Reconstructing high-resolution subsurface temperature of the global ocean using deep forest with combined remote sensing and in situ observations

Abstract

Estimating high-resolution ocean subsurface temperature has great importance for the refined study of ocean climate variability and change. However, the insufficient resolution and accuracy of subsurface temperature data greatly limits our comprehensive understanding of mesoscale and other fine-scale ocean processes. In this study, we integrated multiple remote sensing data and in situ observations to compare four models within two frameworks (gradient boosting and deep learning). The optimal model, Deep Forest, was selected to generate a high-resolution subsurface temperature dataset (DORS0.25°) for the upper 2000 m from 1993 to 2023. DORS0.25° exhibits excellent reconstruction accuracy, with an average R² of 0.980 and RMSE of 0.579 °C, and the monthly average accuracy is higher than IAP and ORAS5 datasets. Particularly, DORS0.25° can effectively capture detailed ocean warming characteristics in complex dynamic regions such as the Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio Extension, facilitating the study of mesoscale processes and warming within the global-scale ocean. Moreover, the research highlights that the rate of warming over the past decade has been significant, and ocean warming has consistently reached new highs since 2019. This study has demonstrated that DORS0.25° is a crucial dataset for understanding and monitoring the spatiotemporal characteristics and processes of global ocean warming, providing valuable data support for the sustainable development of the marine environment and climate change actions.