Assessing the impact of new technologies on wages and labour income shares

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123782
Mahdi Ghodsi , Robert Stehrer , Antea Barišić
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Abstract

This paper advances the literature on the impacts of new technologies on labour markets, focusing on wage and labour income shares. Using a dataset from 32 countries and 38 industries, we analyse the effects of new technologies – proxied by patents, information and communication technology (ICT) capital usage, and robot intensity – on average wages and labour income shares over time. Our results indicate a positive correlation between patents and wage levels along with a minor negative impact on labour income shares, suggesting that technology rents are not fully passed on to labour. Robot intensity is positively associated with labour income shares, while ICT capital has an insignificant effect. These effects persist over time and are reinforced by global value chain (GVC) linkages. Our conclusions align with recent research indicating that new technologies have a generally limited impact on wages and labour income shares.
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评估新技术对工资和劳动收入份额的影响
本文推进了有关新技术对劳动力市场影响的文献,重点关注工资和劳动收入份额。我们利用 32 个国家和 38 个行业的数据集,分析了新技术--以专利、信息与通信技术(ICT)资本使用和机器人密集度为代表--随着时间的推移对平均工资和劳动收入份额的影响。我们的研究结果表明,专利与工资水平之间存在正相关关系,但对劳动收入份额有轻微的负面影响,这表明技术租金并没有完全转嫁给劳动力。机器人密集度与劳动收入份额呈正相关,而信息和通信技术资本的影响并不显著。这些影响随着时间的推移而持续,并因全球价值链(GVC)联系而得到加强。我们的结论与最近的研究一致,即新技术对工资和劳动收入份额的影响普遍有限。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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