Why is voter turnout in presidential elections increasing among people concerned about the risk of COVID-19 worsening in Africa?

Abstract

This article aims to explain why participation in presidential elections increased among people who feared the risk of worsening COVID-19 in Africa. The analysis is based on a sample of 16,890 people living in 34 African countries. Econometric results suggest that fear of the pandemic's escalation can reduce citizens' willingness to participate in presidential elections. However, this negative effect changes based on perceptions of government management of the pandemic. We show that the likelihood of voting in a presidential election increases significantly among those afraid of the pandemic's worsening with (i) a lack of confidence in government statistics on COVID-19; (ii) perceived corruption related to the COVID-19 pandemic; (iii) a lack of confidence in the government's ability to ensure the safety of COVID-19 vaccines; (iv) perceived insufficient public investment in combating health emergencies; and (v) perceived insufficient intervention by law enforcement in enforcing COVID-19 control measures.

Related Articles

Onyango, Gedion, and Japheth Otieno Ondiek. 2022. “Open Innovation during the COVID-19 Pandemic Policy Responses in South Africa and Kenya.” Politics & Policy 50(5): 1008–31. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12490.

Stockemer, Daniel. 2016. “Is the Turnout Function in Democracies and Nondemocracies Alike or Different?” Politics & Policy 44(5): 889–915. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12174.

Stockemer, Daniel, and Stephanie Parent. 2014. “The Inequality Turnout Nexus—New Evidence from Presidential Elections.” Politics & Policy 42(2): 221–45. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12067.