Non-invasive, fast, and high-performance EGFR gene mutation prediction method based on deep transfer learning and model stacking for patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

Abstract

Purpose

To propose an intelligent, non-invasive, highly precise, and rapid method to predict the mutation status of the Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR) to accelerate treatment with Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor (TKI) for patients with untreated adenocarcinoma Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer.

Materials and methods

Real-world data from 521 patients with adenocarcinoma NSCLC who performed a CT scan and underwent surgery or pathological biopsy to determine EGFR gene mutation between January 2021 and July 2022, is collected. Solutions to the problems that prevent the model from achieving very high precision, namely: human errors made during the annotation of the database and the low precision of the output decision of the model, are proposed. Thus, among the 521 analyzed cases, only 40 were selected as patients with EGFR gene mutation and 98 cases with wild-type EGFR.

Results

The proposed model is trained, validated, and tested on 12,040 2D images extracted from the 138 CT scans images where patients were randomly partitioned into training (80 %) and test (20 %) sets. The performance obtained for EGFR gene mutation prediction was 95.22 % for accuracy, 960.2 for F1_score, 95.89 % for precision, 96.92 % for sensitivity, 94.01 % for Cohen kappa, and 98 % for AUC.

Conclusion

An EGFR gene mutation status prediction method, with high-performance thanks to an intelligent prediction model entrained by highly accurate annotated data is proposed. The outcome of this project will facilitate rapid decision-making when applying a TKI as an initial treatment.