The “three-point shooting paradox”: An artifact or a real phenomenon? Replication with large-scale National Basketball Association (NBA) data

IF 3.1 2区 心理学 Q2 HOSPITALITY, LEISURE, SPORT & TOURISM Psychology of Sport and Exercise Pub Date : 2024-10-05 DOI:10.1016/j.psychsport.2024.102759
Elia Morgulev
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Abstract

Psychological science is often being criticized for failing to reproduce some of its findings. Considering this critique, Iso-Ahola (2024) argues that it is important to establish a demarcation line between artifact and a real phenomenon, recognizing that psychological phenomena are not constant particles that can be definitively declared to exist or not exist upon discovery. In this brief paper, we utilize newly available large-scale data to replicate a finding by Lidor et al. (2022), who reported a psychological effect wherein professional basketball players shoot better under tight defensive pressure rather than free of it. The current analysis of 781,663 three-point shots over 11 seasons in NBA (as compared to 382 shots taken by 12 players during 12 games in the original study) failed to support the idea of the three-point shooting paradox but instead strongly supports the commonsense hypothesis that tight defense hinders shooting performance.
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三分球悖论":是伪命题还是真实现象?利用全国篮球协会(NBA)的大规模数据进行复制。
心理科学常常因为无法再现某些研究成果而受到批评。考虑到这种批评,Iso-Ahola(2024 年)认为,重要的是要在人工制品和真实现象之间建立一条分界线,要认识到心理现象并不是恒定的粒子,并不是一经发现就可以明确宣布存在或不存在。在这篇简短的论文中,我们利用新近获得的大规模数据复制了 Lidor 等人(2022 年)的一项发现,他们报告了一种心理效应,即职业篮球运动员在严密的防守压力下投篮比在自由防守压力下投篮更准。目前对 NBA 11 个赛季中 781,633 次三分球投篮的分析(相比之下,原研究中 12 名球员在 12 场比赛中投篮 382 次)未能支持三分球投篮悖论的观点,反而有力地支持了严密防守阻碍投篮表现这一常识性假设。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
172
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Psychology of Sport and Exercise is an international forum for scholarly reports in the psychology of sport and exercise, broadly defined. The journal is open to the use of diverse methodological approaches. Manuscripts that will be considered for publication will present results from high quality empirical research, systematic reviews, meta-analyses, commentaries concerning already published PSE papers or topics of general interest for PSE readers, protocol papers for trials, and reports of professional practice (which will need to demonstrate academic rigour and go beyond mere description). The CONSORT guidelines consort-statement need to be followed for protocol papers for trials; authors should present a flow diagramme and attach with their cover letter the CONSORT checklist. For meta-analysis, the PRISMA prisma-statement guidelines should be followed; authors should present a flow diagramme and attach with their cover letter the PRISMA checklist. For systematic reviews it is recommended that the PRISMA guidelines are followed, although it is not compulsory. Authors interested in submitting replications of published studies need to contact the Editors-in-Chief before they start their replication. We are not interested in manuscripts that aim to test the psychometric properties of an existing scale from English to another language, unless new validation methods are used which address previously unanswered research questions.
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