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The role of historic amenities in shaping cities 历史景观在塑造城市中的作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-09-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104042

The existence of amenities matters to understanding people’s residential choices. Our theoretical model extends the standard urban model by introducing exogenous amenities to explain population allocation within cities. To estimate the model predictions, we focus on historic amenities using detailed geolocated data for 579 European cities. We analyze how the shape of city centers endowed or not endowed with these amenities is affected. We measure historic amenities with the location of buildings from the Roman, Medieval, and Renaissance–Baroque periods. Our results show that cities with historic buildings in their centers have steeper population density gradients, are more compact and centralized, and have been less affected by the suburbanization processes caused by transportation improvements. Heterogeneity analyses show that the quantity and the quality of historic buildings also matter. Several robustness checks controlling for natural and modern amenities and testing for the spatial scope of these amenities verify our main results.

便利设施的存在对于理解人们的居住选择至关重要。我们的理论模型对标准城市模型进行了扩展,引入了外生便利设施来解释城市内的人口分布。为了估算模型的预测结果,我们利用 579 个欧洲城市的详细地理位置数据,重点研究了历史上的便利设施。我们分析了拥有或不拥有这些便利设施的城市中心的形态是如何受到影响的。我们用罗马、中世纪和文艺复兴-巴洛克时期建筑的位置来衡量历史设施。我们的研究结果表明,市中心有历史建筑的城市人口密度梯度更陡,更加紧凑和集中,受交通改善造成的郊区化进程的影响较小。异质性分析表明,历史建筑的数量和质量也很重要。一些稳健性检验控制了自然和现代设施,并检验了这些设施的空间范围,从而验证了我们的主要结果。
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引用次数: 0
Capital as an anchor of agricultural employment: Evidence from the 1975 frost 资本是农业就业的支柱:1975 年霜冻的证据
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104041

How do temporary shocks affect the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture? I investigate this question by examining the 1975 frost that damaged coffee trees in Brazil. I find that the frost persistently affected the spatial distribution of employment in agriculture. To identify the effects of the capital destruction from the frost, I compare changes in agricultural employment across local economies that had different coffee tree densities right before the frost and that were differently affected by the extreme weather. The frost resulted in a persistent decline in agricultural employment. The findings are consistent with a history versus expectations model in which fixed and specific capital (such as coffee trees) prevents multiple equilibria despite strategic complementarities in crop choice.

临时冲击如何影响农业就业的空间分布?我通过研究 1975 年对巴西咖啡树造成损害的霜冻来探讨这个问题。我发现,霜冻持续影响了农业就业的空间分布。为了确定霜冻对资本破坏的影响,我比较了霜冻前咖啡树密度不同、受极端天气影响不同的地方经济中农业就业的变化。霜冻导致农业就业率持续下降。研究结果符合历史与预期模型,在该模型中,尽管作物选择具有战略互补性,但固定资本和特定资本(如咖啡树)会阻碍多重均衡。
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引用次数: 0
Dynamic agglomeration effects of foreigners and natives – The role of experience in high-quality sectors, tasks and establishments 外国人和本国人的动态集聚效应 - 高质量部门、任务和机构的经验作用
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104040

We analyze whether the benefits of work experience that was acquired in denser locations can be explained by the quality of jobs that can be found in agglomerations using administrative data on individual employment biographies of workers in Germany. We find that 79% of the premium for work experience gained in the densest regions can be ascribed to the sectors, tasks and establishments in which experience was acquired. Moreover, we find that foreign and native workers, on average, benefit to a similar extent from dynamic agglomeration effects. However, low-skilled foreign workers receive a lower return to experience gained in dense regions than observationally identical natives. This difference can be explained by the fact that the former gain work experience in lower-quality jobs.

我们利用德国工人个人就业简历的行政数据,分析了在密集地区获得的工作经验的益处是否可以通过在聚集区找到的工作的质量来解释。我们发现,在最密集地区获得的工作经验溢价的 79% 可归因于获得经验的部门、任务和机构。此外,我们还发现,平均而言,外国工人和本地工人从动态集聚效应中获益的程度相似。然而,低技能外国工人在密集地区获得的经验回报低于观察相同的本地工人。这种差异可以用前者在低质量工作中获得工作经验这一事实来解释。
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引用次数: 0
Revisiting property tax capitalization 重新审视财产税资本化
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104039
Xueying Lyu

This paper investigates the extent of property tax capitalization in the context of a progressive property tax pilot in Shanghai. I utilize a difference-in-differences approach by comparing neighborhoods with different tax rates before and after the implementation of the property taxes. Neighborhoods with a 0.2 percentage point higher marginal property tax rate experience a roughly 2.73% decrease in housing prices relative to their counterparts. The result reflects that at least 71% of expected property tax liabilities are capitalized into housing prices in a year. These changes also imply a large wealth redistribution as large as 2.68 years of average disposable income across homeowners.

本文研究了在上海试点累进房产税背景下房产税资本化的程度。我采用差分法,比较了房产税实施前后不同税率的居民区。房产税边际税率高出 0.2 个百分点的居民区,其房价相对于同类居民区下降了约 2.73%。这一结果反映了至少 71% 的预期房产税负债在一年内被资本化到了房价中。这些变化也意味着财富的大幅再分配,相当于房主 2.68 年的平均可支配收入。
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引用次数: 0
Re-evaluating the urban wage premium: The changing roles of geographical and job transitions for women and men 重新评估城市工资溢价:地域和工作转换对女性和男性不断变化的作用2
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104038

This paper investigates gender as a new source of heterogeneity in the urban wage premium, using a representative panel of 1.2 million worker observations in Great Britain over the period 1999–2019. Pre-2008, women's urban wage premium was more than twice as large as men's (2.8% versus 1.2%), but this difference disappears during the Financial Crisis as women's urban wage premium drastically and permanently drops. This drop is due to the disappearance of women's relative sharing advantages. Moreover, contrary to men, women's urban wage premium is now driven by a wage penalty incurred when changing occupation while transitioning from urban to rural jobs.

本文利用 1999-2019 年间英国 120 万工人的代表性面板观测数据,研究了作为城市工资溢价异质性新来源的性别问题。2008 年之前,女性的城市工资溢价是男性的两倍多(2.8% 对 1.2%),但在金融危机期间,这一差异消失了,因为女性的城市工资溢价急剧并永久性地下降了。这种下降是由于女性的相对分享优势消失了。此外,与男性不同的是,女性的城市工资溢价现在是由从城市工作向农村工作转换职业时产生的工资惩罚所驱动的。
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引用次数: 0
The diversity we breath: Community diversity and gas leak management 我们呼吸的多样性社区多样性与气体泄漏管理
IF 3.5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104037
Felipe Jordán , Enrico Di Gregorio

Diversity might reduce the ability of small-scale communities to protect local resources through its adverse impact on collective action and individual attachment. Using geocoded data on more than 1500 Grade-3 gas leaks in 2016 across Boston and Cambridge, MA, we show that when a leak emerges in a narrowly-defined area with higher ethno-racial fractionalization it enjoys lower chances of end-year reparation. After accounting for socio-economic and infrastructural factors, our preferred estimate suggests that moving from the 10th to the 90th percentile of the fractionalization distribution is associated to a 5.7 percentage point decrease in the probability of reparation, compared with an already low average of 3.7%. This result is robust to different definitions of the community surrounding a leak and to the inclusion of competing measures of diversity. Consistent with our framework, social capital appears to be especially lower in communities fragmented across ethno-racial lines. In turn, lower social capital is negatively associated to leak reparation.

多样性可能会对集体行动和个人依附性产生不利影响,从而削弱小规模社区保护当地资源的能力。通过使用 2016 年马萨诸塞州波士顿和剑桥市 1500 多起三级天然气泄漏事故的地理编码数据,我们发现,当泄漏事故发生在民族-种族分化程度较高的狭义区域时,其最终得到赔偿的几率较低。在考虑了社会经济和基础设施因素后,我们的首选估计结果表明,从分化分布的第 10 个百分位数到第 90 个百分位数,赔偿概率下降了 5.7 个百分点,而平均值已经很低,仅为 3.7%。这一结果在泄漏点周边社区的不同定义以及纳入竞争性多样性衡量标准的情况下都是稳健的。与我们的框架一致的是,社会资本似乎在跨民族-种族分裂的社区中特别低。反过来,较低的社会资本与漏水事故的赔偿也呈负相关。
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引用次数: 0
Recreational cannabis dispensary access effects on prescription opioid use and mortality 休闲大麻药房对处方类阿片使用和死亡率的影响
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104036
W. Jason Beasley , Steven J. Dundas

While opioid prescribing rates have fallen since 2012, opioid mortality in the United States (US) climbed to record highs in 2022, per CDC reports. In the last decade, evidence emerged that recreational cannabis legislation (RCL) may help mitigate adverse opioid-related outcomes. Yet, the empirical evidence on the relationship between RCL and opioid misuse as a whole is inconsistent and possibly spurious, given common estimation methods. Studies reporting beneficial associations between RCL and opioid mortality tend to avoid the mechanism of change, often assuming mortality benefits stem from substituting cannabis for opioids. We test this relationship using prescription opioid quantities and access to recreational cannabis in the US state of Oregon. Our approach uses within-state variation in distance to recreational dispensary access generated by RCL and prior volumes of legal opioid use to assess the impact of dispensary access on prescription opioids. Results suggest that communities located closer to recreational dispensaries are associated with lower rates of prescription opioids per capita. We also show that reasonable bounds to our primary specification suggest communities located within a mile from a recreational dispensary have prescription opioid rates per capita that are 1.0–3.9 percent lower than surrounding communities. Despite the reduction, we find no evidence that reducing barriers to cannabis access and subsequent declines in prescription opioids are associated with meaningful changes in opioid mortality.

根据美国疾病预防控制中心的报告,虽然自 2012 年以来阿片类药物的处方率有所下降,但 2022 年美国的阿片类药物死亡率却攀升至历史新高。在过去十年中,有证据表明娱乐性大麻立法(RCL)可能有助于减轻与阿片类药物相关的不良后果。然而,关于娱乐性大麻立法与滥用阿片类药物之间关系的经验证据并不一致,考虑到常见的估算方法,这种关系可能是虚假的。报告 RCL 与阿片类药物死亡率之间有益关系的研究往往回避变化机制,通常假定死亡率方面的益处来自于用大麻替代阿片类药物。我们利用美国俄勒冈州的处方类阿片数量和娱乐性大麻获取情况来检验这种关系。我们的方法利用 RCL 和以前合法使用阿片类药物的数量所产生的州内到娱乐性药房的距离变化来评估药房的使用对处方阿片类药物的影响。结果表明,距离娱乐性药房较近的社区人均阿片类处方药使用率较低。我们还表明,我们的主要规格的合理界限表明,距离娱乐性药房一英里以内的社区的人均阿片类处方药使用率比周边社区低 1.0%-3.9%。尽管有所下降,但我们没有发现任何证据表明,减少大麻使用障碍以及随后处方类阿片的下降与类阿片死亡率的重大变化有关。
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引用次数: 0
Political governance and urban systems: A persistent shock on population distribution from capital relocation in ancient China 政治治理与城市体系:中国古代迁都对人口分布的持续冲击
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104034
Ming Lu , Haijun Ou , Yuejun Zhong

This paper exploits a quasi-natural experiment with the exogenous shock of capital relocation in ancient China from Nanjing to Beijing in 1421 CE during the Ming Dynasty, to investigate the relationship between political governance and urban systems. We constructed a unique historical panel dataset that measures population distributions among Chinese counties spanning over centuries. Using a difference-in-differences identification strategy, our results reveal that after the capital relocation, the effect of localities' distance to Beijing, the newly established capital at that time, on local population size turns to be significantly negative. Moreover, these effects still persisted in the next dynasty and modern China. Furthermore, the results indicate that the impact of the capital relocation on population distribution occur through two major channels of political governance: delivery and national security. The causal relationship between capital relocation and population distribution is demonstrated to be robust using a variety of identification strategies and robustness checks.

本文利用一个准自然实验,即公元 1421 年明朝在中国古代从南京迁都到北京的外生冲击,来研究政治治理与城市系统之间的关系。我们构建了一个独特的历史面板数据集,该数据集测量了跨世纪的中国县域人口分布。利用差分识别策略,我们的研究结果表明,迁都后,各地与当时新建立的首都北京的距离对当地人口数量的影响变为显著的负效应。而且,这些效应在下一个朝代和现代中国依然存在。此外,研究结果表明,迁都对人口分布的影响是通过政治治理的两个主要渠道产生的:传递和国家安全。通过多种识别策略和稳健性检验,证明迁都与人口分布之间的因果关系是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
Pirate attacks and the shape of the Italian urban system 海盗袭击与意大利城市体系的形态
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104035
Antonio Accetturo , Michele Cascarano , Guido de Blasio

From the sixteenth to the early nineteenth century, coastal areas of Italy (especially, in the south-west) were subject to attacks by pirates launched from the shores of Northern Africa. This paper studies the long-run impact of these events. We show that in areas that were more exposed to raids, easier-to-defend but less productive locations ended up in being relatively more populated. The consequences of pirates’ attacks were still visible in the first part of the twentieth century and ceased to be statistically significant after the 1960s.

从十六世纪到十九世纪初,意大利沿海地区(尤其是西南部)一直遭受着从北非海岸发动的海盗袭击。本文研究了这些事件的长期影响。我们的研究表明,在那些更容易遭受袭击的地区,较易防御但生产力较低的地方最终人口相对较多。海盗袭击的后果在二十世纪上半叶依然明显,但在二十世纪六十年代之后,在统计意义上不再显著。
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引用次数: 0
The urban economics of retail 零售业的城市经济学
IF 3.1 2区 经济学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2024.104026
Ioulia V. Ossokina , Jan Svitak , Coen N. Teulings

Using property-level data from 327 larger shopping areas in the Netherlands, we show that the spatial structure of a shopping area resembles a monocentric city in miniature. Just like a monocentric city, a shopping area has a pronounced centre where the rents are the highest and the vacancy the lowest, and a negative retail rent gradient from this centre to the edges. The average retail rent gradient is −17% per 100 m distance, and the vacancy is one and a half times higher at the edge than in the centre. Our model gives insights into how shopping areas respond to downfall in demand, both in the short and long run. Our data, covering the Great Recession, from 2009 to 2012, lend support to these predictions.

利用荷兰 327 个大型购物区的物业数据,我们发现购物区的空间结构类似于一个单中心城市的缩影。就像单中心城市一样,一个购物区有一个明显的中心,在这个中心,租金最高,空置率最低,而从这个中心到边缘,零售租金呈负梯度。每 100 米的平均零售租金梯度为-17%,边缘的空置率是中心的 1.5 倍。从短期和长期来看,我们的模型都能揭示购物区如何应对需求下降。我们的数据涵盖了 2009 年至 2012 年的经济大衰退,为这些预测提供了支持。
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引用次数: 0
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Regional Science and Urban Economics
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