An All-In-One Rapid Prediction of Ground Motion Intensity Measures Hybrid Network for Multi-Task in the North-South Seismic Belt of China

IF 2.9 3区 地球科学 Q2 ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS Earth and Space Science Pub Date : 2024-10-08 DOI:10.1029/2024EA003664
Qingxu Zhao, Mianshui Rong, Bin Zhang, Xiaojun Li
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Abstract

The north-south seismic belt of China poses a high risk of earthquakes, necessitating the need for accurate and rapid prediction of intensity measures (IMs) to prevent and mitigate potential damage. We have developed a new multi-task model, CRAQuake, to predict IMs for the north-south seismic belt of China. Using initial arrival seismic waves recorded at a single station as input, CRAQuake simultaneously predicts six IMs without relying on pre-configured parameters such as earthquake source, path, and location. The model was trained on 4,281 sets of strong motion records data sets at 822 stations and tested to show highly correlated results with the target IMs. The prediction performance continues to improve as the input initial arrival seismic wave time window increases. CRAQuake promises to enhance the accuracy and timeliness of IMs prediction in the north-south seismic belt of China.

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中国南北地震带多任务地震动强度一体化快速预测措施混合网络
中国南北地震带的地震风险很高,因此需要准确、快速地预测烈度措施(IMs),以预防和减轻潜在的破坏。我们开发了一种新的多任务模型 CRAQuake,用于预测中国南北地震带的烈度措施。CRAQuake 使用单个台站记录的初至地震波作为输入,同时预测六种 IM,而无需依赖预先配置的参数,如震源、路径和位置。该模型在 822 个台站的 4281 组强运动记录数据集上进行了训练,并通过测试显示出与目标 IM 高度相关的结果。随着输入初至地震波时间窗的增加,预测性能不断提高。CRAQuake 有望提高中国南北地震带强震预测的准确性和及时性。
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来源期刊
Earth and Space Science
Earth and Space Science Earth and Planetary Sciences-General Earth and Planetary Sciences
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
3.20%
发文量
285
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Marking AGU’s second new open access journal in the last 12 months, Earth and Space Science is the only journal that reflects the expansive range of science represented by AGU’s 62,000 members, including all of the Earth, planetary, and space sciences, and related fields in environmental science, geoengineering, space engineering, and biogeochemistry.
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