Emiliano Ceccarelli , Giada Minelli , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Marco Martuzzi
{"title":"Understanding excess mortality in 2022: The dual impact of COVID-19 and heatwaves on the Italian elderly population","authors":"Emiliano Ceccarelli , Giada Minelli , Antonello Maruotti , Giovanna Jona Lasinio , Marco Martuzzi","doi":"10.1016/j.healthplace.2024.103357","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we employ a comprehensive approach to model the concurrent effects of the COVID-19 epidemic and heatwaves on all-cause excess mortality. Our investigation uncovers distinct peaks in excess mortality, notably among individuals aged 80 years and older, revealing a strong positive correlation with excess temperatures (ET) during the summer of 2022 in Italy. Furthermore, we identify a notable role played by COVID-19 hospitalizations, exhibiting regional disparities, particularly during the winter months. Leveraging functional data regression, we offer robust and coherent insights into the excess mortality trends observed in Italy throughout 2022.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49302,"journal":{"name":"Health & Place","volume":"90 ","pages":"Article 103357"},"PeriodicalIF":3.8000,"publicationDate":"2024-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Health & Place","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1353829224001850","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In this study, we employ a comprehensive approach to model the concurrent effects of the COVID-19 epidemic and heatwaves on all-cause excess mortality. Our investigation uncovers distinct peaks in excess mortality, notably among individuals aged 80 years and older, revealing a strong positive correlation with excess temperatures (ET) during the summer of 2022 in Italy. Furthermore, we identify a notable role played by COVID-19 hospitalizations, exhibiting regional disparities, particularly during the winter months. Leveraging functional data regression, we offer robust and coherent insights into the excess mortality trends observed in Italy throughout 2022.