How Do Household Coping Strategies Evolve With Increased Food Insecurity? An Examination of Nigeria's Food Price Shock of 2015–2018

IF 4 2区 农林科学 Q2 FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY Food and Energy Security Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI:10.1002/fes3.70012
Justin Quinton, Glenn P. Jenkins, Godwin Olasehinde-Williams
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Abstract

Faced with a significant devaluation of its currency and a surge in food prices, the Nigerian government prohibited the use of foreign currency for food imports. This essentially blocked the importation of numerous food items under the guise of stimulating the domestic output of these staples. Consequently, food prices in Nigeria increased despite a global decline in food prices, and the incidence and severity of food insecurity escalated. This study examines the changes in the types and severity of coping mechanisms for food insecurity resulting from the food price shock caused by the oil price crash, currency devaluation, and restrictions on foreign exchange. Nigeria's General Household Survey Panel data from 2012 and 2015, during periods of high oil prices, is compared with data from 2018 when oil prices had remained low, the currency had been devalued, and the treasury had been depleted. Alongside detailed descriptive statistics, logistic and hurdle regressions are employed for statistical analysis. Findings indicate a rise in the percentage of Nigerian households grappling with food insecurity from 2015 to 2018. During this period, 68.7% of households resorted to at least one coping mechanism, 31.8% adopted six or more coping strategies, and 43.2% resorted to severe coping strategies. The issue stems not primarily from natural disasters or conflicts but from a failure in macroeconomic and agricultural economic policies. Our findings confirm that these policies come at great cost, particularly to female-headed households, single-parent households, households headed by elderly people, and other vulnerable populations, pushing them deeper into food insecurity.

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家庭应对策略如何随粮食不安全加剧而演变?对尼日利亚 2015-2018 年粮食价格冲击的研究
面对货币大幅贬值和食品价格飙升,尼日利亚政府禁止使用外汇进口食品。这实质上是以刺激国内主食生产为幌子,阻止了许多食品的进口。因此,尽管全球粮食价格下降,尼日利亚的粮食价格上涨,粮食不安全的发生率和严重程度上升。本研究探讨了石油价格暴跌、货币贬值和外汇限制造成的粮食价格冲击所导致的粮食不安全应对机制的类型和严重程度的变化。本研究将 2012 年和 2015 年高油价时期的尼日利亚普通家庭调查小组数据与 2018 年油价持续走低、货币贬值和国库枯竭时期的数据进行了比较。除了详细的描述性统计外,还采用了逻辑回归和障碍回归进行统计分析。研究结果表明,从 2015 年到 2018 年,尼日利亚面临粮食不安全问题的家庭比例有所上升。在此期间,68.7%的家庭采用了至少一种应对机制,31.8%的家庭采用了六种或六种以上的应对策略,43.2%的家庭采用了严重的应对策略。这个问题主要不是源于自然灾害或冲突,而是源于宏观经济和农业经济政策的失误。我们的研究结果证实,这些政策付出了巨大的代价,尤其是对女户主家庭、单亲家庭、老年人为户主的家庭和其他弱势群体而言,使他们陷入更深的粮食不安全境地。
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来源期刊
Food and Energy Security
Food and Energy Security Energy-Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
CiteScore
9.30
自引率
4.00%
发文量
76
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: Food and Energy Security seeks to publish high quality and high impact original research on agricultural crop and forest productivity to improve food and energy security. It actively seeks submissions from emerging countries with expanding agricultural research communities. Papers from China, other parts of Asia, India and South America are particularly welcome. The Editorial Board, headed by Editor-in-Chief Professor Martin Parry, is determined to make FES the leading publication in its sector and will be aiming for a top-ranking impact factor. Primary research articles should report hypothesis driven investigations that provide new insights into mechanisms and processes that determine productivity and properties for exploitation. Review articles are welcome but they must be critical in approach and provide particularly novel and far reaching insights. Food and Energy Security offers authors a forum for the discussion of the most important advances in this field and promotes an integrative approach of scientific disciplines. Papers must contribute substantially to the advancement of knowledge. Examples of areas covered in Food and Energy Security include: • Agronomy • Biotechnological Approaches • Breeding & Genetics • Climate Change • Quality and Composition • Food Crops and Bioenergy Feedstocks • Developmental, Physiology and Biochemistry • Functional Genomics • Molecular Biology • Pest and Disease Management • Post Harvest Biology • Soil Science • Systems Biology
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