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The quality of rural industry development: Conceptual connotation, logical construction and measurement evaluation 农村工业发展质量:概念内涵、逻辑建构与测度评价
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102427
Di Su, Guogang Wang
This study addresses the need for systematic evaluation of rural industry development quality (RIDQ) in China’s rural revitalization strategy. Drawing on systems theory and value theory, we develop a conceptual framework defining RIDQ as the degree to which objective characteristics meet societal requirements, and construct a “three dimensions, seven categories, and sixteen indicators (3D7C16I)” evaluation system. Using multiple weighting methods (AHP-EWM, ridge regression, machine learning), 1967 county-level units in 2013, 2017, and 2022 are analyzed.
Findings: (1) RIDQ shows ”high in the east, low in the west” gradient with strong spatial autocorrelation. (2) Temporally, RIDQ grows rapidly first then differentiates. (3) High/low-level regions are stable, while middle-tier regions fluctuate. (4) Neighbor environments create poverty traps (low-level), gradual optimization (medium-level), or siphoning effects (high-level). These provide empirical basis for differentiated rural revitalization policies.
本研究探讨了中国乡村振兴战略中乡村产业发展质量的系统评价需求。借鉴系统论和价值论,构建了RIDQ为客观特征满足社会要求程度的概念框架,构建了“三维、七类、十六指标(3D7C16I)”评价体系。采用多元加权方法(AHP-EWM、脊回归、机器学习),对2013年、2017年和2022年的1967个县级单位进行了分析。结果表明:(1)RIDQ呈“东高西低”的梯度,空间自相关性强;(2)时间上,RIDQ先快速增长后分化。(3)高/低层区域稳定,中层区域波动。(4)周边环境产生贫困陷阱(低水平)、逐步优化(中等水平)或虹吸效应(高水平)。这为差别化乡村振兴政策提供了实证依据。
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引用次数: 0
Global agricultural carbon emission efficiency: Using machine learning techniques to reveal driving factors and forecast future trends 全球农业碳排放效率:利用机器学习技术揭示驱动因素并预测未来趋势
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102428
Wei Wang , Xiaodong Pei , Hongtao Jiang , Mumah Edwin , Yangfen Chen
Agricultural carbon emission efficiency (ACEE) is crucial for advancing global carbon neutrality goals. However, existing research at the national level often overlooks the function of agricultural carbon sinks and exhibits deficiencies in analyzing the driving mechanisms of ACEE and making precise predictions. To address this, this paper constructs a more comprehensive ACEE measurement system and introduces machine learning techniques to thoroughly analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics, driving factors, and future trends of global ACEE. Firstly, by incorporating agricultural carbon sinks as an ecological output, this study develops an ACEE measurement system covering 162 countries, overcoming the limitations of previous studies that were often confined to regional levels or neglected carbon sinks. Measurements based on the global super-efficiency Epsilon-Based Measure model reveal that from 1995 to 2021, ACEE generally increased across countries, but spatial differentiation intensified, exhibiting a significant Matthew effect. Secondly, this study combines interpretable machine learning and geographically and temporally weighted regression to unveil the driving mechanisms of ACEE from socio-economic, agricultural, and climatic dimensions. Agricultural production level is the primary driver for enhancing ACEE, and economic development level also demonstrates a significant promoting role. However, rainfall intensity and agrochemical use intensity are the main inhibiting factors. Urbanization level, industrial structure, and agricultural trade openness negatively affect ACEE in most countries, while the positive effects of technological progress have been diminishing annually. Finally, to enhance prediction accuracy, this study employs an optimized backpropagation neural network model to predict ACEE for different country groups from 2025 to 2035. The ACEE gap between high- and low-level country groups is projected to further widen, and the global divergence trend will become more pronounced.
农业碳排放效率(ACEE)对于推进全球碳中和目标至关重要。然而,国家层面的现有研究往往忽视了农业碳汇的功能,在分析ACEE的驱动机制和做出准确预测方面存在不足。为了解决这一问题,本文构建了一个更全面的ACEE测量系统,并引入机器学习技术,深入分析了全球ACEE的时空动态、驱动因素和未来趋势。首先,通过将农业碳汇作为生态产出,构建了覆盖162个国家的ACEE测量体系,克服了以往研究往往局限于区域层面或忽视碳汇的局限性。基于全球超效率epsilon测度模型的测量结果显示,1995 - 2021年,ACEE在各国间总体呈上升趋势,但空间分异加剧,表现出显著的马太效应。其次,本研究结合可解释机器学习和地理和时间加权回归,从社会经济、农业和气候维度揭示ACEE的驱动机制。农业生产水平是提高ACEE的首要驱动力,经济发展水平也有显著的促进作用。而降雨强度和农药使用强度是主要的抑制因素。在大多数国家,城市化水平、产业结构和农业贸易开放对ACEE产生负向影响,而技术进步的正向影响呈逐年递减趋势。最后,为了提高预测精度,本研究采用优化后的反向传播神经网络模型对2025 - 2035年不同国家群体的ACEE进行了预测。预计ACEE高、低水平国家组之间的差距将进一步扩大,全球分化趋势将更加明显。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption risk indicators in public procurement: Definition and evaluation with organised crime data 公共采购中的腐败风险指标:有组织犯罪数据的定义和评估
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102429
Marianna Siino, Stefano Iezzi, Mario Gara
This paper leverages open data from Italy's Central Anti-Corruption Authority (Autorità Nazionale Anticorruzione, ANAC) and relevant literature to propose a multi-layered system of risk indicators for detecting potential corruptive conducts in public procurement. The development and use of such indicators are widespread among national and international organisations as public procurement is particularly vulnerable to corruption. This vulnerability is particularly critical in Italy, where corruption is reportedly connected to criminal infiltration. Moreover, the European institutions are currently disbursing to Italy's government an unprecedented amount of funds for infrastructures and structural reforms, which makes Italian procurement all the more attractive to criminals. The relevant literature suggests a wide array of indicators and red flags, each tackling a specific vulnerability in procurement procedures liable to be exploited for illicit ends. This paper offers a system of auction-specific individual indicators offering a wide-ranging view on all such vulnerabilities, and at the same time taking into account the actual availability of data. Due focus is drawn on missing information, held as an indicator of opaqueness in itself. Based on these indicators, we compute a composite risk measure at the auction level and, by further aggregation, develop an indicator at the level of contracting authorities. A significant contribution of this work is the use of confidential data from Italy's Financial Intelligence Unit (Unità di Informazione Finanziaria per l’Italia, UIF) on firms potentially linked to organised crime to validate these indicators, providing evidence of their effectiveness. The potential applications of these indicators include monitoring public tenders, risk-ranking of awarding authorities and contractors, prioritising investigative and anti-money laundering activities.
本文利用意大利中央反腐败局(autorit Nazionale Anticorruzione, ANAC)的公开数据和相关文献,提出了一个多层次的风险指标体系,用于发现公共采购中潜在的腐败行为。由于公共采购特别容易受到腐败的影响,这些指标的开发和使用在国家和国际组织中普遍存在。这种脆弱性在意大利尤为严重,据报道,腐败与犯罪渗透有关。此外,欧洲机构目前正在向意大利政府支付前所未有的资金,用于基础设施和结构改革,这使得意大利采购对犯罪分子更具吸引力。相关文献提出了一系列广泛的指标和危险信号,每一项都针对采购程序中可能被用于非法目的的特定脆弱性。本文提供了一个拍卖特定的个人指标系统,提供了对所有此类漏洞的广泛看法,同时考虑到数据的实际可用性。对缺失的信息给予了应有的关注,这本身就是不透明的一个指标。基于这些指标,我们在拍卖层面计算了一个综合风险度量,并通过进一步汇总,在签约当局层面开发了一个指标。这项工作的一个重要贡献是使用意大利金融情报股(unitedi Informazione Finanziaria per l 'Italia, UIF)关于可能与有组织犯罪有关的公司的机密数据来验证这些指标,为其有效性提供证据。这些指标的潜在应用包括监督公开招标、对授予当局和承包商进行风险排名、确定调查和反洗钱活动的优先次序。
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引用次数: 0
Can forestry carbon sink pledge financing improve the quality of forest management? 林业碳汇质押融资能否提高森林经营质量?
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102448
Xiao Xu , Tao Pang , Hongjun Peng , Wenting Sun
In this paper, we study a forestry operator facing financial constraints and a financial institution that provides pledge financing, using the expected revenue rights from forestry carbon sinks and the management rights of transferred forestland as collateral. Output uncertainty in forestry carbon sinks and government subsidies are explicitly considered. The problem is formulated as a Stackelberg game. We derive the forestry operator’s optimal decisions on forest quality and the financial institution’s optimal pledge rate, and investigate the effects of key factors such as the probability of deforestation disasters and the carbon sink price. Numerical analyses are also presented. The main findings are as follows. First, infrequent deforestation disasters do not affect forest quality or the pledge rate, whereas frequent disasters reduce incentives for forest management and increase financing difficulty. Second, expanding the scale of forest management increases profits, but may lead to lower forest quality and a reduced pledge rate. Third, an increase in the economic value of transferred forestland management rights does not affect forest quality but reduces forestry profits. Moreover, the impact of this economic value on the pledge rate depends on the carbon sink price. Finally, when the probability of deforestation disasters is relatively low or very high, pledge financing can improve forest quality. In addition, under certain conditions, pledge financing can also enhance the forestry operator’s profits.
本文以面临资金约束的林业经营者和提供质押融资的金融机构为研究对象,以林业碳汇预期收益权和转让林地经营权为抵押。明确考虑了林业碳汇和政府补贴的产出不确定性。这个问题被表述为Stackelberg博弈。本文推导了林业经营者对森林质量的最优决策和金融机构的最优质押率,并考察了毁林灾害概率和碳汇价格等关键因素的影响。并进行了数值分析。主要研究结果如下:首先,不经常发生的毁林灾害不影响森林质量或认捐率,而频繁发生的灾害减少了森林管理的激励,增加了融资困难。第二,扩大森林经营规模增加了利润,但可能导致森林质量下降和质押率降低。第三,林地经营权流转经济价值的提高,不影响森林质量,但降低了林业利润。此外,这一经济价值对质押率的影响取决于碳汇价格。最后,当毁林灾害发生的概率较低或非常高时,质押融资可以改善森林质量。此外,在一定条件下,质押融资还可以提高林业经营者的利润。
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引用次数: 0
Long-term workforce planning for home healthcare1 家庭保健的长期劳动力规划
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102424
Yanyue (Lillian) Ding, Jonathan F. Bard
This paper presents a new mixed-integer linear programming model for managing the size and composition of a workforce that provides home healthcare services. Decisions center around hiring, training, and downgrading in the face of high resignation rates and a fluctuating imbalance between supply and demand. Novel features of the model include a workforce that is characterized by hierarchical skills and various levels of experience, both affecting individual productivity and operational costs. The optimization problem is to determine a weekly hiring, training, and downgrading plan over the long-term to minimize the weighted sum of costs. Constraints include meeting demand, assuring that patients can be assigned the most appropriate caregivers, and maintaining a target level of skills and experience among the staff. Complications concern an annual turnover rate that exceeds 60% as well as uncertain demand. To validate the model, extensive tests were conducted using data provided by a U.S. home health agency. The results show that optimal solutions can be obtained in a few minutes or less for most instances, depending on the number of patients and caregivers. A major insight gained from the study is that it is possible to derive hiring rules that are simple to implement and closely match optimal plans.
本文提出了一种新的混合整数线性规划模型,用于管理提供家庭医疗保健服务的劳动力的规模和组成。面对高离职率和供需不平衡的波动,决策主要围绕招聘、培训和降级展开。该模型的新特征包括以分层技能和各种经验水平为特征的劳动力,这两者都会影响个人生产力和运营成本。优化问题是确定长期的每周招聘、培训和降级计划,以最小化加权成本总和。制约因素包括满足需求,确保为患者分配最合适的护理人员,以及保持工作人员的技能和经验达到目标水平。复杂的情况包括年流动率超过60%,以及不确定的需求。为了验证该模型,使用美国家庭健康机构提供的数据进行了广泛的测试。结果表明,在大多数情况下,根据患者和护理人员的数量,可以在几分钟或更短的时间内获得最佳解决方案。从这项研究中获得的一个重要见解是,有可能得出易于实施且与最佳计划密切匹配的招聘规则。
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引用次数: 0
Marine organizational collaborative network: Enhancing technological innovation for environmental monitoring 海洋组织协同网络:加强环境监测技术创新
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102413
Yanmei Wang , Enhui Sun , Wenying Yan
As climate change intensifies and ocean resource exploitation continues, the marine environment has gained increasing societal attention. Marine environmental monitoring technologies are crucial for ocean conservation. Collaborative innovation among interdisciplinary organizations is pivotal to technological advancement. However, the mechanisms underlying marine organizational collaborative innovation remain underexplored. This study constructs a collaborative innovation network using Chinese joint patent application data related to marine environmental monitoring buoy technologies. By employing visualization tools, we trace the evolutionary paths of the network and apply the Temporal Exponential Random Graph Model (TERGM) to examine the relationships between key factors and the network's formation and evolution. The findings underscore the roles of endogenous structures, node attributes, external conditions, and time dependence on network formation and evolution. The study also reveals the growing tendency for organizations to collaborate with those possessing similar technological knowledge structures. Identifying these key factors enables environmental advocates and policymakers to tailor strategies effectively in support of marine sustainable development.
随着气候变化的加剧和海洋资源开发的不断进行,海洋环境越来越受到社会的关注。海洋环境监测技术对海洋保护至关重要。跨学科组织之间的协同创新是技术进步的关键。然而,海洋组织协同创新的机制尚未得到充分探讨。本研究利用中国海洋环境监测浮标技术联合专利申请数据构建协同创新网络。通过可视化工具,我们追踪了网络的演化路径,并应用时间指数随机图模型(TERGM)来研究关键因素与网络形成和演化之间的关系。研究结果强调了内部结构、节点属性、外部条件和时间依赖性对网络形成和演化的作用。该研究还揭示了组织与拥有相似技术知识结构的组织合作的增长趋势。确定这些关键因素使环境倡导者和决策者能够有效地制定战略,以支持海洋可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Blockchain-driven co-opetition in circular and resilient supply chains: A long-term evaluation perspective using trust mechanism 循环和弹性供应链中区块链驱动的合作竞争:使用信任机制的长期评估视角
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102422
Mohammad Ali Hassanabadi , Ata Allah Taleizadeh
The increasing adoption of blockchain technology (BT) in supply chain management has led to the emergence of co-opetition strategies among competing firms, aimed at enhancing the efficiency of consortium blockchain-based platforms (BBPs). We develop an evolutionary game theoretical model with two competing manufacturers and customers to analyze long-term interactions and firms’ adherence to co-opetition strategies, incorporating the dual impact of BT on supply chain circularity and resilience. By considering the effects of BBP traceability and transparency on enhancing customer trust, operational efficiency of take-back systems, and mitigating disruption costs, the conditions necessary for fully realizing the long-term operational, economic, and environmental benefits of BBPs are investigated. Additionally, we introduce a trust mechanism to evaluate both performance and relationship management in long-term interactions. Our model analysis reveals key conditions under which competitive firms are more inclined to engage in co-opetition: (i) in the presence of severe disruptions or strong control over disruptive events enabled by BBP efficiency enhancements, (ii) when BBP efficiency improvements lead to a more optimized take-back system, (iii) when customers highly value the traceability and transparency provided by BBPs, and (iv) under high trust coefficients or significant punitive costs within the trust mechanism. Furthermore, our findings suggest that the trust mechanism can drive the supply chain toward greater circularity, particularly when customers are sensitive to transparency and traceability features. A numerical example illustrates these insights, and the study provides managerial implications that lay the groundwork for the practical implementation of blockchain-driven co-opetition strategies in competitive supply chains.
在供应链管理中越来越多地采用区块链技术(BT),导致竞争公司之间出现了合作竞争战略,旨在提高基于区块链的联盟平台(bbp)的效率。我们建立了一个包含两个竞争厂商和客户的进化博弈理论模型,以分析长期互动和企业对合作竞争战略的坚持,并将BT对供应链循环和弹性的双重影响纳入其中。通过考虑BBP可追溯性和透明度对增强客户信任、回收系统运行效率和降低中断成本的影响,研究了充分实现BBP长期运营、经济和环境效益所需的条件。此外,我们引入了一种信任机制来评估长期互动中的绩效和关系管理。我们的模型分析揭示了竞争企业更倾向于参与合作竞争的关键条件:(i)由于BBP效率的提高,出现了严重的中断或对中断事件的强有力控制,(ii)当BBP效率的提高导致更优化的回收系统时,(iii)当客户高度重视BBP提供的可追溯性和透明度时,以及(iv)在信任机制内的高信任系数或重大惩罚性成本下。此外,我们的研究结果表明,信任机制可以推动供应链走向更大的循环,特别是当客户对透明度和可追溯性特征敏感时。一个数值例子说明了这些见解,该研究提供了管理意义,为在竞争性供应链中实际实施区块链驱动的合作竞争战略奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic interplay of sports, social, and economic factors in the English Premier League: A network DEA approach 英超联赛中体育、社会和经济因素的动态相互作用:网络DEA方法
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102430
Yixin He , Siwei Xiao , Marios Kremantzis , Aniekan Essien , Umair Tanveer , Ali Emrouznejad , Shamaila Ishaq
This study evaluates the operational and revenue generation efficiency of English Premier League (EPL) clubs from 2014/15 to 2023/24 using a novel Dynamic Network Data Envelopment Analysis (DNDEA) model under the Variable Returns to Scale (VRS) assumption. By integrating dynamic and network structures, the model decomposes club performance into sequential stages, specifically operational conversion and revenue generation, and traces the intertemporal transmission of economic, sporting, and social factors. Unlike traditional static DEA models that treat efficiency as time-invariant and “black-boxed”, the DNDEA model provides a temporal-diagnostic lens that detect shifts in efficiency trajectories and inter-stage feedback across seasons. Results reveal two enduring archetypes: high-performing clubs that achieve competitive outcomes with limited financial inputs through effective resource management, and financial giants that excel in revenue generation but struggle to translate investments into consistent sporting success. Dynamic analysis shows system efficiency peaked in 2014/15 before declining sharply in 2015/16 and 2018/19, respectively, driven by imbalances between escalating financial investments and stagnating on-field performance. Operational inefficiencies in Stage 1 (resource conversion) were more critical than those in Stage 2 (revenue generation), underscoring challenges in aligning short-term investments with long-term sustainability. The study advances sports analytics by providing a holistic framework for evaluating football club efficiency, emphasizing actionable strategies such as optimizing talent acquisition, prioritizing dual-return investments, and leveraging fan engagement.
本研究采用动态网络数据包络分析(DNDEA)模型,在可变规模回报(VRS)假设下,对2014/15至2023/24赛季英超俱乐部的运营效率和创收效率进行了评估。通过整合动态和网络结构,该模型将俱乐部绩效分解为连续的阶段,特别是运营转换和收入产生,并追踪经济、体育和社会因素的跨期传递。传统的静态DEA模型将效率视为时不变的“黑盒”,而DNDEA模型提供了一个时间诊断透镜,可以检测效率轨迹的变化和不同季节的阶段间反馈。结果揭示了两种持久的原型:表现优异的俱乐部通过有效的资源管理,以有限的资金投入取得了有竞争力的结果,而金融巨头在创收方面表现出色,但难以将投资转化为持续的体育成功。动态分析显示,系统效率在2014/15年达到峰值,随后分别在2015/16和2018/19年急剧下降,原因是金融投资不断增加和现场表现停滞不前之间的不平衡。第一阶段(资源转换)的运营效率低下比第二阶段(创收)的效率低下更为严重,突出了将短期投资与长期可持续性相结合的挑战。该研究通过提供评估足球俱乐部效率的整体框架来推进体育分析,强调可操作的策略,如优化人才获取,优先考虑双回报投资,以及利用球迷参与。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic evaluation of operational, environmental, and unified efficiencies: A DEA application in agriculture 操作、环境和统一效率的动态评价:DEA在农业中的应用
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2025.102411
Zahra Abbasi , Mohammad Afzalinejad , Ali Asghar Foroughi
Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is a prominent tool used to assess the efficiency of decision-making units (DMUs). While static DEA models measure performance without considering time dependency, dynamic DEA incorporates time as a factor in the modeling. In recent years, environmental concerns have become a significant focus for the world community. In the context of DEA, these concerns are often expressed as undesirable outputs of the production process. Therefore, in addition to evaluating operational efficiency, it is essential to consider environmental efficiency to obtain a comprehensive measurement of DMUs’ performance. This paper presents the assessment of operational and environmental efficiency and their integration into a unified efficiency measure within the dynamic DEA framework. The time dependency of efficiency is taken into account and the links between consecutive time periods are categorized as either good or bad types. Additionally, static environmental models are established to enable comparison of dynamic and static efficiency. The proposed models are used to evaluate the performance of twenty-one countries in the agriculture sector. In this study, GHG emissions and cumulative agricultural loss due to disasters are selected as undesirable factors. Environmental efficiency generally improves over 2016–2018; however, while the static assessment shows steady progress, the dynamic assessment rises until 2017 and then slightly declines in 2018. The number of efficient countries in the operational dimension is much more than those in the environmental dimension, which shows that the economic dimension has a higher priority among countries.
数据包络分析(DEA)是评估决策单元(dmu)效率的重要工具。静态DEA模型在不考虑时间依赖性的情况下衡量性能,而动态DEA将时间作为建模的一个因素。近年来,环境问题已成为国际社会关注的一个重要焦点。在数据分析的背景下,这些问题通常被表示为生产过程的不良产出。因此,除了评估操作效率外,还必须考虑环境效率,以获得对dmu性能的综合衡量。本文介绍了运营效率和环境效率的评估,并在动态DEA框架内将其整合为统一的效率度量。效率的时间依赖性被考虑在内,连续时间段之间的联系被分类为好或坏类型。此外,还建立了静态环境模型,以实现动态和静态效率的比较。所提出的模型用于评估21个国家农业部门的绩效。本研究选择温室气体排放和灾害造成的累积农业损失作为不良因素。2016-2018年环境效率总体提高;然而,虽然静态评估呈现稳步进展,但动态评估在2017年之前上升,然后在2018年略有下降。在业务方面效率高的国家远远多于在环境方面效率高的国家,这表明经济方面在各国中具有更高的优先地位。
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引用次数: 0
Robot adoption and carbon emission reduction: Mechanism and ripple effect analysis 机器人采用与碳减排:机理与连锁反应分析
IF 5.4 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.seps.2026.102421
Yunsu Du , Qianqian Chen , Huaping Sun , Zhenhua Zhang , Denis Nikolaevich Sidorov
With the rapid diffusion of industrial robots due to the aging of the global population, their implications for carbon emissions have increasingly become salient. Using a comprehensive industry-level dataset covering manufacturing sectors in 40 countries, this study provides novel empirical evidence on the impact of robot adoption on industrial carbon emission intensity. Results show that robot adoption significantly reduces carbon emission intensity in manufacturing industries. This finding remains robust after several robustness checks, including the estimation of instrumental variables and alternative measures of robot adoption. Mechanism analyses reveal that the carbon-reducing effect of robot adoption primarily operates through improvements in total factor productivity. Furthermore, a significant ripple effect is identified, whereby robot adoption in upstream industries amplifies downstream carbon emission reductions through interindustry linkages. From a policy perspective, these results underscore the relevance of promoting productivity-enhancing robot adoption and leveraging supply-chain interactions to support global low-carbon economic development.
随着全球人口老龄化导致工业机器人的迅速普及,其对碳排放的影响日益突出。本研究利用涵盖40个国家制造业的综合行业层面数据集,为机器人采用对工业碳排放强度的影响提供了新的经验证据。结果表明,机器人的采用显著降低了制造业的碳排放强度。经过几次稳健性检查,包括对工具变量的估计和机器人采用的替代措施,这一发现仍然是稳健性的。机制分析表明,采用机器人的减碳效应主要通过提高全要素生产率来实现。此外,还发现了显著的连锁反应,即上游行业采用机器人通过行业间联系放大了下游的碳减排。从政策角度来看,这些结果强调了促进提高生产率的机器人采用和利用供应链互动来支持全球低碳经济发展的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
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Socio-economic Planning Sciences
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