An evolutionary game analysis of new urbanization in mineral resource abundant regions in China

IF 10.2 2区经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Resources Policy Pub Date : 2024-10-31 DOI:10.1016/j.resourpol.2024.105377

Lijun Zeng , Wenjing Du , Jinfeng Wang , Weichen Hong , Jinsuo Zhang

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Abstract

The scientific new urbanization in mineral resource abundant regions (MRARs) in China is not only a guarantee for energy and resource security but also of great significance to realize strong sustainability. However, the new urbanization of MRARs in China is facing a series of difficulties due to the particularity of mineral resources. Therefore, to identify the policy foci of MRARs suitable for different new urbanization paths, this study conducts an evolutionary game analysis to find the urbanization evolution trends of MRARs. First, we established an asymmetric evolutionary game model to study the process of strategy selection between rural and urban residents in MRARs. Second, MATLAB was used to conduct numerical simulation to find the urbanization evolution trends in different types of MRARs. The main findings we obtained are as follows. (1) Environmental carrying capacity has a restrictive effect on the new urbanization in MRARs. (2) Socioeconomic foundations have a fundamental impact on the new urbanization in MRARs. (3) The policy intensity of “people-oriented” has an important influence on the new urbanization in MRARs. (4) Different types of MRARs greatly vary with new urbanization trends. Finally, we proposed some policy recommendations to effectively promote the new urbanization in MRARs.

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中国矿产资源丰富地区新型城镇化的演化博弈分析

在中国矿产资源丰富地区科学推进新型城镇化，不仅是能源和资源安全的保障，而且对实现可持续发展具有重要意义。然而，由于矿产资源的特殊性，中国矿产资源富集区的新型城镇化面临着一系列困难。因此，为了确定适合不同新型城镇化路径的 MRARs 政策重点，本研究通过进化博弈分析来寻找 MRARs 的城镇化演化趋势。首先，我们建立了一个非对称进化博弈模型来研究 MRARs 中城乡居民的策略选择过程。其次，使用 MATLAB 进行数值模拟，发现不同类型 MRARs 的城市化演化趋势。主要结论如下(1）环境承载力对 MRARs 的新型城市化具有限制作用。(2）社会经济基础对 MRARs 的新型城镇化具有根本性影响。(3）"以人为本 "的政策力度对 MRARs 的新型城镇化具有重要影响。(4）不同类型的 MRARs 在新型城镇化趋势上存在较大差异。最后，我们提出了一些有效推进 MRARs 地区新型城镇化的政策建议。

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来源期刊

Resources Policy ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-

CiteScore

13.40

自引率

23.50%

发文量

602

审稿时长

69 days

期刊介绍： Resources Policy is an international journal focused on the economics and policy aspects of mineral and fossil fuel extraction, production, and utilization. It targets individuals in academia, government, and industry. The journal seeks original research submissions analyzing public policy, economics, social science, geography, and finance in the fields of mining, non-fuel minerals, energy minerals, fossil fuels, and metals. Mineral economics topics covered include mineral market analysis, price analysis, project evaluation, mining and sustainable development, mineral resource rents, resource curse, mineral wealth and corruption, mineral taxation and regulation, strategic minerals and their supply, and the impact of mineral development on local communities and indigenous populations. The journal specifically excludes papers with agriculture, forestry, or fisheries as their primary focus.