Testing technological Kuznets curve implications on achieving sustainable development goal 10 in seven Asian countries

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-10-02 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123785
Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki, Elsadig Musa Ahmed
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Abstract

This study investigates the relationship between technological innovations, financial development, and income inequality implications on achieving Sustainable Development Goal 10 (SDG10) in seven Asian economies via testing the inverted U-shaped hypothesis of technological innovation on income inequality in the concept of technological Kuznets curve hypothesis. The significant contribution of this study is introducing the Technological Kuznets Curve (TKC) as an extension to the Kuznets curve (KC) framework to capture the impact of technological innovation on income inequality. The PMG/ARDL was applied to estimate the coefficients to accomplish the study's objective. The panel cointegration tests confirm that all variables are cointegrated with income inequality. The empirical findings validate the KC hypothesis and demonstrate that technological innovations contribute to reducing income inequality within the Kuznets curve framework in the long run. Financial development (money supply) was negatively correlated with income inequality. The study further validates the TKC hypothesis, revealing an inverted U-shaped relationship between technological innovations and income inequality. Financial development, measured by domestic credit to the private sector, also shows a negative correlation with income inequality within the TKC framework. However, the money supply demonstrates a positive link with income inequality. The study recommended the necessity to prioritize policies that support technological innovation through subsidies, encouragement for research and development, and collaborations between the public and private sectors will greatly lower income inequality and support achieving Sustainable Development Goal 10 (SDG10). Financial development significantly facilitates access to financial services and contributes to diminishing income inequality by building an effective and inclusive banking system (mobile banking services for poor communities), easing access to credit for emerging and small and midsize enterprises (SMEs), and money circulation. Governments should strategically allocate resources toward programs and initiatives that directly address income inequality and promote inclusive growth.
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测试技术库兹涅茨曲线对七个亚洲国家实现可持续发展目标 10 的影响
本研究通过检验技术库兹涅茨曲线假说概念中技术创新对收入不平等的倒 U 型假说,探讨了七个亚洲经济体的技术创新、金融发展和收入不平等对实现可持续发展目标 10(SDG10)的影响之间的关系。本研究的重大贡献在于引入了技术库兹涅茨曲线(TKC)作为库兹涅茨曲线(KC)框架的扩展,以捕捉技术创新对收入不平等的影响。本研究采用 PMG/ARDL 对系数进行估计,以实现研究目标。面板协整检验证实,所有变量都与收入不平等存在协整关系。实证结果验证了 KC 假设,并表明技术创新有助于在库兹涅茨曲线框架内长期减少收入不平等。金融发展(货币供应)与收入不平等呈负相关。研究进一步验证了库兹涅茨曲线假说,揭示了技术创新与收入不平等之间的倒 U 型关系。在 TKC 框架内,以私营部门国内信贷衡量的金融发展也与收入不平等呈负相关。不过,货币供应量与收入不平等呈正相关。研究建议,有必要优先考虑通过补贴、鼓励研发以及公共和私营部门之间的合作来支持技术创新的政策,这将大大降低收入不平等,并有助于实现可持续发展目标 10(SDG10)。金融发展通过建立有效的包容性银行系统(为贫困社区提供移动银行服务)、为新兴企业和中小型企业(SMEs)提供信贷便利以及货币流通,极大地便利了金融服务的获取,并有助于减少收入不平等。各国政府应将资源战略性地分配给直接解决收入不平等问题和促进包容性增长的计划和举措。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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