Sensitivity analysis of activity scheduling parameters with a parameter optimization framework

Matheus Moro Zamprogno, Domokos Esztergár-Kiss
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Abstract

Transportation-related activity scheduling is becoming more complex due to the growing number of potential locations and extensive opportunities to visit various places. Throughout the years, in the field of transportation several attempts were made to optimize travelers’ activity chains with different parameters to set, but there is a lack of comprehensive solutions. In this research, the activity chain optimization algorithm is applied, which requires high computational efforts. To provide an adequate calibration of the parameters, a sensitivity analysis is conducted. The aim of the analysis is to reveal how changes in the attribute values modify the final outcomes. The relevant parameters, activity chains, transport modes, optimization algorithms, and fitness functions, are identified and considered. For each parameter, an investigation is conducted to reveal its behavior throughout the runs. For example, changes in the population size and crossover function lead to more reliable results, while alteration in the number of generations and the mutation function have no effects on the outcomes. The analysis presents a peculiar behavior of the parameters related to the activity chains. The results can be useful for transportation planners and service providers in the adaptation of the existing network and transportation services to the travelers’ mobility patterns.

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利用参数优化框架对活动安排参数进行敏感性分析
由于潜在的旅游景点越来越多,去不同地方旅游的机会也越来越多,与交通相关的活动安排变得越来越复杂。多年来,交通领域曾多次尝试通过设置不同的参数来优化旅行者的活动链,但缺乏全面的解决方案。本研究采用了活动链优化算法,该算法需要较高的计算量。为了充分校准参数,进行了敏感性分析。分析的目的是揭示属性值的变化如何改变最终结果。确定并考虑了相关参数、活动链、运输模式、优化算法和拟合函数。对每个参数进行调查,以揭示其在整个运行过程中的行为。例如,改变种群规模和交叉函数会带来更可靠的结果,而改变代数和突变函数则不会对结果产生影响。分析显示了与活动链相关的参数的特殊行为。这些结果对交通规划人员和服务提供商根据旅客的流动模式调整现有网络和交通服务很有帮助。
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来源期刊
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives Engineering-Automotive Engineering
CiteScore
12.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
185
审稿时长
22 weeks
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