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Reduced actual vapor pressure exerts a significant influence on maize yield through vapor pressure deficit amid climate warming. 在气候变暖的情况下,实际蒸气压降低会通过蒸气压不足对玉米产量产生重大影响。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02727-0
Yi Zhang, Yanxia Zhao, Qing Sun, Sining Chen, Shao Sun, Li Liu

Understanding the impact of climate warming on crop yield and its associated mechanisms is paramount for ensuring food security. Here, we conduct a thorough analysis of the impact of vapor pressure deficit (VPD) on maize yield, leveraging a rich dataset comprising temporal and spatial observations spanning 40 years across 31 maize-growing locations in Northeast and North China. Our investigation extends to the influencing meteorological factors that drive changes in VPD during the maize growing phase. Regression analysis reveals a linear negative relationship between VPD and maize yield, demonstrating diverse spatiotemporal characteristics. Spatially, maize yield exhibits higher sensitivity to VPD in Northeast China (NEC), despite the higher VPD levels in North China Plain (NCP). The opposite patterns reveal that high VPD not invariably lead to detrimental yield impacts. Temporal analysis sheds light on an upward trend in VPD, with values of 0.05 and 0.02 kPa/10yr, accompanied by significant abrupt changes around 1996 in NEC and 2006 in NCP, respectively. These temporal shifts contribute to the heightened sensitivity of maize yield in both regions. Importantly, we emphasize the need to pay closer attention to the substantial the impact of actual vapor pressure on abrupt VPD changes during the maize growing phase, particularly in the context of ongoing climate warming.

了解气候变暖对作物产量的影响及其相关机制对于确保粮食安全至关重要。在此,我们利用丰富的数据集,对中国东北和华北地区 31 个玉米种植区 40 年的时空观测数据进行了深入分析,探讨了水汽压差(VPD)对玉米产量的影响。我们的研究扩展到了玉米生长阶段驱动 VPD 变化的气象影响因素。回归分析表明,VPD 与玉米产量之间呈线性负相关,并表现出不同的时空特征。从空间上看,尽管华北平原(NCP)的 VPD 水平较高,但东北地区(NEC)的玉米产量对 VPD 的敏感性更高。相反的模式表明,高 VPD 并非必然导致对产量的不利影响。时间分析表明,VPD 呈上升趋势,数值分别为 0.05 和 0.02 kPa/10yr,华北平原和华北平原分别在 1996 年和 2006 年前后发生了显著的突变。这些时间上的变化导致这两个地区玉米产量的敏感性提高。重要的是,我们强调需要更密切地关注实际水汽压对玉米生长阶段 VPD 突然变化的实质性影响,尤其是在气候持续变暖的背景下。
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引用次数: 0
Clothing color effect as a target of the smallest scale climate change adaptation. 作为最小尺度气候变化适应目标的服装色彩效应。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02726-1
Toshiaki Ichinose, Yi Pan, Yukiko Yoshida

The purpose of this study is to understand a physical mechanism to determine the surface temperature of clothes in calm and fine conditions of outdoors. We observed surface temperatures of polo shirts of the same material and design but different colors. The shirts were placed in unshaded and well-ventilated outdoor, open spaces on sunny summer days. The maximum difference between dark green or black and white was more than 15 °C during calm, fine weather and was greatest when the solar radiation was strong. If the transmission of solar radiation energy through a shirt is ignored to calculate the absorption by the shirt, the difference in solar radiation absorption due to different colors is as much as 24% in the maximum, and if considered, we concluded that an absorption difference of 34% led to a temperature difference of 15℃. When we compared the brightness of the colors, we found that the albedo of both the visible and NIR bands explained why the red and green colors were so different with respect to the surface temperatures we observed. The reflection in the NIR bands was also an important determinant of the surface temperature. An additional experiment using masks showed that the temperature difference between white and black was almost eliminated at a wind speed of ~ 3 m/s. The color of clothing is therefore a target for small-scale adaptation to climate change.

本研究的目的是了解在平静和晴朗的户外条件下确定衣服表面温度的物理机制。我们观察了材质和设计相同但颜色不同的 Polo 衫的表面温度。在阳光明媚的夏日,这些衬衫被放置在无遮挡、通风良好的室外空地上。在天气晴朗、风平浪静时,深绿色或黑色与白色之间的最大温差超过 15 °C,在太阳辐射强烈时温差最大。如果忽略太阳辐射能量通过衬衫的传输来计算衬衫的吸收,不同颜色对太阳辐射的吸收差异最大可达 24%,如果考虑到这一点,我们得出的结论是,34% 的吸收差异会导致 15℃的温差。当我们比较各种颜色的亮度时,我们发现可见光和近红外波段的反照率解释了为什么红色和绿色与我们观测到的表面温度如此不同。近红外波段的反射也是决定表面温度的一个重要因素。使用面罩进行的另一项实验表明,在风速约为 3 米/秒时,白色和黑色之间的温度差异几乎消失。因此,衣服的颜色是小规模适应气候变化的一个目标。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial distribution, pollution level and human health risk assessment of heavy metals in urban street dust at neighbourhood scale. 街区尺度下城市街道灰尘中重金属的空间分布、污染程度和人类健康风险评估。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02729-y
Oznur Isinkaralar, Kaan Isinkaralar, Tuyet Nam Thi Nguyen

Urban street dust (UStD) is a vital issue for human health and is crucial for urban sustainability. This study aims to enhance the creation of safe, affordable, and resilient cities by examining environmental contamination and health risks in urban residential areas. Specifically, it investigates the concentrations and spatial distribution of chromium (Cr), cadmium (Cd), nickel (Ni), copper (Cu), lead (Pb), and zinc (Zn) in UStD in Yenimahalle, Ankara. The mean concentrations of Zn, Cr, Pb, Cd, Ni, and Cu in UStD were 97.98, 66.88, 55.22, 52.45, 38.37, and 3.81 mg/kg, respectively. The geoaccumulation pollution index (Igeo) values for these elements were: Cd (5.12), Ni (1.61), Cr (1.21), Pb (1.13), Cu (0.78), and Zn (0.24). These indices indicate that the area is moderately polluted with Cr, Pb, and Ni, uncontaminated to moderately contaminated with Cu and Zn, and extremely polluted with Cd. The hazard index (HI) values for Cr, Cd, Ni, Cu, Pb, and Zn were below the non-carcinogenic risk threshold for adults, indicating no significant risk. However, for children, the HI values for Pb, Ni, Cd, and Zn were 3.37, 1.80, 1.25, and 1.25, respectively, suggesting a higher risk. Carcinogenic risk (RI) of Cd, Ni, and Pb was significant for both children and adults, indicating that exposure through ingestion, inhalation, and dermal contact is hazardous. The findings highlight the need for strategic mitigation measures for both natural and anthropogenic activities, providing essential insights for residents, policymakers, stakeholders, and urban planners.

城市街道灰尘(UStD)是影响人类健康的一个重要问题,对城市的可持续发展至关重要。本研究旨在通过考察城市住宅区的环境污染和健康风险,促进创建安全、经济、有韧性的城市。具体而言,该研究调查了安卡拉市耶尼玛哈勒 UStD 中铬(Cr)、镉(Cd)、镍(Ni)、铜(Cu)、铅(Pb)和锌(Zn)的浓度和空间分布。UStD中锌、铬、铅、镉、镍和铜的平均浓度分别为97.98、66.88、55.22、52.45、38.37和3.81毫克/千克。这些元素的地质累积污染指数(Igeo)值分别为镉(5.12)、镍(1.61)、铬(1.21)、铅(1.13)、铜(0.78)和锌(0.24)。这些指数表明,该地区受到铬、铅和镍的中度污染,受到铜和锌的未污染至中度污染,以及受到镉的极度污染。铬、镉、镍、铜、铅和锌的危害指数 (HI) 值低于成人非致癌风险阈值,表明没有重大风险。然而,对于儿童而言,铅、镍、镉和锌的危害指数值分别为 3.37、1.80、1.25 和 1.25,表明风险较高。镉、镍和铅的致癌风险 (RI) 对儿童和成人都很显著,表明通过摄入、吸入和皮肤接触的暴露是危险的。研究结果强调了对自然和人为活动采取战略性减缓措施的必要性,为居民、决策者、利益相关者和城市规划者提供了重要的启示。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of the efficacy of low intensity laser and peloid therapy in patients with subacromial impingement syndrome. 比较低强度激光疗法和球囊疗法对肩峰下撞击综合征患者的疗效。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02660-2
Fatma Caglayan Agir, Savas Karpuz, Ramazan Yilmaz, Halil Ekrem Akkurt, Halim Yilmaz

The objective of this study was to compare the impact of peloid and low-level laser (LLLT) treatment in conjunction with a home exercise programme on short-term symptomatic pain, functional status and quality of life in individuals diagnosed with subacromial impingement syndrome (SIS). A total of 168 patients diagnosed with SIS were included in the study, with 56 receiving LLLT + exercise, 56 receiving peloidotherapy + exercise, and 56 receiving exercise only. Patients underwent clinical evaluations prior to treatment (first measurement), after treatment completion (second measurement), and one month post-treatment (third measurement). Pain was evaluated using the Visual Analog Scale (VAS). Functional status was evaluated using the Shoulder Pain and Disability Index (SPADI), and quality of life was evaluated using the Short Form 36 (SF-36). Active range of motion of the shoulder was measured by the same investigator using a goniometer. Statistically significant improvements in VAS, SPADI, SF-36, and ROM parameters were achieved after treatment and at 1 month follow-up compared to pretreatment in both active treatment groups (p < .05). The third group showed significant improvements in ROM and SF-36 physical components after treatment and 1 month later (p < .05). Low-level laser therapy or peloid therapy given in addition to home exercise therapy for SIS were found to have similar short-term effects on pain, functional status, quality of life and ROM.

这项研究的目的是比较骨盆和低强度激光(LLLT)治疗结合家庭锻炼计划对肩峰下撞击综合征(SIS)患者短期症状性疼痛、功能状态和生活质量的影响。研究共纳入了168名确诊为SIS的患者,其中56人接受LLLT治疗+锻炼,56人接受骨盆治疗+锻炼,56人仅接受锻炼。患者分别在治疗前(第一次测量)、治疗结束后(第二次测量)和治疗后一个月(第三次测量)接受了临床评估。疼痛采用视觉模拟量表(VAS)进行评估。功能状态采用肩部疼痛和残疾指数(SPADI)进行评估,生活质量采用短表 36(SF-36)进行评估。肩部活动范围由同一研究人员使用动态关节角度计进行测量。与治疗前相比,两组积极治疗者在治疗后和随访 1 个月时的 VAS、SPADI、SF-36 和 ROM 参数均有明显改善(P<0.05)。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-location evaluation of field pea in Indian climates: eco-phenological dynamics, crop-environment relationships, and identification of mega-environments. 印度气候条件下大田豌豆的多地评估:生态-生态动态、作物-环境关系以及巨型环境的识别。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02720-7
Ashok K Parihar, Kali Krishna Hazra, Amrit Lamichaney, Debjyoti Sen Gupta, Jitendra Kumar, R K Mishra, Anil K Singh, Anuradha Bhartiya, Parvaze Ahmad Sofi, Ajaz A Lone, Sankar P Das, Rajesh Kumar Yadav, S S Punia, A K Singh, Geeta Rai, C S Mahto, Khajan Singh, Smita Tiwari, Ashok K Saxena, Sunil Kumar Nair, Mangla Parikh, Vijay Sharma, Sudhakar P Mishra, Deepak Singh, Sanjeev Gupta, G P Dixit

Characterization of crop-growing environments in relation to crop's genotypic performance is crucial to harness positive genotype-by-environment interactions (GEI) in systematic breeding programs. Given that, the study aimed to delineate the impact of diverse environments on crop phenology and yield traits of dwarf-statured field pea, pinpointing location(s) favoring higher yield and distinctiveness within breeding lines. We tested twelve field pea breeding lines across twenty locations in India, covering Central Zone (CZ), North Western Plain Zone (NWPZ), North Eastern Plain Zone (NEPZ), and Northern Hill Zone (NHZ). Across these locations, maximum and minimum temperatures during flowering (TMAXF, TMINF) and reproductive period (TMAXRP, TMINRP) ranged 18.9-28.3, 3.3-18.0, 15.0-30.8, and 7.9-22.1oC, respectively. Meanwhile, notable variations in phenological and agronomic traits (coefficient of variation) were observed: flowering (31%), days to maturity (21%), reproductive period (18%), grain yield (48%), and 100-seed weight (18%). Combined ANOVA demonstrated an oversized impact of environment (81%) on yield, while genotype and GEI effects were 2% and 14%, respectively. The variables TMINF, TMINRP, and cumulative growing degree-day showed positive correlations with yield, while extended vegetative and maturity durations negatively influenced yield (p < 0.05). Additionally, linear mixed-models and PCA results explained that instability in crop phenology had significant influence on field pea yield. Seed weight was markedly varied within the locations (9.9-20.8 g) and both higher and lower seed weights were associated with lower yields (Optimal = 17.1 g). HA-GGE biplot-based on environment focus-scaling demonstrated three mega-environments and specific locations viz. Kota (CZ), SK Nagar (CZ), Raipur (CZ), Sehore (CZ), and Pantnagar (NWPZ) as the ideal testing-environments with high efficiency in selecting new genotypes with wider adaptability. The study findings highlight distinct impact of environments on crop phenology and agronomic traits of field pea (dwarf-type), hold substantial value in designing efficient field pea (dwarf-type) breeding program at mega-environment scale.

要在系统育种计划中利用基因型与环境之间的正向相互作用(GEI),作物生长环境与作物基因型表现之间的特征描述至关重要。有鉴于此,本研究旨在确定不同环境对矮杆大田豌豆的作物表型和产量性状的影响,找出有利于提高产量和育种品系独特性的位置。我们在印度的 20 个地点测试了 12 个大田豌豆育种品系,包括中央区(CZ)、西北平原区(NWPZ)、东北平原区(NEPZ)和北部丘陵区(NHZ)。在这些地点,开花期(TMAXF、TMINF)和生殖期(TMAXRP、TMINRP)的最高和最低温度分别为 18.9-28.3、3.3-18.0、15.0-30.8 和 7.9-22.1oC。同时,还观察到以下物候和农艺性状的显著差异(变异系数):开花期(31%)、成熟天数(21%)、生育期(18%)、谷物产量(48%)和百粒重(18%)。综合方差分析表明,环境对产量的影响过大(81%),而基因型和 GEI 的影响分别为 2% 和 14%。变量 TMINF、TMINRP 和累积生长度日与产量呈正相关,而无性繁殖期和成熟期的延长则对产量有负面影响(p
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引用次数: 0
Effect of local mud application in patients with knee osteoarthritis - A systematic review and meta-analysis. 局部涂泥对膝关节骨关节炎患者的影响--系统回顾与荟萃分析。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02725-2
Deenadayalan Boopalan, Venugopal Vijayakumar, Shantichitra Kalidas, Poornima Ravi, Arthi Balakrishnan, Poonguzhali Shanmugam, Velan Arumugam, Maheshkumar Kuppusamy, Govindasamy Karuppasamy

Mud therapy is a safe, cost-effective approach for Knee Osteoarthritis (OA), promoting healing through warmth and minerals, providing pain relief, and improving function. The main objective of the current review is to assess the effectiveness of local mud application for pain management in patients with Knee OA. The published papers were obtained from PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library, ClinicalTrails.gov, Web of Science, and references from relevant systematic reviews from 1990 January to February 2023. Trials meeting the predefined criteria were included in this meta-analysis. The main focus of this study was to assess pain as a primary outcome measure. R software version 4.3.1 and Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 1 were used to derive meta-analysis and risk of bias in the included studies. A meta-analysis was performed using the fixed-effects model to obtain a summary of treatment effects, which calculated the effect size (standardized mean difference; SMD) along with a 95% Confidence Interval (CI).In the current meta-analysis, a total of ten studies with 560 Knee OA patients were included. Findings demonstrated significant effects of local mud application on pain (SMD: -0.36, 95% CI: -0.56, -0.16), and the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) scale (SMD: -0.49, 95% CI: -0.68, -0.29) for individuals suffering from Knee OA. The current study identified compelling evidence to support the recommendation of mud application as an effective intervention for individuals with Knee OA. While local mud application may serve as a supplementary therapy alongside conventional medical approaches for improved Knee OA management, additional high-quality randomized controlled trials are required to validate these findings.

泥疗是治疗膝关节骨性关节炎(OA)的一种安全、经济有效的方法,可通过温热和矿物质促进愈合,缓解疼痛并改善功能。本综述的主要目的是评估局部涂泥对膝关节 OA 患者疼痛治疗的有效性。发表的论文来自 PubMed、Embase、Scopus、Cochrane Library、ClinicalTrails.gov、Web of Science,以及 1990 年 1 月至 2023 年 2 月期间相关系统综述的参考文献。符合预定标准的试验被纳入本次荟萃分析。本研究的重点是将疼痛作为主要结果进行评估。使用 R 软件 4.3.1 版和 Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool 1 对纳入的研究进行荟萃分析并得出偏倚风险。本次荟萃分析共纳入了 10 项研究,560 名膝 OA 患者。研究结果表明,局部敷泥对膝关节 OA 患者的疼痛(SMD:-0.36,95% CI:-0.56,-0.16)和西安大略和麦克马斯特大学骨关节炎指数(WOMAC)量表(SMD:-0.49,95% CI:-0.68,-0.29)有明显效果。目前的研究发现了令人信服的证据,支持将泥浆涂抹作为对膝关节 OA 患者进行有效干预的建议。虽然局部敷泥可作为一种辅助疗法,与传统医疗方法一起改善膝关节OA管理,但还需要更多高质量的随机对照试验来验证这些研究结果。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the impact of weather on stroke in summer. 调查夏季天气对中风的影响。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-24 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02724-3
Tianyi Hao, Xiaojia Wang, Suqin Han, Qing Yao, Jing Ding

The objective of this study is to explore how changes in weather contribute to an increase in hospital admissions for stroke in summer. We collected 96,509 cases of stroke hospitalization data in Tianjin from 2016 to 2022 summer, along with corresponding meteorological data. The generalized additive model and distributed lag nonlinear model were used to analyze the lag and cumulative effects of temperature on stroke hospitalization. The research results show both the cold effect and the heat effect in summer would increase the risk of hospitalization. The effect of daily maximum temperature on stroke hospitalization was immediate when the temperature was higher, and delayed when the temperature was lower. However, the risk of stroke hospitalization increased more significantly with increasing temperature than with decreasing temperature. In the presence of one or more of the following three weather changes: sharp temperature increase, sharp temperature decrease, continuous high temperature, the daily number of stroke inpatients were higher than the average in the same period. 83% of the Inpatient-heavy events within the study period were caused by a combination of dramatic temperature changes and continuous high temperatures. In 48% of Inpatient-heavy events, continuous high temperature weather above 30℃ for at least 4 consecutive days were observed. And 55% of high temperature weather was accompanied by high humidity. When the daily relative humidity was greater than 70% and the daily maximum temperature was between 26 and 28℃ or more than 34℃, or the daily maximum temperature changes over 10℃ within 48 h, the number of daily inpatients was more than 1.2 times of the average daily inpatients. More attention should be paid to the combined effects of continuous high temperature and sudden temperature changes in summer stroke prevention.

本研究旨在探讨天气变化如何导致夏季脑卒中住院人数增加。我们收集了 2016 年至 2022 年夏季天津市 96509 例脑卒中住院数据以及相应的气象数据。采用广义加法模型和分布滞后非线性模型分析气温对脑卒中住院率的滞后效应和累积效应。研究结果表明,夏季的寒冷效应和炎热效应都会增加住院风险。当气温较高时,日最高气温对脑卒中住院的影响是即时的,而当气温较低时,则是延迟的。然而,中风住院风险随气温升高而增加的程度要比随气温降低而增加的程度更明显。在出现以下三种天气变化中的一种或多种情况时:气温急剧上升、气温急剧下降、持续高温,中风住院病人的每日人数高于同期平均人数。在研究期间,83% 的重症住院病人事件是由气温急剧变化和持续高温共同造成的。在 48% 的住院病人密集事件中,至少连续 4 天出现 30℃以上的持续高温天气。55%的高温天气伴随着高湿度。当日相对湿度大于 70%,日最高气温在 26-28℃ 之间或大于 34℃,或 48 小时内日最高气温变化超过 10℃时,日住院人数是平均日住院人数的 1.2 倍以上。在夏季脑卒中预防中,应更多关注持续高温和气温骤变的综合影响。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of PM2.5 on lung function and chronic respiratory diseases: insights from genetic evidence. PM2.5 对肺功能和慢性呼吸道疾病的影响:从遗传证据中获得的启示。
IF 3 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-21 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02728-z
Bin Feng, Jie Song, Shouying Wang, Ling Chao

Background: PM2.5 has been associated with various adverse health effects, particularly affecting lung function and chronic respiratory diseases. However, the genetic causality relationship between PM2.5 exposure and lung function as well as chronic respiratory diseases remains poorly understood.

Method: We conducted a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis to investigate the causal impact of PM2.5 on lung function and chronic respiratory diseases. Instrumental variables were carefully selected, with significance thresholds (P < 5 × 10- 8), and linkage disequilibrium with an r2 value below 0.001. Additionally, SNPs with an F-statistic exceeding 10 were included to mitigate potential bias stemming from weak instrumental variables. The primary analytical approach employed the Inverse Variance Weighted method, supplemented by the Weighted Median, MR-Egger, Simple Model, and Weighted Model. Furthermore, pleiotropy and heterogeneity were evaluated through the MR-Egger intercept test and Cochrane's Q test, with a sensitivity analysis conducted using the leave-one-out method.

Results: Eight SNPs significantly associated with PM2.5 exposure were identified as Instrumental variables. Mendelian randomization analysis revealed a significant causal association between PM2.5 exposure and lung function (FEV), with an OR of 0.7284 (95% CI: 0.5799-0.9150). Similarly, PM2.5 exposure demonstrated a substantial causal effect on asthma, with an OR of 1.5280 (95% CI: 1.0470-2.2299). However, no causal association was observed between PM2.5 exposure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, with an OR of 1.5176 (95% CI: 0.8294-2.7768).

Conclusion: These findings emphasize the necessity for continued research efforts in environmental health to develop effective strategies for the prevention and management of chronic respiratory diseases.

背景:PM2.5 与多种不良健康影响有关,尤其是对肺功能和慢性呼吸道疾病的影响。然而,PM2.5 暴露与肺功能和慢性呼吸道疾病之间的遗传因果关系仍不甚明了:我们采用双样本孟德尔随机分析法研究 PM2.5 对肺功能和慢性呼吸道疾病的因果影响。我们对工具变量进行了精心挑选,设定了显著性阈值(P - 8)和r2值低于0.001的连锁不平衡。此外,还纳入了 F 统计量超过 10 的 SNP,以减少弱工具变量可能造成的偏差。主要分析方法采用了反方差加权法,并辅以加权中值法、MR-Egger 法、简单模型法和加权模型法。此外,还通过MR-Egger截距检验和Cochrane's Q检验评估了多义性和异质性,并使用leave-one-out方法进行了敏感性分析:结果:8个与PM2.5暴露明显相关的SNPs被确定为工具变量。孟德尔随机分析显示,PM2.5暴露与肺功能(FEV)之间存在显著的因果关系,OR值为0.7284(95% CI:0.5799-0.9150)。同样,PM2.5 暴露对哮喘也有很大的因果关系,OR 值为 1.5280(95% CI:1.0470-2.2299)。然而,在 PM2.5 暴露与慢性阻塞性肺病之间没有观察到因果关系,OR 值为 1.5176(95% CI:0.8294-2.7768):这些研究结果表明,有必要继续开展环境健康方面的研究工作,以制定预防和管理慢性呼吸系统疾病的有效策略。
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引用次数: 0
Ambient temperature and cardiovascular disease-related emergency room visits in Lanzhou, China from 2013 to 2019: A time-series study. 2013-2019年中国兰州环境温度与心血管疾病相关急诊就诊率:一项时间序列研究。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-19 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02718-1
Yilin Ye, Hongran Ma, Jiyuan Dong, Jiancheng Wang

This study assessed the links between daily mean temperature and emergency room (ER) admissions for total and cause-specific cardiovascular diseases (CVD) in Lanzhou, China from 2013 to 2019. A quasi-Poisson Generalized Additive Model (GAM) and a Distributed Lag Non-Linear Model (DLNM) were used to determine the effects of temperature on total and cause-specific cardiovascular emergency visits. The relative risks (RR) at cold (hot) temperatures were calculated by comparing the 5th (95th) centile of temperature with the minimum morbidity temperature (MMT). Exposure-response curves demonstrating an inverted U-shape or an irregular M-shape association were observed between temperature and total and cause-specific CVD. The study found that both cold and hot temperatures had negative impacts on emergency room visits for various cardiovascular diseases. For people with total CVD, heart rhythm disturbances (HRD), or cerebrovascular diseases (CD), females were more sensitive to temperature than males, while for ischemic heart disease (IHD) and heart failure (HF), males were more vulnerable to temperature. The < 65 years old with total CVD, IHD, HRD, or CD was more susceptible to the effects of temperature. The results indicated that the relationship between temperature and total and cause-specific CVD was nonlinear, and susceptibility to temperature varied across disease subtype, gender, and age.

本研究评估了2013年至2019年期间中国兰州日平均气温与心血管疾病(CVD)总数和特定病因急诊室(ER)入院人数之间的联系。研究采用准泊松广义相加模型(GAM)和分布式滞后非线性模型(DLNM)来确定温度对心血管疾病总门急诊量和特定病因门急诊量的影响。通过比较温度的第 5(95)百分位数与最低发病温度(MMT),计算出冷(热)温度下的相对风险(RR)。温度与总心血管疾病和特定病因心血管疾病之间的暴露-反应曲线呈倒 U 型或不规则 M 型。研究发现,低温和高温都会对各种心血管疾病的急诊就诊率产生负面影响。对于总体心血管疾病、心律紊乱(HRD)或脑血管疾病(CD)患者来说,女性比男性对温度更敏感,而对于缺血性心脏病(IHD)和心力衰竭(HF)患者来说,男性更容易受到温度的影响。温度
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引用次数: 0
Perspectives of nature-based tourism-dependent communities on climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana. 博茨瓦纳奥卡万戈三角洲以自然旅游为生的社区对气候变化的看法。
IF 3.2 3区 地球科学 Q2 BIOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2024-06-18 DOI: 10.1007/s00484-024-02719-0
Wame L Hambira, Oluwatoyin D Kolawole, Jarkko Saarinen, Oliver Moses, Kutlwano Mulale, Patricia K Mogomotsi

The intensity and frequency of climate extremes such as heat waves, droughts and extreme rainfall events are projected to rise. This will increase the severity of their impacts across socio-ecological systems. Economic sectors such as nature-based tourism become more vulnerable because of their reliance on climate and natural capital as key resources. While attempts have been made to understand how climate change may impact tourists and the industry itself, little is known about the same on tourism-dependent communities. This paper determines the extent to which tourism-dependent communities are vulnerable to climate change in the Okavango Delta, Botswana, to enhance their wider livelihood the development of strategies for improving adaptive capacity, resilience, and reduced exposure sensitivities. A household survey of 172 households was conducted in three purposively selected villages of Mababe, Sankuyo and Khwai, actively involved in community-based tourism for their socio-economic development. Information sourced related to livelihood options, peoples' resilience, local risks, and hazards. The data was analysed using descriptive statistics and thematic analysis. The results indicate that respondents have observed climatic changes over the years such as increased temperatures, decreased rainfall, and increased frequencies of extreme events. The respondents attributed changes in natural capital to these observed climatic conditions in the form of desiccation, dwindling populations of some wildlife species, decreased fish stocks and reduced vegetation cover. This renders the tourism-dependent communities vulnerable as their livelihood is threatened. The paper thus concludes that climate change adaptation is an urgent priority for local communities who are already exposed to existing climatic and non-climatic stresses.

预计热浪、干旱和极端降雨事件等极端气候的强度和频率都将上升。这将加剧其对整个社会生态系统的影响。以自然为基础的旅游业等经济部门由于依赖气候和自然资本作为关键资源,因此变得更加脆弱。虽然人们已经尝试了解气候变化会如何影响游客和旅游业本身,但对依赖旅游业的社区的影响却知之甚少。本文确定了博茨瓦纳奥卡万戈三角洲以旅游业为生的社区在多大程度上易受气候变化的影响,以加强其更广泛的生计,制定提高适应能力、复原力和降低风险敏感性的战略。在马巴贝(Mababe)、桑库约(Sankuyo)和克瓦伊(Khwai)三个特意选定的村庄,对 172 户家庭进行了住户调查,这些家庭积极参与社区旅游业,以促进其社会经济发展。收集的信息涉及生计选择、人们的适应能力、当地风险和危害。采用描述性统计和专题分析法对数据进行了分析。结果表明,受访者观察到了多年来的气候变化,如气温升高、降雨量减少、极端事件频率增加等。受访者将自然资本的变化归因于这些观察到的气候条件,具体表现为干燥、一些野生动物物种数量减少、鱼类资源减少以及植被覆盖率降低。这使得依赖旅游业的社区变得脆弱,因为他们的生计受到威胁。因此,本文得出结论,对于已经面临现有气候和非气候压力的当地社区而言,适应气候变化是当务之急。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Biometeorology
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