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Probing urban road network congestion propagation and dissipation 探讨城市道路网络拥堵的传播与消散
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101839
Reza Marzban , Meisam Akbarzadeh , Anastasios Kouvelas , Francesco Corman
The spread of congestion in urban road networks is a complex phenomenon with spatial and temporal dimensions; quantitative analysis of the phenomenon would allow traffic managers come up with effective relief measures. In this study, we present three findings from two real urban road networks (Shenzhen and Chengdu in China). First, we show that integration of the re-congestion assumption through Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-Susceptible (SEIRS) models markedly enhances the predictive robustness of conventional fragmental propagation models (e.g. SIR and SEIR). Second, we show that links with high betweenness centralities create congestion seeds at the beginning of peak periods which persist through the whole peak period. A component of congestion propagates from such cores and then shrinks and dissolves through them. Third, we demonstrate the impact of congested component sizes on network functionality.
城市道路网络中拥堵的蔓延是一个具有时空维度的复杂现象;对这一现象进行定量分析,可以让交通管理人员提出有效的缓解措施。在这项研究中,我们从两个真实的城市道路网络(中国的深圳和成都)中得出了三个结论。首先,我们证明了通过易感-暴露-感染-恢复-易感(SEIRS)模型整合再拥塞假设显着增强了传统片段传播模型(例如SIR和SEIR)的预测鲁棒性。其次,我们表明,具有高中间度中心性的链接在高峰时期开始时产生拥堵种子,并持续整个高峰时期。拥塞的一个组成部分从这样的核心传播,然后收缩并通过它们溶解。第三,我们展示了拥塞组件大小对网络功能的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Groundwork for adolescent bikeability assessment in Germany: An open GIS and regularised regression approach across cities, towns and rural areas 德国青少年可骑自行车性评估的基础:一个开放的GIS和正则化回归方法,跨越城市、城镇和农村地区
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101875
Leon Klos , Claudia Lazarides , Rebecca Pedrick-Case , Richard Fry , Hagen Wäsche , Claudia Niessner , Alexander Woll
Adolescents need safe infrastructure, accessible places and comfort to cycle for transport. However, the bikeability literature focuses almost exclusively on adult cycling in large cities. The aims of the study are to operationalise bikeability characteristics adapted to adolescents in the German context using open GIS data and assess the relation between bikeability characteristics within different cycling distances and cycling to school in adolescents living in cities, towns and rural areas.
Cycling infrastructure and access to different destinations relevant to adolescents were operationalised using open GIS data. German-wide cycling-to-school data of 1,133 adolescents aged 11–17 years (50.0 % girls) from the Motorik-Modul Study were linked to the bikeability measures. A logistic ridge regression identified relevant bikeability characteristics in cities, towns and rural areas within five different cycling radii between 4–20 min.
Adolescents living in cities had higher odds of cycling if there were more residential streets with a slow speed limit within a 16-minute cycling radius from home and better access to outdoor sports facilities, shops and food outlets within 4–16 min of cycling. In towns, cycling was positively associated with both slow residential streets and separated cycling infrastructure, as well as access to schools, shops and food outlets, outdoor sports facilities, and a larger residential population within similar travel ranges.
Cycling may be facilitated by different infrastructure and accessibility characteristics in cities and towns. Future bikeability research should target vulnerable groups and people living in less densely populated areas. This work lays the groundwork for an adolescent bikeability index for Germany.
青少年需要安全的基础设施、便利的场所和舒适的骑车交通。然而,关于骑自行车的文献几乎只关注大城市里的成年人骑自行车。该研究的目的是利用开放的GIS数据,对德国青少年的可骑车性特征进行操作,并评估不同骑行距离内的可骑车性特征与生活在城市、城镇和农村地区的青少年骑车上学之间的关系。使用开放的GIS数据对与青少年相关的自行车基础设施和通往不同目的地的通道进行操作。来自motorik - module研究的全德国1133名11-17岁青少年(50.0%为女孩)的骑车上学数据与可骑车性措施相关联。logistic岭回归确定了城市、城镇和农村地区在4-20分钟5个不同骑行半径范围内的相关可骑行性特征。如果在离家16分钟的骑行半径内有更多限速较慢的住宅街道,并且在4-16分钟的骑行半径内有更好的户外运动设施、商店和食品店,那么生活在城市中的青少年骑车的几率就会更高。在城镇,骑自行车与缓慢的住宅街道和独立的自行车基础设施,以及通往学校、商店和食品店、户外运动设施和在类似旅行范围内较大的居住人口呈正相关。城市和城镇的不同基础设施和可达性特征可能会为骑自行车提供便利。未来的自行车研究应该针对弱势群体和生活在人口密度较低地区的人。这项工作为德国青少年骑自行车能力指数奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting pedestrian crash risk around bus stops: A multi-city random forest approach 公交车站周围行人碰撞风险预测:多城市随机森林方法
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101854
Farzane Omrani, Rouzbeh Shad, Marjan Ghaemi, Safa Hadi Abdulzahra, Seyed Ali Ziaee
Pedestrians account for more than one-fifth of global road fatalities each year, with bus stops in metropolitan areas being high-risk locations due to crowding and frequent crossings. Developing effective interventions to enhance pedestrian safety requires a deep understanding of the built environment factors that contribute to pedestrian crashes across different urban settings. Since pedestrian injuries and fatalities are primarily preventable, applying diverse datasets from various countries is essential to identify and compare the key built environment features influencing pedestrian crashes around bus stops. This study evaluates and predicts the key built environment factors affecting pedestrian crashes within buffer distances of 50, 150, and 250 m around bus stops, using datasets from New York (United States), Toronto (Canada), and Greater Melbourne (Australia) between 2012 and 2016. Three modeling approaches, Random Forest (RF), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), and Ordinal Logistic Regression (OLR), were applied with systematic hyperparameter tuning, and the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) was applied to address class imbalance. Model performance was compared across cities, buffer sizes, and training–validation–testing splits, and external cross-city validation was conducted to evaluate transferability. Results show that RF consistently outperforms MLP and OLR by capturing nonlinear interactions between built environment features more effectively, with the best-performing RF models for New York and Toronto using a 250-meter buffer, demonstrating that larger buffer distances better capture the influence of the built environment on crash occurrences. Furthermore, Common Important Features (CIF) and Common Important Subfeatures (CIS) are extracted to rank and compare the most influential factors affecting pedestrian crashes in each case study. This information may be used to persuade political leaders to develop, implement, and support pedestrian safety measures around bus stops.
行人每年占全球道路死亡人数的五分之一以上,而大都市地区的公交车站由于拥挤和频繁的过境而成为高风险地点。制定有效的干预措施以提高行人安全,需要深入了解不同城市环境中导致行人碰撞的建筑环境因素。由于行人伤害和死亡主要是可以预防的,因此应用来自不同国家的不同数据集对于识别和比较影响公交车站周围行人碰撞的主要建筑环境特征至关重要。本研究利用2012年至2016年间来自纽约(美国)、多伦多(加拿大)和大墨尔本(澳大利亚)的数据集,评估和预测了影响公交车站周围50、150和250米缓冲距离内行人碰撞的关键建筑环境因素。采用随机森林(RF)、多层感知器(MLP)和有序逻辑回归(OLR)三种建模方法进行系统超参数整定,并采用合成少数过采样技术(SMOTE)解决类失衡问题。模型性能在不同城市、缓冲大小和训练-验证-测试分割之间进行了比较,并进行了外部跨城市验证以评估可转移性。结果表明,RF通过更有效地捕捉建筑环境特征之间的非线性相互作用,从而始终优于MLP和OLR,纽约和多伦多使用250米缓冲区的RF模型表现最佳,这表明较大的缓冲距离可以更好地捕捉建筑环境对碰撞发生的影响。此外,提取共同重要特征(CIF)和共同重要子特征(CIS),对每个案例研究中影响行人碰撞的最重要因素进行排序和比较。这些信息可以用来说服政治领导人制定、实施和支持公交车站周围的行人安全措施。
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引用次数: 0
From work environment to roadway: A narrative review on organizational psychology’s role in road safety 从工作环境到道路:组织心理学在道路安全中的作用述评
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101867
Tülüce Tokat , Francesco Tommasi , Andrea Ceschi , Oscar Oviedo-Trespalacios , Riccardo Sartori
Following the impetus to implement preventive road-safety programs, understanding how work-related dimensions intersect with road safety is noteworthy. That is, every day, people use roads to commute to work or travel for work (e.g., truck drivers, food delivery). Work-related travel results in distinctive and usually higher patterns of risk. This narrative review aims to offer a vision of the intersection between road transport safety and organisational psychology, a discipline devoted to the study of individuals’ psychology in the workplace. By bridging distinct aspects of research, the paper highlights the value of an interdisciplinary perspective and presents a framework comprising four major research levels (i.e., institutional, organisational, individual, and situational), thereby advancing new strategies for research and practice to promote road safety. Even though these levels are related, handling them separately enables a thorough analysis of the suggested interdisciplinary framework. The paper proposes ideas for future research that can combine the purposes of the two research fields while also advancing road transport safety.
在实施预防性道路安全规划的推动下,了解与工作相关的维度如何与道路安全相交叉是值得注意的。也就是说,每天,人们使用道路上下班或出差(例如,卡车司机,送餐)。与工作相关的旅行会导致独特的、通常更高的风险模式。这篇叙述性评论旨在提供道路运输安全和组织心理学(一门致力于研究工作场所个人心理的学科)之间交叉的视角。通过衔接研究的不同方面,本文强调了跨学科视角的价值,并提出了一个由四个主要研究层面(即机构、组织、个人和情境)组成的框架,从而推进了促进道路安全的研究和实践的新战略。尽管这些级别是相关的,但分开处理它们可以对建议的跨学科框架进行彻底的分析。本文提出了未来研究的思路,可以结合两个研究领域的目的,同时也促进道路运输安全。
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引用次数: 0
A network-based framework for interplanetary logistics governance: organizational resilience and technological cooperation in space missions 基于网络的星际物流治理框架:空间任务中的组织弹性和技术合作
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101848
Carlos César Ribeiro Santos , Leonardo Sanches de Carvalho
The advancement of space exploration demands novel organizational and logistical approaches capable of supporting long-duration missions in interplanetary environments. This article proposes an interplanetary logistics governance framework grounded in the theory of organizational networks, with a focus on resilience, interoperability and multilateral collaboration. The methodology employs theoretical and empirical triangulation, integrating a systematic literature review, analysis of four case studies (ISS, Artemis, SpaceX/Blue Origin and OSIP-ESA), complex network modeling using topological metrics and structural robustness simulations. The resulting framework is structured around five core pillars: distributed governance, collaborative logistics, data sovereignty and security, technical and organizational interoperability and distributed artificial intelligence. Empirical application demonstrates the framework’s alignment with diverse institutional architectures and its potential to reduce costs, expand logistical capacity and enhance failure resilience. A phased implementation roadmap spanning the period 2025–2040 is presented, including recommendations for progressive adoption in terrestrial, cislunar and interplanetary contexts. Furthermore, a case study focused on the Artemis Program illustrates the practical feasibility of the proposed model. The article also outlines a research agenda comprising eight priority areas aimed at integrating the framework into international treaties and space-related public policies. The results indicate that the proposed framework provides a solid conceptual and operational foundation for transitioning from centralized models to collaborative, modular and sustainable logistical ecosystems-thereby contributing to a new era of interplanetary governance based on intelligent networks.
空间探索的进展需要能够支持行星际环境中长期任务的新的组织和后勤办法。本文提出了一个基于组织网络理论的星际物流治理框架,重点关注弹性、互操作性和多边协作。该方法采用理论和经验三角测量,整合了系统的文献综述、四个案例研究(ISS、Artemis、SpaceX/Blue Origin和OSIP-ESA)的分析、使用拓扑度量和结构鲁棒性模拟的复杂网络建模。由此产生的框架围绕五个核心支柱构建:分布式治理、协作物流、数据主权和安全、技术和组织互操作性以及分布式人工智能。实证应用表明,该框架与不同的制度架构保持一致,并具有降低成本、扩大后勤能力和增强故障恢复能力的潜力。提出了2025-2040年的分阶段实施路线图,包括在陆地、地月和行星际环境中逐步采用的建议。此外,以阿尔忒弥斯计划为例,说明了所提出模型的实际可行性。文章还概述了一项研究议程,其中包括八个优先领域,旨在将该框架纳入国际条约和与空间有关的公共政策。结果表明,所提出的框架为从集中式模式向协作、模块化和可持续的物流生态系统过渡提供了坚实的概念和操作基础,从而为基于智能网络的行星际治理的新时代做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
“I’m a nervous wreck when I cycle“ cycling to school with children in Ireland : Insights from parents “当我骑车的时候,我很紧张”,在爱尔兰和孩子一起骑车上学:来自父母的见解
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101874
Paul Harscouët , Ciarán Ferrie , Nakisa Soltani , Brian Caulfield , Anna Mölter
Cycling is a key component of the green transition, and it offers numerous environmental and health benefits, including reduced emissions, lower air and noise pollution, and improved physical wellbeing. Commuting to school by bicycle is one way to normalize cycling among children, which can lead to a long term behavioural routine. However, safety concerns remain a significant barrier, particularly in car-oriented countries such as Ireland. This study investigates factors influencing parental perceptions of safety when cycling to school with their children.
Data were collected through an online survey (n = 342) and two focus groups (n = 10) with parents who cycle to school with their children. The survey combined multiple-choice and open-ended questions, and the focus groups followed a semi-structured format. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics and chi-square tests, while qualitative data underwent a thematic analysis.
Findings show that 43% of survey respondents felt safe cycling to school, while 25% of respondents rarely or never felt safe. The thematic analysis identified four key themes influencing perceived safety: road infrastructure, interactions with other road users, coping strategies, and broader social factors, such as gender. Major concerns included poorly designed or absent cycling infrastructure, disregard for traffic laws, weak enforcement, and unsafe driver behaviour. Coping strategies ranged from cycling on footpaths or using alternative routes to restricting children’s cycling altogether.
The results identified specific parameters that affect families’ perceived safety of bike commutes In Ireland. These findings will inform subsequent research on identifying and mitigating unsafe areas along cycle routes to schools.
骑自行车是绿色转型的关键组成部分,它提供了许多环境和健康益处,包括减少排放,降低空气和噪音污染,改善身体健康。骑自行车上学是让孩子们骑自行车正常化的一种方式,这可能会导致长期的行为习惯。然而,安全问题仍然是一个重大障碍,尤其是在以汽车为主的国家,如爱尔兰。本研究探讨了影响家长带孩子骑车上学安全意识的因素。通过在线调查(n = 342)和两个焦点小组(n = 10)收集数据,这些小组的父母骑自行车带孩子上学。该调查结合了多项选择和开放式问题,焦点小组采用了半结构化的形式。定量数据采用描述性统计和卡方检验进行分析,定性数据采用专题分析。调查结果显示,43%的受访者认为骑车上学是安全的,而25%的受访者很少或从未感到安全。专题分析确定了影响感知安全的四个关键主题:道路基础设施、与其他道路使用者的互动、应对战略以及性别等更广泛的社会因素。主要的担忧包括设计不良或缺乏自行车基础设施,无视交通法规,执法不力以及不安全的驾驶行为。应对策略包括在人行道上骑自行车或使用替代路线,以及完全限制儿童骑自行车。结果确定了影响爱尔兰家庭对自行车通勤安全感知的具体参数。这些发现将为后续的研究提供信息,以确定和减轻骑车上学路线沿线的不安全区域。
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引用次数: 0
A Global Perspective on Road Condition Assessment and Maintenance: Trends in Research and Technology Integration 道路状况评估与维护的全球视角:研究与技术整合趋势
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101853
Gina Cynthia Raphita Hasibuan , Muhammad Ridwan Anas , Nurul Ika Putri Dalimunthe , Muhammad Thoriq Al Fath , Rezky Ariessa Dewi , Gea Geby Aurora Syafridon , Indra Jaya , Syahrizal
This study conducts an extensive bibliometric review to evaluate the global evolution of pavement condition assessment and maintenance research over the last three decades. Using a dataset of 634 Scopus-indexed publications, the study applies co-authorship, citation analysis, keyword co-occurrence, bibliographic coupling, and text-based mapping to explore scholarly productivity, thematic clusters, and technological routes. Findings highlight a growing concentration around core evaluation indices such as PCI and IRI, with newer studies embracing machine learning, remote sensing, and decision-support systems. Research leadership remains concentrated in countries with advanced road infrastructure, particularly the United States, China, and Canada although contributions from emerging economies are steadily growing. Despite technological progress, a gap still exists between academic innovation and practical application. Only a small portion of the literature has influenced real-world practice, mainly because of limited resources, fragmented data, and a lack of interdisciplinary collaboration. Case studies from the Washington State Department of Transportation (DOT) and Maine DOT illustrate effective implementation of data driven and AI-enabled pavement systems. This underscores the potential of AI to automate condition assessments, enhance predictive modeling, and optimize rehabilitation strategies. However, the study also reveals key limitations, including limited model generalizability, challenges in reproducibility, and varying levels of stakeholder readiness. Future research should focus on developing open-access datasets, collaborative validation frameworks, and practical toolkits that can be readily adopted by road agencies. Moreover, integrating AI into research workflows offers valuable opportunities to connect theory with practice, creating smoother pathways from academic innovation to real-world implementation and ensuring that research delivers tangible, lasting impact.
本研究进行了广泛的文献计量回顾,以评估过去三十年来路面状况评估和养护研究的全球演变。该研究使用634篇scopus索引出版物的数据集,应用合著、引文分析、关键词共现、书目耦合和基于文本的映射来探索学术生产力、专题集群和技术路线。研究结果表明,越来越多的研究集中在PCI和IRI等核心评估指标上,新的研究包括机器学习、遥感和决策支持系统。尽管新兴经济体的贡献正在稳步增长,但研究的领导地位仍然集中在拥有先进道路基础设施的国家,特别是美国、中国和加拿大。尽管技术进步了,但学术创新与实际应用之间仍然存在差距。只有一小部分文献影响了现实世界的实践,这主要是因为资源有限、数据碎片化以及缺乏跨学科合作。华盛顿州交通运输部(DOT)和缅因州交通运输部的案例研究说明了数据驱动和人工智能路面系统的有效实施。这凸显了人工智能在自动化状态评估、增强预测建模和优化康复策略方面的潜力。然而,该研究也揭示了关键的局限性,包括有限的模型通用性,可重复性的挑战,以及利益相关者准备程度的不同。未来的研究应侧重于开发开放获取的数据集、协作验证框架和实用工具包,以便道路管理机构能够轻松采用。此外,将人工智能整合到研究工作流程中,为理论与实践联系起来提供了宝贵的机会,创造了从学术创新到现实世界实施的更顺畅的途径,并确保研究产生切实、持久的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Machine-learning evaluation of driving performance in schizophrenia: A pilot study with short-duration driving simulator tasks 精神分裂症患者驾驶表现的机器学习评估:一项使用短时间驾驶模拟器任务的试点研究
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101860
Koichi Fujiwara , Shuji Tsunoda , Seiko Miyata , Akiko Yamaguchi , Shogo Kitagawa , Yuki Konishi , Reiji Yoshimura , Isao Taguchi , Yutaka Sawa , Kunihiro Iwamoto , Norio Ozaki
Since some types of psychiatric disorders and medications may affect car driving performance and driving fitness, patients are required to obtain medical certificates regarding their fitness to drive when they obtain or renew their driver’s licenses. It is, however, difficult for physicians to evaluate patients’ driving fitness. We propose a method for evaluating the driving fitness of patients with psychiatric disorders based on driving data collected with a driving simulator (DS). We developed a machine learning (ML) model that discriminates whether a subject’s driving is normal or performance-compromised, which was trained with normal and performance-compromised driving data collected from 25 healthy participants with and without consumption of alcohol. In this study, driving under alcohol administration is defined as blood alcohol concentration (BAC) 0.5 mg/ml. We tested the trained model using healthy participants’ driving data that were not used for training, and a sensitivity of 100%, a specificity of 97%, and an AUC of 0.98 were achieved. In addition, we applied the trained model to driving data collected from 43 patients with schizophrenia as a polit study. The performance of the model was verified from the viewpoint of the patient’s clinical information. The model correctly discriminated the driving data of patients with factors affecting driving, such as severe psychiatric symptoms, high medication dosage, and lack of driving experience. The proposed method contributes to assisting patients with schizophrenia disorders, as well as their attending physicians in making decisions about patients’ driving fitness.
由于某些类型的精神障碍和药物可能会影响汽车驾驶性能和驾驶健康,因此患者在获得或更新驾驶执照时需要获得有关其驾驶健康的医疗证明。然而,医生很难评估病人的驾驶能力。本文提出了一种基于驾驶模拟器(DS)采集驾驶数据的精神障碍患者驾驶适应性评估方法。我们开发了一个机器学习(ML)模型,可以区分受试者的驾驶是正常的还是性能受损的,该模型使用从25名有和没有饮酒的健康参与者收集的正常和性能受损的驾驶数据进行训练。在本研究中,血液酒精浓度(BAC)≥0.5 mg/ml定义为酒后驾驶。我们使用未用于训练的健康参与者的驾驶数据对训练后的模型进行了测试,灵敏度为100%,特异性为97%,AUC为0.98。此外,我们将训练好的模型应用于43名精神分裂症患者的驾驶数据作为一项政治研究。从患者临床信息的角度对模型的性能进行了验证。该模型对精神症状严重、用药剂量大、缺乏驾驶经验等影响驾驶的因素患者的驾驶数据进行了正确的判别。所提出的方法有助于帮助精神分裂症患者,以及他们的主治医生对患者的驾驶健康做出决定。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-criteria assessment of recycled polyethylene terephthalate (PET) incorporation in bituminous mixtures: application to the cameroonian context 沥青混合物中掺入再生聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯(PET)的多标准评估:在喀麦隆环境中的应用
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101869
Timothée Thierry Odi Enyegue , Mariam Mohaman Dairou , Anne-Marie Ndzie Bidima II , Emmanuel Tchinzie , Désiré Bin-nga , Armand Simon Zogo Tsala , André Abanda , Emmanuel Yamb , Didier Fokwa
The valorization of plastic waste in road construction represents a promising solution to both environmental and infrastructure challenges in developing countries. This study investigates the mechanical, economic, and environmental performance of asphalt mixtures modified with recycled polyethylene terephthalate (PET) in the Cameroonian context. PET was incorporated into asphalt mixtures at different contents (0–7% by weight of bitumen), and the resulting mixes were evaluated using standard mechanical tests, including Marshall stability, flow, compactness, Marshall creep, and water sensitivity. The results show that PET modification significantly improves the mechanical performance of asphalt mixtures up to an optimal content of 5%, with an increase in Marshall stability, a reduction in permanent deformation, and satisfactory resistance to moisture damage compared to conventional asphalt. Beyond this threshold, mechanical performance decreases due to reduced workability and excessive stiffening of the mixture. An economic assessment indicates that PET-modified asphalt can reduce material costs by partially substituting bitumen, assuming local collection and processing of plastic waste. A simplified life cycle assessment (cradle-to-gate) focusing on energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions highlights a net environmental benefit at optimal PET content, despite increased processing energy. The combined multicriteria analysis demonstrates that a PET content of approximately 5% provides the best compromise between mechanical performance, cost efficiency, and environmental impact. This study highlights the feasibility of integrating recycled PET into asphalt mixtures for tropical regions and provides practical guidance for sustainable road construction in sub-Saharan Africa.
道路建设中塑料废物的增值是解决发展中国家环境和基础设施挑战的一个有希望的解决办法。本研究调查了喀麦隆环境下用再生聚对苯二甲酸乙二醇酯(PET)改性沥青混合物的机械、经济和环境性能。将PET掺入不同含量(0-7%)的沥青混合料中,并使用标准力学测试对所得混合料进行评估,包括马歇尔稳定性、流动性、密实度、马歇尔蠕变和水敏感性。结果表明,PET改性能显著改善沥青混合料的力学性能,达到最佳掺量5%,与常规沥青相比,马歇尔稳定性提高,永久变形减少,抗湿损伤性能令人满意。超过这个阈值,由于可加工性降低和混合物过度硬化,机械性能下降。一项经济评估表明,假设在当地收集和处理塑料废物,pet改性沥青可以部分替代沥青,从而降低材料成本。简化的生命周期评估(从摇篮到大门)侧重于能源消耗和温室气体排放,强调了在最佳PET含量下的净环境效益,尽管增加了加工能源。综合多标准分析表明,约5%的PET含量在机械性能、成本效率和环境影响之间提供了最佳折衷。本研究强调了将再生PET纳入热带地区沥青混合料的可行性,并为撒哈拉以南非洲的可持续道路建设提供了实践指导。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers of consumers’ adoption of parcel lockers as an alternative last-mile delivery solution in emerging economies 在新兴经济体,消费者采用包裹寄存柜作为最后一英里递送解决方案的驱动因素
IF 3.8 Q2 TRANSPORTATION Pub Date : 2026-01-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.trip.2026.101866
Paula Penagos , Trilce Encarnación , Carlos A. Gonzalez-Calderon
The sustained growth of online sales has increased pressure on urban logistics systems, especially last-mile operations. The freight traffic generated by parcel deliveries creates negative social, environmental, and economic externalities. To mitigate these negative effects, parcel lockers are considered a promising solution to optimize routes, decrease operational costs, and avoid failed deliveries.
This paper assesses consumers’ intention to adopt lockers as an alternative for last-mile delivery in an emerging economy. Survey data were collected in the Medellin Metropolitan Area of Colombia. A Structural Equation Model is estimated to determine the consumers’ intention to adopt parcel lockers. The results indicate that parcel lockers are generally perceived as easy to use, and consumers expect their delivery speed to be comparable to traditional methods. Additionally, consumers who identify as innovative and environmentally conscious are more likely to choose parcel locker deliveries, with environmental awareness often driving their innovative behavior.
However, the findings also revealed that although most respondents consider themselves environmentally conscious, they do not strongly associate the system adoption with clear environmental benefits. This suggests a gap in awareness or understanding of the sustainability advantages of parcel lockers, emphasizing the need for better education and communication on their environmental impact.
在线销售的持续增长增加了城市物流系统的压力,尤其是最后一英里的运营。包裹递送产生的货运量产生了负面的社会、环境和经济外部性。为了减轻这些负面影响,包裹储物柜被认为是一种很有前途的解决方案,可以优化路线,降低运营成本,避免投递失败。本文评估了消费者在新兴经济体中采用储物柜作为最后一英里配送的替代选择的意愿。调查数据是在哥伦比亚麦德林大都市区收集的。估计了一个结构方程模型来确定消费者采用包裹储物柜的意愿。结果表明,包裹储物柜通常被认为易于使用,消费者期望其递送速度与传统方法相当。此外,具有创新和环保意识的消费者更有可能选择包裹寄存柜,环保意识通常会推动他们的创新行为。然而,调查结果还显示,尽管大多数受访者认为自己有环保意识,但他们并没有强烈地将系统的采用与明显的环境效益联系起来。这表明在认识或了解包裹寄存柜的可持续性优势方面存在差距,强调需要就其环境影响进行更好的教育和宣传。
{"title":"Drivers of consumers’ adoption of parcel lockers as an alternative last-mile delivery solution in emerging economies","authors":"Paula Penagos ,&nbsp;Trilce Encarnación ,&nbsp;Carlos A. Gonzalez-Calderon","doi":"10.1016/j.trip.2026.101866","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trip.2026.101866","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The sustained growth of online sales has increased pressure on urban logistics systems, especially last-mile operations. The freight traffic generated by parcel deliveries creates negative social, environmental, and economic externalities. To mitigate these negative effects, parcel lockers are considered a promising solution to optimize routes, decrease operational costs, and avoid failed deliveries.</div><div>This paper assesses consumers’ intention to adopt lockers as an alternative for last-mile delivery in an emerging economy. Survey data were collected in the Medellin Metropolitan Area of Colombia. A Structural Equation Model is estimated to determine the consumers’ intention to adopt parcel lockers. The results indicate that parcel lockers are generally perceived as easy to use, and consumers expect their delivery speed to be comparable to traditional methods. Additionally, consumers who identify as innovative and environmentally conscious are more likely to choose parcel locker deliveries, with environmental awareness often driving their innovative behavior.</div><div>However, the findings also revealed that although most respondents consider themselves environmentally conscious, they do not strongly associate the system adoption with clear environmental benefits. This suggests a gap in awareness or understanding of the sustainability advantages of parcel lockers, emphasizing the need for better education and communication on their environmental impact.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":36621,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives","volume":"36 ","pages":"Article 101866"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8,"publicationDate":"2026-01-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146024107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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Transportation Research Interdisciplinary Perspectives
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