High Hospitalization Rates and Risk Factors Among Frail Patients With Cirrhosis: A 10-year Population-based Cohort Study.

Abstract

Background & aims: Cirrhosis-related inpatient hospitalizations have increased dramatically over the past decade. We used a longitudinal dataset capturing a large metropolitan area in the United States from 2011 to 2021 to evaluate contemporary hospitalization rates and risk factors among frail patients with cirrhosis.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective, longitudinal cohort study using the Chicago Area Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Network (CAPriCORN) database, an electronic health record repository that aggregates de-duplicated data across 7 health care systems in the Chicago metropolitan area, from 2011 to 2021. The primary outcome of our study was the rate of hospitalization encounters. Frailty was defined by the Hospital Frailty Risk Score. Hospitalization rates were reported per 100 patients per year, and a multivariable logistic regression analysis identified predictors of annual hospitalization probability.

Results: During the study period, of 36,971 patients, 16,265 patients (44%) were hospitalized (compensated, 18.4%; decompensated, 81.6%). Hospitalization rates were highest in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, reaching nearly 77.3 hospitalizations/100 patients per year. Hospitalization rates among patients with compensated cirrhosis were also high (14.2 vs 77.3 hospitalization/100 patients per year), with odds of annual hospitalization 3 times (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 2.9-3.4) as high among compensated patients with intermediate frailty and 5 times (odds ratio, 5.2; 95% confidence interval, 4.5-6.0) as high among those with severe frailty (compared with compensated patients with low frailty).

Conclusion: Compensated and decompensated cirrhosis patients with intermediate to severe frailty face a substantially increased odds of annual hospitalizations compared with those with low frailty. Future work should focus on targeted interventions to incorporate routine frailty screenings into cirrhosis care and to ultimately minimize high hospitalization rates.