{"title":"Online Capacity Prediction of Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Physics-Constrained Zonotopic Kalman Filter","authors":"Zhenhua Wang;Zhenwen Zhao;Meng Zhou;Jing Wang;Yi Shen","doi":"10.1109/TR.2024.3451650","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This article presents a novel physics-constrained zonotopic Kalman filter method for online capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries. To describe capacity degradation, a state-space formulation is devised using the autoregressive model and an indirect representation of capacity. The approach consists of three steps: First, a zonotopic Kalman filter is proposed to estimate model parameters and parameter intervals. Subsequently, considering the capacity regeneration phenomenon, a physics-based constraint term is presented to optimize parameters, which updates the estimated model parameters obtained by the zonotopic Kalman filter. Finally, parameters and interval estimation are utilized to predict the future short-term capacity. The case study demonstrates the validity of our approach. Moreover, comparisons with the ellipsoid-based extended Kalman filter and predictive maintenance toolbox suggest that our approach can obtain more precise capacity prediction and tighter capacity interval results.","PeriodicalId":56305,"journal":{"name":"IEEE Transactions on Reliability","volume":"74 3","pages":"3953-3966"},"PeriodicalIF":5.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IEEE Transactions on Reliability","FirstCategoryId":"94","ListUrlMain":"https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10672556/","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"计算机科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"COMPUTER SCIENCE, HARDWARE & ARCHITECTURE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This article presents a novel physics-constrained zonotopic Kalman filter method for online capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries. To describe capacity degradation, a state-space formulation is devised using the autoregressive model and an indirect representation of capacity. The approach consists of three steps: First, a zonotopic Kalman filter is proposed to estimate model parameters and parameter intervals. Subsequently, considering the capacity regeneration phenomenon, a physics-based constraint term is presented to optimize parameters, which updates the estimated model parameters obtained by the zonotopic Kalman filter. Finally, parameters and interval estimation are utilized to predict the future short-term capacity. The case study demonstrates the validity of our approach. Moreover, comparisons with the ellipsoid-based extended Kalman filter and predictive maintenance toolbox suggest that our approach can obtain more precise capacity prediction and tighter capacity interval results.
期刊介绍:
IEEE Transactions on Reliability is a refereed journal for the reliability and allied disciplines including, but not limited to, maintainability, physics of failure, life testing, prognostics, design and manufacture for reliability, reliability for systems of systems, network availability, mission success, warranty, safety, and various measures of effectiveness. Topics eligible for publication range from hardware to software, from materials to systems, from consumer and industrial devices to manufacturing plants, from individual items to networks, from techniques for making things better to ways of predicting and measuring behavior in the field. As an engineering subject that supports new and existing technologies, we constantly expand into new areas of the assurance sciences.