Tree-ring anomalies as time markers for ice-core chronologies, with special reference to 5281 BCE as the possible date of the Kikai volcanic event

Abstract

The synchronization of Greenland and Antarctica ice core data with tree-ring data, other proxies, and direct observations of natural processes and events is important to understand past climatic variation and environmental change. One of the methods that is used to correct the dating of ice layers is to match volcanic eruption footprints in ice cores with tree rings, manifested as sulphate spikes and anomalous rings, respectively. In this study, we inventoried the occurrence of tree-ring anatomical anomalies and extremes in ring width during three 200-year periods. These periods included three of the eight largest Holocene volcanic eruptions, each with a Volcanic Explosivity Index (VEI) of 7. The initial period spanned from 6560 to 6360 BCE and included the eruption of Ilyinsky Volcano in Kamchatka. The second period was from 5780 to 5580 BCE, during which Mount Mazama Volcano in North America erupted. The third period was from 5380 to 5180 BCE when the Kikai Volcano in the Japanese Islands erupted. Throughout the first two periods, no substantial tree-ring anomalies were observed suggesting the absence of any significant climate consequences of a major volcanic eruption. However, in the 5380–5180 BCE period, a clear sharp decline in tree growth and an exceptionally high frequency of tree-ring anomalies were identified in 5281 BCE and the subsequent 5 years. We propose that the exceptionally narrow light rings in these 6 years are indicative of the climatic impact resulting from the Kikai volcanic eruption. We suggest utilising the year 5281 BCE as the reference year for synchronising the Greenland and Antarctica ice core chronologies. In the case that our assumption is correct, this would imply the necessity to adjust the time of the event to an earlier date compared to the dates indicated by the existing ice core chronologies of the GICC05 (Greenland Ice Core Chronology 2005), adjusted according to Kobashi (2017), and WD2014 used for creating HolVol 1.0 (Holocene ice-core volcanic eruption catalogue from 9500 BCE - 1900 CE) by 67 and 54 years, respectively, for the period around 5300 BCE. A verification of our assumption could be conducted by examining the nearby Miyake event, a spike in cosmogenic radiocarbon, of 5258 BCE. Ice core layers displaying potential signs of this event should be approximately 25 years later than the markers of the Kikai volcanic eruption.