Hybrid deep learning approach for rock tunnel deformation prediction based on spatio-temporal patterns

Abstract

The ability to predict tunnel deformation holds great significance for ensuring the reliability, safety, and sustainability of tunnel structures. However, existing deformation prediction models often simplify or overlook the impact of spatial characteristics on deformation by treating it as a time series prediction issue. This study utilizes monitoring data from the Grand Canyon Tunnel and introduces an effective data-driven method for predicting tunnel deformation based on the spatio-temporal characteristics of the historical deformation of adjacent sections. The proposed model, a combination of graph attention network (GAT) and bidirectional long and short-term memory network (Bi-LSTM), is equipped with robust spatio-temporal predictive capabilities. Additionally, the study explores other possible spatial connections and the scalability of the model. The results indicate that the proposed model outperforms other deep learning models, achieving favorable root mean square error ($\mathrm{RMSE}$), mean absolute error ($\mathrm{MAE}$), and coefficient of determination ($R^2$) values of 0.34 mm, 0.23 mm, and 0.94, respectively. The graph structure based on intuitive spatial connections proves more suitable for meeting the challenges of predicting deformation. Integrating GAT-LSTM with transfer learning technology, remains stable performance when extended to other tunnels with limited data.