,时间跨度为 2012 年至 2021 年。研究采用动态面板模型系统 GMM 来解决数据中的内生性、同时性和异质性问题。研究结果表明,女性在监事会和高级职位中的存在具有重大影响。在马来西亚上市企业中,女性董事会成员人数较多的公司财务困难程度较低。女性董事在参与管理选择时表现出更大程度的谨慎和风险规避,这是一个重要结论。研究表明,大多数财务变量本身是内生的,因此动态模型更适合分析这些变量之间的相互作用。本研究还介绍了管理委员会中的性别多样性、首席执行官双重性和财务困难之间的显著相关性。
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引用次数: 0
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Economies
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