The fiscal effects of immigration on local governments: Revisiting the Mariel Boatlift

IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Regional Science and Urban Economics Pub Date : 2024-10-17 DOI:10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104053
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Abstract

Immigration raises important political and economic questions, yet there remains considerable disagreement about its short- and long-term consequences. This paper examines the fiscal consequences of immigration for local governments. Previous work has highlighted the gap between the long-term economic benefits of immigration and the short-term fiscal burden posed by recent arrivals, however several influential estimates based on cash-flow accounting suffer from potential bias. I use a quasi-experimental approach to re-examine a famous case: the large wave of Cuban refugees that landed in Miami in 1980, otherwise known as the Mariel Boatlift. Using a synthetic control design, I find that per-pupil education costs increased in Miami in the aftermath of the Boatlift, financed by an increase in state transfers. These effects persisted for at least ten years. The results shed light on the heterogeneous impacts of immigration over time and space.
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移民对地方政府的财政影响:重新审视马里埃尔漂流事件
移民问题提出了重要的政治和经济问题,但对其短期和长期后果仍存在相当大的分歧。本文探讨了移民对地方政府的财政影响。以往的研究强调了移民带来的长期经济效益与新移民造成的短期财政负担之间的差距,但一些基于现金流会计的有影响力的估算存在潜在偏差。我采用准实验方法重新研究了一个著名案例:1980 年登陆迈阿密的大批古巴难民潮,又称 "马里埃尔船运"。利用合成控制设计,我发现 "马里埃尔船运 "事件后,迈阿密的生均教育成本增加了,资金来源是国家转移支付的增加。这些影响至少持续了十年。这些结果揭示了移民在时间和空间上的异质性影响。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
9.70%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: Regional Science and Urban Economics facilitates and encourages high-quality scholarship on important issues in regional and urban economics. It publishes significant contributions that are theoretical or empirical, positive or normative. It solicits original papers with a spatial dimension that can be of interest to economists. Empirical papers studying causal mechanisms are expected to propose a convincing identification strategy.
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