Predictors of mortality in dementia: A systematic review and meta-analysis

P.T.M. González , L.M. Vieira , A.P.Y. Sarmiento , J.S. Ríos , M.A.S. Alarcón , M.A.O. Guerrero
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Abstract

Introduction

Identifying predictors of dementia and differences in mortality rates between dementia subtypes could contribute to the development of preventive strategies.

Aims

To identify risk factors for mortality in patients with dementia and to determine the incidence of mortality.

Methodology

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis, following the PRISMA 2020 statement. The search was performed on the PubMed/Medline, Embase, and BIREME/LILACS databases.

Results

Our meta-analysis included 15 observational studies, reporting data from 177 663 patients with dementia. The following predictors of mortality were identified: male sex (OR: 1.40 [95% CI, 1.22–1.62]), white ethnicity (OR: 1.50 [95% CI, 1.30–1.73]), Alzheimer disease (OR: 1.26 [95% CI, 1.03–1.53]), diabetes mellitus (OR: 1.29 [95% CI, 1.21–1.39]), stroke (OR: 1.25 [95% CI, 1.10–1.41]), pneumonia (OR: 3.00 [95% CI, 2.26–4.00]), Charlson Comorbidity Index (standardised mean difference (SMD): 0.21 [95% CI, 0.18–0.23]), supplemental oxygen therapy (OR: 9.97 [95% CI, 9.49–10.46]), and number of medications (SMD: 0.24 [95% CI, 0.21–0.26]). In patients with Alzheimer disease, the mortality rate was 35% (95% CI, 23%–46%), with a mean follow-up time of 34 months. The incidence of mortality in patients with other types of dementia was 48% (95% CI, 38%–56%), with a mean follow-up time of 70 months.

Conclusions

The incidence of mortality was higher in patients with dementia other than Alzheimer disease. The type of dementia and the risk factors described should be taken into account when developing prevention strategies.
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痴呆症死亡率的预测因素:系统回顾与荟萃分析
引言确定痴呆症的预测因素以及痴呆症亚型之间死亡率的差异有助于制定预防策略。目的确定痴呆症患者死亡的风险因素并确定死亡率。结果我们的荟萃分析包括 15 项观察性研究,报告了 177 663 名痴呆症患者的数据。确定了以下死亡率预测因素:男性(OR:1.40 [95% CI,1.22-1.62])、白人(OR:1.50 [95% CI,1.30-1.73])、阿尔茨海默病(OR:1.26 [95% CI,1.03-1.53])、糖尿病(OR:1.29 [95% CI,1.21-1.39])、中风(OR:1.25 [95% CI,1.10-1.41])、肺炎(OR:3.00 [95% CI,2.26-4.00])、查尔森合并症指数(标准化平均差(SMD):0.21 [95% CI,0.18-0.23])、补充氧治疗(OR:9.97 [95% CI,9.49-10.46])和药物数量(SMD:0.24 [95% CI,0.21-0.26])。阿尔茨海默病患者的死亡率为 35%(95% CI,23%-46%),平均随访时间为 34 个月。其他类型痴呆症患者的死亡率为 48%(95% CI,38%-56%),平均随访时间为 70 个月。在制定预防策略时,应考虑痴呆症的类型和所述的风险因素。
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审稿时长
69 days
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