The impact of democracy on peace in Africa: Empirical evidence

IF 1.4 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE Politics & Policy Pub Date : 2024-09-26 DOI:10.1111/polp.12632

Chimere O. Iheonu, Princewill U. Okwoche, Shedrach A. Agbutun

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Abstract

The nexus between democracy and peace in Africa is examined by applying data to 42 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries between 2008 and 2020. The study used panel regression techniques that include Ordinary Least Squares, the Tobit regression to account for the limited range of the dependent variable, and the System Generalized Method of Moments to account for endogeneity bias. Using seven indicators of democracy, which include electoral democracy, liberal democracy, participatory democracy, deliberative democracy, egalitarian democracy, a total democracy index derived from principal component analysis, and the Polity2 score, and using the global peace index as a proxy for peace, our findings show that all the indicators of democracy, irrespective of the model, have a positive and significant influence on peace in SSA. The result has underscored the importance of advancing democratic practices and values to promote sustainable peace and stability in the region.

Antwi-Boateng, Osman. 2015. “No Spring in Africa: How Sub-Saharan Africa Has Avoided the Arab Spring Phenomenon.” Politics & Policy 43(5): 754–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12129.

Asongu, Simplice A., Cheikh T. Ndour, and Judith C. M. Ngoungou. 2024. “The Effects of Gender Political Inclusion and Democracy on Environmental Performance: Evidence from the Method of Moments by Quantile Regression.” Politics & Policy, 52(1), 118–39. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12576.

Ryan, Susannah. 2015. “White Gold and Troubled Waters in Southern Africa: Hydropolitical Policy's Effect on Peace in Lesotho and South Africa.” Politics & Policy 4(2): 239–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12114.

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民主对非洲和平的影响：经验证据

通过应用 2008 至 2020 年间 42 个撒哈拉以南非洲（SSA）国家的数据，研究了非洲民主与和平之间的关系。研究采用了面板回归技术，包括普通最小二乘法、托比特回归以考虑因变量的有限范围，以及系统广义矩法以考虑内生性偏差。我们使用了七个民主指标，包括选举民主、自由民主、参与民主、审议民主、平等民主、主成分分析得出的总民主指数和 Polity2 分数，并使用全球和平指数作为和平的替代指标，研究结果表明，无论采用何种模型，所有民主指标都对撒南非洲的和平产生了积极而显著的影响。这一结果凸显了推进民主实践和价值观对促进该地区可持续和平与稳定的重要性。相关文章 Antwi-Boateng, Osman.2015."非洲没有春天：撒哈拉以南非洲如何避免阿拉伯之春现象"。Politics & Policy 43(5)：754–84. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12129. Asongu, Simplice A., Cheikh T. Ndour, and Judith C. M. Ngoungou.2024."性别政治包容和民主对环境绩效的影响：量化回归矩量法的证据"。Politics & Policy, 52(1), 118-39. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12576. Ryan, Susannah.2015."White Gold and Troubled Waters in Southern Africa: Hydropolitical Policy's Effect on Peace in Lesotho and South Africa." Politics & Policy 4(1), 118-39.Politics & Policy 4(2)：239–55. https://doi.org/10.1111/polp.12114.

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来源期刊

Politics & Policy POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

2.50

自引率

23.10%

发文量