Delta sustainability from the Holocene to the Anthropocene and envisioning the future

IF 25.7 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Nature Sustainability Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI:10.1038/s41893-024-01426-3
Edward Anthony, Jaia Syvitski, Florin Zăinescu, Robert J. Nicholls, Kim M. Cohen, Nick Marriner, Yoshiki Saito, John Day, Philip S. J. Minderhoud, Alessandro Amorosi, Zhongyuan Chen, Christophe Morhange, Toru Tamura, Alfred Vespremeanu-Stroe, Manon Besset, François Sabatier, David Kaniewski, Vittorio Maselli
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Abstract

River deltas offer numerous ecosystem services and host an estimated global population of 350 million to more than 500 million inhabitants in over 100 countries. To maintain their sustainability into the future, deltas need to withstand sea-level rise from global warming, but human pressures and diminishing sediment supplies are exacerbating their vulnerability. In this Review, we show how deltas have served as environmental incubators for societal development over the past 7,000 years, and how this tightly interlocked relationship now poses challenges to deltas globally. Without climate stabilization, the sustainability of populous low-to-mid-latitude deltas will be difficult to maintain, probably terminating the delta–human relationship that we know today. River deltas have played a central role in the development of human societies, providing a multitude of environmental services to large populations. In the face of climate change and human impact, careful and strategic management is now required to ensure the future sustainability of habitable deltas.

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从全新世到人类世的三角洲可持续性以及对未来的展望
河流三角洲提供众多生态系统服务,估计全球有 3.5 亿至 5 亿多人口居住在 100 多个国家。为了在未来保持可持续发展,三角洲需要抵御全球变暖导致的海平面上升,但人类的压力和沉积物供应的减少加剧了三角洲的脆弱性。在这篇综述中,我们将展示三角洲在过去 7000 年间是如何成为社会发展的环境孵化器的,以及这种紧密相连的关系如今是如何对全球三角洲构成挑战的。如果气候不稳定,人口众多的中低纬度三角洲将难以为继,我们今天所熟知的三角洲与人类的关系很可能就此终结。河流三角洲在人类社会发展中发挥了核心作用,为大量人口提供了多种环境服务。面对气候变化和人类的影响,现在需要谨慎的战略管理,以确保宜居三角洲未来的可持续性。
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来源期刊
Nature Sustainability
Nature Sustainability Energy-Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment
CiteScore
41.90
自引率
1.10%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Nature Sustainability aims to facilitate cross-disciplinary dialogues and bring together research fields that contribute to understanding how we organize our lives in a finite world and the impacts of our actions. Nature Sustainability will not only publish fundamental research but also significant investigations into policies and solutions for ensuring human well-being now and in the future.Its ultimate goal is to address the greatest challenges of our time.
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