Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage
{"title":"The impact of AI on the workforce: Tasks versus jobs?","authors":"Kathryn Bonney , Cory Breaux , Catherine Buffington , Emin Dinlersoz , Lucia Foster , Nathan Goldschlag , John Haltiwanger , Zachary Kroff , Keith Savage","doi":"10.1016/j.econlet.2024.111971","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":2,"journal":{"name":"ACS Applied Bio Materials","volume":"244 ","pages":"Article 111971"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"ACS Applied Bio Materials","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0165176524004555","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MATERIALS SCIENCE, BIOMATERIALS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Will the adoption of AI by businesses substitute for worker tasks or jobs? This is a core question for which relatively scarce evidence exists—especially in the wake of recent advances in generative AI. Using a new large-scale business survey by the U.S. Census Bureau, we find that AI use is having a much greater impact on worker tasks than on employment levels at the firm level. About 27% of firms using AI report replacing worker tasks, but only about 5% experience employment change due to AI use. These rates are expected to increase to nearly 35% and 12%, respectively, in the near future.
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