Comparison of the accuracy and bias of Demirjian’s method for East Asian children and development of Japanese population-specific age estimation formulae

Abstract

Despite the increased global mobility owing to the development of the international community, there remains a need for population-specific methods to estimate children’s ages. Therefore, this study aimed to substantiate the necessity for a Japanese-specific age estimation method by contrasting the formerly reported age estimation accuracy and bias using Demirjian’s method for Chinese, Taiwanese, South Korean, and Japanese children. We analyzed 1,558 panoramic radiographs from Japanese children (777 boys and 781 girls), assessed the maturity of seven left permanent teeth using Demirjian’s criteria, and calculated the estimated age using Demirjian’s method. The accuracy of the estimated ages was compared with previous reports of children from other East Asian countries which used the same age estimation method. Chinese, Taiwanese, and South Korean boys and girls were all reported to be older than their chronological ages, with the Eastern and Northern Chinese regions being the only exceptions. The same was true for Japanese children: the estimated ages of both sexes tended to be higher than their chronological age. However, there were significant variations in the values, indicating the differences in tooth growth and development between East Asian countries and sexes. Therefore, new regression equations specific to the Japanese population were formulated, and their accuracy was evaluated as the final result of this study.