Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Trends, 2010-2022: An Update with Final Data.

Abstract

Introduction: Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) for cardiovascular diseases (CVD) increased in 2020 and 2021, and provisional data indicated an increase in 2022, resulting in substantial excess CVD deaths during the COVID-19 pandemic. Updated estimates using final data for 2022 are needed.

Methods: The National Vital Statistics System's final Multiple Cause of Death files were analyzed in 2024 to calculate AAMR from 2010 to 2022 and excess deaths from 2020 to 2022 for U.S. adults aged ≥35 years, with CVD as the underlying cause of death.

Results: The CVD AAMR among adults aged ≥35 years in 2022 was 434.6 deaths per 100,000 (95% CI=433.8, 435.5), which was lower than in 2021 (451.8 deaths per 100,000; 95% CI=450.9, 452.7). The most recent year with a similarly high CVD AAMR as in 2022 was 2012 (434.7 deaths per 100,000 population, 95% CI=433.8, 435.7). The CVD AAMR for 2022 calculated using provisional data overestimated the AAMR calculated using final data by 4.6% (95% CI=4.3%, 4.9%) or 19.9 (95% CI=18.6, 21.2) deaths per 100,000 population. From 2020 to 2022, an estimated 190,661 (95% CI=158,139, 223,325) excess CVD deaths occurred.

Conclusions: In 2022, the CVD AAMR among adults aged ≥35 years did not increase, but rather declined from a peak in 2021, signaling improvements in adverse mortality trends that began in 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the 2022 CVD AAMR remains higher than observed before the COVID-19 pandemic, indicating an ongoing need for CVD prevention, detection, and management.