A novel framework for assessing the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought processes in Northwest China

Abstract

Ecological drought has emerged as a critical research topic within eco-hydrology, driven by the increased drought risk associated with global warming. This study aims to unravel the hydrological processes driving ecological drought in Northwest China by (1) constructing standardized indices for precipitation, groundwater storage anomaly, and ecological water deficit to detect variation across different hydrological components; (2) developing a framework to assess the joint and relative impacts of precipitation and groundwater variations on ecological drought; and (3) identifying the primary hydrological drivers of ecological drought across different regions. The results indicate that the joint impact of precipitation and groundwater on ecological drought variation dominates approximately 60% of the area, primarily in arid and semi-arid regions. The average contribution of this joint impact to the alleviation of ecological drought ranges between 0.26 and 0.43 across all seasons. Notably, groundwater scarcity, rather than precipitation variation, is the primary driver of ecological drought in regions such as southern Shaanxi, southeastern Gansu, and southern Qinghai, accounting for 12.7% to 21.8% of the total area. These insights into the complex hydrological processes underlying ecological drought have significant implications for water resource management and ecosystem conservation in drought-prone regions. This research provides valuable information for mitigating drought impacts and protecting vulnerable ecosystems in Northwest China and similar regions worldwide.