Scenario-Based Optimal Real-Time Charging Strategy of Electric Vehicles with Bayesian Long Short-Term Memory Networks

Abstract

Joint operation optimization for electric vehicles (EVs) and on-site or adjacent photovoltaic generation (PVG) are pivotal to maintaining the security and economics of the operation of the power system concerned. Conventional offline optimization algorithms lack real-time applicability due to uncertainties involved in the charging service of an EV charging station (EVCS). Firstly, an optimization model for real-time EV charging strategy is proposed to address these challenges, which accounts for environmental uncertainties of an EVCS, encompassing EV arrivals, charging demands, PVG outputs, and the electricity price. Then, a scenario-based two-stage optimization approach is formulated. The scenarios of the underlying uncertain environmental factors are generated by the Bayesian long short-term memory (B-LSTM) network. Finally, numerical results substantiate the efficacy of the proposed optimization approach, and demonstrate superior profitability compared with prevalent approaches.