Machine learning embedded hybrid MCDM model to mitigate decision uncertainty in transport safety planning for OAS countries

IF 6.2 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Socio-economic Planning Sciences Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI:10.1016/j.seps.2024.102082
Weijie Zhou , Hanrui Feng , Zeyu Guo , Huating Jia , Yue Li , Xinyue Luo , Siwei Ran , Hanming Zhang , Ziyu Zhou , Jiakai Yuan , Jiaxin Liu , Shijie Sun , Faan Chen
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Abstract

Providing defensible decisions is a prerequisite for methodologies of multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) activities, and this is especially true for socio-economic analysis in public sector. This study proposes an all-in-one MCDM model with machine learning algorithms. The model integrates the method based on the removal effects of criteria (MEREC), combined compromise solution (CoCoSo), and density-based spatial clustering of applications with noise (DBSCAN), i.e., MEREC–CoCoSo–DBSCAN. In particular, the uniform manifold approximation and projection (UMAP) is implanted in DBSCAN to reduce the data dimensionality, and the k-nearest neighbors (KNN) algorithm is embedded to determine the inflection points (ɛ) and minPts in the data. This counters the inherent model failure of DBSCAN in dealing with high-dimensional data and eliminates the requirement for manual intervention in the model procedure, thereby fully avoiding potential human error and automating the computing process. A case study on benchmarking transport safety systems for member countries of the Organization of American States (OAS) demonstrates the reliability, adaptability, and efficiency of the proposed model. It moreover reflects its feasibility in resolving real-life socio-economic issues by offering valuable insights and potential solutions in economic investment and funding allocation in regard to transport safety strategy. Overall, this study provides government officials, managers, and policymakers with a valuable tool for handling MCDM activities in socio-economic development with considerable practicality and credibility.
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嵌入机器学习的混合 MCDM 模型,用于减少美洲国家组织国家运输安全规划中的决策不确定性
提供站得住脚的决策是多标准决策(MCDM)活动方法的先决条件,对于公共部门的社会经济分析尤其如此。本研究提出了一种采用机器学习算法的一体化 MCDM 模型。该模型集成了基于标准去除效应的方法(MEREC)、组合折衷方案(CoCoSo)和基于密度的带噪声空间聚类应用(DBSCAN),即 MEREC-CoCoSo-DBSCAN。其中,统一流形近似和投影(UMAP)被植入 DBSCAN 以降低数据维度,K-近邻(KNN)算法被植入 DBSCAN 以确定数据中的拐点(ɛ)和最小值。这就解决了 DBSCAN 在处理高维数据时固有的模型失效问题,并消除了人工干预模型过程的要求,从而充分避免了潜在的人为错误,实现了计算过程的自动化。一项关于美洲国家组织(OAS)成员国运输安全系统基准的案例研究证明了所提模型的可靠性、适应性和高效性。此外,该研究还反映了该模型在解决现实生活中的社会经济问题方面的可行性,为运输安全战略方面的经济投资和资金分配提供了有价值的见解和潜在的解决方案。总之,本研究为政府官员、管理人员和政策制定者提供了在社会经济发展过程中处理 MCDM 活动的宝贵工具,具有相当的实用性和可信度。
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来源期刊
Socio-economic Planning Sciences
Socio-economic Planning Sciences OPERATIONS RESEARCH & MANAGEMENT SCIENCE-
CiteScore
9.40
自引率
13.10%
发文量
294
审稿时长
58 days
期刊介绍: Studies directed toward the more effective utilization of existing resources, e.g. mathematical programming models of health care delivery systems with relevance to more effective program design; systems analysis of fire outbreaks and its relevance to the location of fire stations; statistical analysis of the efficiency of a developing country economy or industry. Studies relating to the interaction of various segments of society and technology, e.g. the effects of government health policies on the utilization and design of hospital facilities; the relationship between housing density and the demands on public transportation or other service facilities: patterns and implications of urban development and air or water pollution. Studies devoted to the anticipations of and response to future needs for social, health and other human services, e.g. the relationship between industrial growth and the development of educational resources in affected areas; investigation of future demands for material and child health resources in a developing country; design of effective recycling in an urban setting.
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