Changes in meteorological conditions as near-term risk factors for suicide attempts

Abstract

To evaluate the impact of acute meteorological changes (i.e., maximum temperature, humidity, wind speed, atmospheric pressure, cloud coverage, visibility, precipitation) as situational risk factors proximal (i.e., present in the hours directly preceding) to suicide attempts. Participants were 578 adult patients who were hospitalized within 24 h of a suicide attempt at the only Level 1 trauma hospital in the state of Mississippi. Participants completed a semi-structured interview to determine home address and exact timing of their suicide attempt. A within-person, case-crossover design was used with each patient serving as their own control. Meteorological variables were generated for the 6-hours preceding each patient’s suicide attempt (case period) and corresponding hours the day prior (control period). Conditional logistic regression analyses were used to examine predictors of suicide attempts, and biological sex and season were evaluated as potential moderators. The presence of precipitation was associated with reduced odds of suicide attempts. Wind speed was marginally positively associated with suicide attempts among males, and visibility was positively associated with suicide attempts among females. Maximum temperature was positively associated with suicide attempts in the spring. Wind speed, visibility, maximum temperature, and precipitation (absence of) may represent situational risk factors for suicide attempts. Future studies should evaluate additional near-term situational risk factors and determine how to leverage this information to improve suicide risk management efforts to ultimately ameliorate the burden of suicide.