Effects of COVID-19 on flex route transit utilization: An interrupted time series analysis

IF 4.1 2区工程技术 Q2 BUSINESS Research in Transportation Business and Management Pub Date : 2024-10-24 DOI:10.1016/j.rtbm.2024.101230

Jingcai Yu , Shunchao Wang , Bingtong Wang , Wenquan Li , Tao Feng

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Abstract

The COVID-19 outbreak has exerted serious effects on the transportation system, especially public transport. Flex route transit (FRT), one of public transport, has shown significant advantages in transporting passengers during COVID-19 due to its high flexibility and relatively large cabin spaces. This study aims to estimate the effects of the lockdown and first lockdown ease on FRT utilization through interrupted time series analysis. A survey was conducted in Beijing to collect data regarding the daily FRT utilization of individuals, spanning from December 2019 to May 2020. Results indicated that FRT utilization was immediately reduced during the lockdown, and a decreased trend was observed. After the first lockdown ease was rolled out, FRT utilization showed a rising level and trend. Private car owners showed a lower dependence on FRT than non-car owners. The level of income exerted varying effects in a wide range of periods. FRT utilization among the higher income group was more likely to take effect than the lower income group. The study yields various policy implications for FRT operations during COVID-19 or other pandemics.

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COVID-19 对灵活路线公交利用率的影响：间断时间序列分析

COVID-19 的爆发对交通系统，尤其是公共交通造成了严重影响。在 COVID-19 期间，作为公共交通之一的弹性路线交通（FRT）因其高度的灵活性和相对较大的客舱空间，在运送乘客方面表现出明显的优势。本研究旨在通过间断时间序列分析估算封锁和首次封锁的难易程度对 FRT 利用率的影响。在北京进行了一项调查，收集了从 2019 年 12 月到 2020 年 5 月期间个人每日 FRT 利用率的数据。结果表明，在封锁期间，FRT 利用率立即下降，并呈下降趋势。在首次实施封锁缓解措施后，FRT 利用率呈上升水平和趋势。私家车主对快速公交的依赖程度低于非私家车主。收入水平在不同时期产生了不同的影响。高收入群体比低收入群体更有可能使用快速公交。这项研究对 COVID-19 或其他流行病期间的快速公交运营产生了各种政策影响。

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来源期刊

Research in Transportation Business and Management Multiple-

CiteScore

7.10

自引率

8.30%

发文量

175

期刊介绍： Research in Transportation Business & Management (RTBM) will publish research on international aspects of transport management such as business strategy, communication, sustainability, finance, human resource management, law, logistics, marketing, franchising, privatisation and commercialisation. Research in Transportation Business & Management welcomes proposals for themed volumes from scholars in management, in relation to all modes of transport. Issues should be cross-disciplinary for one mode or single-disciplinary for all modes. We are keen to receive proposals that combine and integrate theories and concepts that are taken from or can be traced to origins in different disciplines or lessons learned from different modes and approaches to the topic. By facilitating the development of interdisciplinary or intermodal concepts, theories and ideas, and by synthesizing these for the journal''s audience, we seek to contribute to both scholarly advancement of knowledge and the state of managerial practice. Potential volume themes include: -Sustainability and Transportation Management- Transport Management and the Reduction of Transport''s Carbon Footprint- Marketing Transport/Branding Transportation- Benchmarking, Performance Measurement and Best Practices in Transport Operations- Franchising, Concessions and Alternate Governance Mechanisms for Transport Organisations- Logistics and the Integration of Transportation into Freight Supply Chains- Risk Management (or Asset Management or Transportation Finance or ...): Lessons from Multiple Modes- Engaging the Stakeholder in Transportation Governance- Reliability in the Freight Sector