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Strategic competition in lithium mining and refining: A multi-stage game theoretic model 锂矿开采与精炼的战略竞争:一个多阶段博弈论模型
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105823
Maxwell Brown, Mirali Seyedrezaei
In this work, we develop and apply a model of global lithium production that captures strategic behavior across mining and refining stages. We integrate multiple types of game formulations into a bi-level framework and calibrate the resulting system using a mathematical program with equilibrium constraints (MPEC); in doing so, the model aligns closely with observed data despite sparse information, while enforcing game-theoretic equilibrium conditions. First, we show that the strategic game setup (e.g., Cournot vs. Stackelberg) can impact the ability of the MPEC to match observed data, particularly for fringe and follower actors. Next, we estimate the deadweight loss from market power across upstream and downstream stages. Results show that market structure significantly influences production levels, pricing, and the allocation of surplus, with the most pronounced effects observed in the relatively more concentrated downstream refining markets. Finally, we simulate the effects of exogenous entry to highlight how new supply at mining and refining stages could affect incumbent producers’ profits and demonstrate differences in each actor’s market exposure.
在这项工作中,我们开发并应用了一个全球锂生产模型,该模型捕捉了采矿和精炼阶段的战略行为。我们将多种类型的游戏公式整合到一个双层框架中,并使用带有平衡约束(MPEC)的数学程序校准结果系统;在这样做的过程中,尽管信息稀疏,但该模型与观测数据密切一致,同时强制执行博弈论的平衡条件。首先,我们展示了战略博弈设置(例如,Cournot vs. Stackelberg)可以影响MPEC匹配观察数据的能力,特别是对于边缘和追随者参与者。接下来,我们估计了市场力量在上游和下游阶段的载重损失。结果表明,市场结构显著影响生产水平、定价和剩余配置,在相对集中度较高的下游炼油市场影响最为显著。最后,我们模拟了外生进入的影响,以突出采矿和炼油阶段的新供应如何影响现有生产商的利润,并展示了每个参与者的市场敞口的差异。
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引用次数: 0
From rents to rights: How resource dependence shapes democratic trajectories 从租金到权利:资源依赖如何塑造民主轨迹
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105849
Roland Brandtjen
This article offers a systematic, descriptive mapping of how natural resource dependence, economic development, and democratic governance co-vary across 167 countries from 2006 to 2024, with focused analysis for 2012–2021 when resource-rent data are available. Using a deliberately non-causal correlation design, it examines associations among the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index, GDP per capita (PPP, constant 2021 USD), and total natural resource rents (percent of GDP). The article makes three contributions. First, it updates global democracy–resource–development patterns for the current wave of democratic backsliding. Second, it shows that the strength and even the sign of democracy–resource correlations vary markedly across regions, consistent with the view that institutional quality and economic diversification mediate rentier and resource-curse dynamics. Third, it revisits modernization claims by documenting that democracy is strongly associated with higher prosperity levels globally yet often correlates with slower growth in mature democracies while remaining positively associated with growth in several developing regions. The conclusion outlines an institutionally moderated typology of resource–democracy configurations and highlights implications for governing fossil fuels and emerging “green transition” minerals.
本文对167个国家从2006年到2024年的自然资源依赖、经济发展和民主治理如何共同变化进行了系统的描述性映射,并对2012-2021年的资源租金数据进行了重点分析。采用非因果关联设计,研究了经济学人智库民主指数、人均GDP (PPP, 2021年不变美元)和总自然资源租金(占GDP的百分比)之间的关系。这篇文章有三点贡献。首先,它为当前的民主倒退浪潮更新了全球民主资源开发模式。其次,它表明民主-资源相关性的强度甚至迹象在地区之间存在显著差异,这与制度质量和经济多样化调节食利者和资源诅咒动态的观点一致。第三,它通过记录民主与全球更高的繁荣水平密切相关,但往往与成熟民主国家的缓慢增长相关,而与几个发展中地区的增长保持正相关,重新审视了现代化的主张。结论概述了一种制度上适度的资源民主配置类型,并强调了管理化石燃料和新兴“绿色转型”矿物的含义。
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引用次数: 0
Converting cocoa farms into gold mines – negotiations, compensation and outcomes for farmers in Ghana 把可可农场变成金矿——加纳农民的谈判、补偿和结果
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105843
Josephine Montford , Regina Birner , Christine Bosch , Boateng Kyereh
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引用次数: 0
Macroeconomic fluctuations in Sub-Saharan Africa: Role of external shocks 撒哈拉以南非洲的宏观经济波动:外部冲击的作用
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105846
Shakirudeen Taiwo, Josine Uwillingiye, Kwame Osei-Assibey
This paper presents new evidence on how external shocks impact macroeconomic fluctuations in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. In addition to the traditional sources of external shocks, such as commodity and financial fluctuations, this study examines the impact of productivity shocks from key trade partners within the SSA region. The findings stem from a Global Vector Autoregressive (GVAR) model encompassing 21 SSA nations, categorised based on oil-rich, other resource, and non-resource characteristics using a quarterly data series from 1990 to 2022. The research controls for shocks originating from commodities, foreign direct investment (FDI), and productivity shocks from major trading partners, including the United States (U.S.), the United Kingdom (U.K.), China, and Europe. The results show that trade integration is a significant conduit for transmitting external shocks, affecting GDP performance across the SSA region and within distinct resource-endowment groups. Empirical results highlight diverse contributions and varying impacts from the examined external shock sources, with productivity and financial shocks emerging as the most influential factors. Notably, the study identifies productivity and financial shocks from China, the U.S., and the Eurozone as the most influential factors and primary drivers of growth performance in the region. Moreover, the analysis emphasises the presence of heterogeneity in the effects of external shocks on growth performance across different country-resource categories. Productivity and financial shocks are found to have the most significant impact on the growth of non-resource countries.
本文提出了关于外部冲击如何影响撒哈拉以南非洲国家宏观经济波动的新证据。除了商品和金融波动等外部冲击的传统来源外,本研究还审查了来自南南非地区主要贸易伙伴的生产率冲击的影响。研究结果来自全球向量自回归(GVAR)模型,该模型包括21个SSA国家,根据石油丰富、其他资源和非资源特征进行分类,使用1990年至2022年的季度数据系列。该研究控制了来自大宗商品、外国直接投资(FDI)和主要贸易伙伴(包括美国、英国、中国和欧洲)的生产率冲击。结果表明,贸易一体化是传导外部冲击的重要渠道,影响了整个SSA地区和不同资源禀赋群体的GDP表现。实证结果强调了所研究的外部冲击来源的不同贡献和不同影响,其中生产力和金融冲击成为最具影响力的因素。值得注意的是,该研究将来自中国、美国和欧元区的生产率和金融冲击确定为该地区增长表现的最具影响力的因素和主要驱动因素。此外,分析强调外部冲击对不同国家-资源类别增长绩效的影响存在异质性。生产率和金融冲击对非资源型国家的增长影响最大。
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引用次数: 0
Formalization from above, resistance from below: Voices of struggle and survival in Ghana's contested artisanal and small-scale mining sector 自上而下的正规化,自下而上的抵抗:加纳有争议的手工和小规模采矿部门的斗争和生存之声
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105847
Seiba Issifu, Max D. Woodworth
Artisanal and small-scale mining (ASM)—a labor-intensive, low-tech form of mineral extraction and processing—has emerged as a critical livelihood for millions of households in Ghana since 1989, when the Small-Scale Mining Law (PNDL 218) was passed to lift the ban on it. There is consensus in the academic and policy discourses that formalization of ASM holds the potential to tackle the chronic illegality, informality, and environmental degradation in the sector while transforming the economy of mineral-rich communities. Applying a political ecology framework, this paper critically examines how Ghana's formalization initiatives and enforcement regimes marginalize and exclude ASM operators, causing them to respond with counter practices of resistance and subversion. The paper is based on interviews and focus group discussions (FGDs) with ASM operators in the Amansie South District as well as a critical review of relevant legal documents relating to mining in Ghana. The paper argues that ASM operators are not passive subjects of exclusionary mineral governance and militarized enforcement that put their livelihoods at risk. Rather they are active, resilient, and creative actors who resist, adapt to, and negotiate survival in a contested mining space. The findings highlight the need for a governance framework that departs from centralized legislation and militarized enforcement to one that considers participatory, culturally grounded, and locally legitimate approaches to formalization, and which aligns with the principles of inclusive development and justice.
自1989年通过《小规模采矿法》(PNDL 218)解除禁令以来,手工和小规模采矿(ASM)——一种劳动密集型、低技术含量的矿物开采和加工形式——已成为加纳数百万家庭的重要生计。在学术和政策论述中有一个共识,即ASM的正规化具有解决该部门长期非法、非正式和环境退化的潜力,同时改变矿产丰富社区的经济。运用政治生态框架,本文批判性地考察了加纳的正规化倡议和执法制度如何边缘化和排斥ASM运营商,导致他们以抵抗和颠覆的反实践做出回应。本文基于对Amansie南区ASM运营商的访谈和焦点小组讨论(fgd),以及对加纳采矿相关法律文件的批判性审查。该论文认为,ASM运营商不是排他性矿产治理和军事化执法的被动主体,这将使他们的生计面临风险。相反,他们是积极的、有弹性的、有创造力的行动者,他们抵制、适应并在竞争激烈的采矿空间中生存。研究结果强调,需要建立一个治理框架,从集中式立法和军事化执法转向考虑参与性、文化基础和地方合法的正规化方法,并与包容性发展和正义原则保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Coal hauling on public roads in East Kalimantan: Regulatory failures, overlapping authorities, and conflicts 东加里曼丹公共道路上的煤炭运输:监管失败,重叠的权力和冲突
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105848
Mohamad Nasir , Muhamad Muhdar , Laurens Bakker
This study examines the regulatory frameworks governing public road usage for coal transportation in East Kalimantan, Indonesia, to identify the underlying causes of conflict between mining companies and local communities. It employs a doctrinal analysis of regulations, complemented by purposive interviews and case studies conducted between 2021 and 2024. The findings reveal that inconsistencies and ambiguities within the legislation create significant gaps in the law. At the same time, inadequate enforcement by various authorities and the vulnerable position of communities contribute to protests, violence, and even fatalities. Therefore, this study proposes three recommendations: first, harmonization of legislation regarding the transportation of coal on public roads; second, enactment of technical regulations that clearly define the responsibilities of each governmental agency; and third, establishment of integrated enforcement bodies to ensure accountability in legal enforcement.
本研究考察了印度尼西亚东加里曼丹管理煤炭运输公共道路使用的监管框架,以确定矿业公司与当地社区之间冲突的根本原因。它采用了对法规的理论分析,并辅以2021年至2024年间进行的有目的的访谈和案例研究。调查结果显示,立法中的不一致和含糊不清造成了法律上的重大差距。与此同时,各当局执法不力以及社区的弱势地位助长了抗议、暴力甚至死亡。因此,本研究提出三点建议:一是协调公共道路上煤炭运输的立法;第二,制定技术法规,明确界定每个政府机构的职责;第三,建立综合执法机构,确保执法问责。
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引用次数: 0
Bibliometric and systematic analysis of literature on royalties in non-renewable resources 不可再生资源特许权使用费文献计量学与系统分析
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105829
Juan Ignacio Guzmán , Patricio Faúndez , Mariel Carrión
This paper presents a mixed-methods review of academic research on royalties in non-renewable resources. Drawing on 156 peer-reviewed articles published between 1978 and 2025, we combine bibliometric indicators (Bibliometrix), text mining (VOSviewer co-occurrence with binary counting), and directed qualitative content analysis to map the evolution, structure, and substantive focus of the field. The literature grows gradually over time (CAGR 1.52 % up to 2024) with a peak in 2023, and remains concentrated in a handful of journals. International collaboration is modest: 15.75 % of publications are multi-country. To gauge the sensitivity of scholarship to market conditions, we correlate annual publication counts with real commodity prices: the annual correlation with WTI oil is 0.38 (0.53 with a two-year lag), and with LME copper is 0.54 (0.67 with a three-year lag), indicating that publication surges tend to follow commodity booms with short lags, consistent with rent-seeking pressures and policy debates triggered by rising rents.
Term co-occurrence reveals three recurrent vocabularies that structure the field: (1) Royalties in fiscal regimes (comparisons of ad valorem, specific, and profit-based designs; revenue properties and cyclicality), (2) Royalty design and institutions (legal/contractual architectures, administrative mechanics, and project-level effects such as cut-off grades and resource sterilization), and (3) Economic and developmental outcomes (intergovernmental distribution, local development, governance). Bridging terms such as revenue and rate indicate partial overlap, yet the fiscal-design and developmental strands have advanced largely in parallel.
By integrating science-mapping with qualitative synthesis, the study systematizes a fragmented literature and highlights priorities for future work: stronger cross-country designs, closer linkage of fiscal design to developmental evaluation, and attention to royalty reform under the energy-transition and critical-minerals agenda.
本文对不可再生资源特许权使用费的学术研究进行了综合综述。利用1978年至2025年间发表的156篇同行评议文章,我们结合文献计量指标(Bibliometrix)、文本挖掘(VOSviewer共现与二进制计数)和定向定性内容分析来绘制该领域的演变、结构和实质性重点。随着时间的推移,文献逐渐增长(到2024年复合年增长率为1.52%),2023年达到顶峰,并且仍然集中在少数期刊上。国际合作是适度的:15.75%的出版物是多国的。为了衡量学术对市场条件的敏感性,我们将年度出版物数量与实际大宗商品价格联系起来:与WTI石油的年度相关性为0.38(滞后两年为0.53),与LME铜的年度相关性为0.54(滞后三年为0.67),表明出版物激增往往伴随着短期滞后的大宗商品繁荣,与寻租压力和租金上涨引发的政策辩论一致。术语共生揭示了构建该领域的三个反复出现的词汇:(1)财政制度中的特许权使用费(从价、特定和基于利润的设计的比较;收入属性和周期性);(2)特许权使用费设计和制度(法律/合同架构、行政机制和项目层面的影响,如截止等级和资源灭菌);(3)经济和发展成果(政府间分配、地方发展、治理)。财政收入和税率等衔接术语显示出部分重叠,但财政设计和发展方面在很大程度上是并行推进的。通过将科学制图与定性综合相结合,该研究将支离破碎的文献系统化,并强调了未来工作的优先事项:加强跨国设计,将财政设计与发展评估更紧密地联系起来,并关注能源转型和关键矿产议程下的权利金改革。
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引用次数: 0
Nostalgic bonds, affective strategies, and sustainable actions: Ethnographic insights from Legacy Mining Communities in Arizona 怀旧纽带、情感策略和可持续行动:来自亚利桑那州传统矿业社区的民族志见解
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105845
Felix Ampadu
Mining communities often develop strong emotional connections to their local environment due to social and economic interdependence. This ethnographic study explores how topophilia (love of place) and solastalgia (distress from environmental change) shape affective strategies of identity, belonging, and sustainability in two Legacy Mining Communities (LMCs) in Arizona – Clifton-Morenci and San Manuel. Drawing on 16 months of ethnographic fieldwork, this study examines how nostalgia and emotional attachment foster both continuity and resistance in post-mining contexts. Rather than focusing on the victimization of mining communities, this study emphasizes their agency and emotional ties that drive sustainability strategies. The analysis reveals that affective bonds are not passive sentiments but active forces that enable community revitalization and resilience. Understanding these emotional afterlives of extraction contributes to broader debates on sustainability transitions and post-industrial identity.
由于社会和经济的相互依存,采矿社区往往与当地环境产生强烈的情感联系。这项民族志研究探讨了亚利桑那州克利夫顿-莫伦西和圣曼努埃尔两个传统矿业社区(LMCs)的topophilia(对地方的热爱)和solastalgia(对环境变化的痛苦)如何塑造身份、归属感和可持续性的情感策略。通过16个月的民族志田野调查,本研究考察了怀旧和情感依恋如何在采矿后的环境中促进连续性和抵抗性。这项研究并没有关注矿业社区的受害情况,而是强调了推动可持续发展战略的他们的能动性和情感联系。分析表明,情感纽带不是被动的情绪,而是使社区恢复活力和弹性的积极力量。理解这些开采后的情感后遗症有助于更广泛地讨论可持续性转型和后工业身份。
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引用次数: 0
Mining legacy and uncertain futures: A comparative analysis of two Mexican resource communities 矿业遗产和不确定的未来:两个墨西哥资源社区的比较分析
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2026.105842
Ulises Pavel Martínez Romero , John P. Hayes
This paper examines how mining legacies shape the capacity of resource communities to envision and organize alternative futures. Through a comparative analysis of two Mexican mining towns, Mineral de la Luz (Guanajuato) and Cerro de San Pedro (San Luis Potosí), the study reveals contrasting responses to new mining projects: while Mineral de la Luz's deep-rooted mining identity led to negotiated acceptance, Cerro de San Pedro developed strong opposition through external alliances. Our findings demonstrate that community-based mining legacies do not uniformly determine community responses to new extractive projects. Instead, the interplay between historical legacies, information availability, external actors' participation, and corporate strategies shapes conflict outcomes and governance possibilities. The research contributes to understanding how path dependencies in resource communities can be either reinforced or punctuated, offering insights for local development alternatives beyond extractivism. This analysis bridges the gap between resource governance studies and memory studies and advances the theoretical framework of Evolutionary Governance Theory for understanding the complex relationship between past legacies and future possibilities in resource-dependent communities.
本文考察了采矿遗产如何塑造资源社区设想和组织替代未来的能力。通过对墨西哥两个矿业城镇,瓜纳华托矿业城和圣佩德罗矿业城(圣路易斯Potosí)的比较分析,该研究揭示了对新矿业项目的不同反应:德拉卢兹矿业城根深蒂固的矿业身份导致了谈判接受,而圣佩德罗矿业城则通过外部联盟形成了强烈的反对。我们的研究结果表明,社区采矿遗产并不能统一地决定社区对新采掘项目的反应。相反,历史遗产、信息可用性、外部参与者的参与和公司战略之间的相互作用形成了冲突的结果和治理的可能性。该研究有助于理解资源社区的路径依赖如何得到加强或加强,为当地发展提供了超越采掘的见解。这一分析弥补了资源治理研究和记忆研究之间的差距,并推进了进化治理理论的理论框架,以理解资源依赖社区中过去遗产与未来可能性之间的复杂关系。
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引用次数: 0
Supporting the return of mining? The role of collective memory and perceived impacts in post-extractive communities 支持采矿业的回归?集体记忆的作用和后采掘社区的感知影响
IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2025.105828
Francisco Carballo-Cruz, Luís Filipe Silva
Mine reactivation is increasingly pursued to meet critical mineral demand and revitalise post-industrial regions. Although social license to operate and mining impacts have received substantial attention in the literature, the socio-cultural factors shaping community acceptance of reactivation projects remain underexplored, especially in communities with strong mining legacies. In these contexts, collective memory and identity may play a crucial role in shaping local perceptions and community support. This study investigates how collective memory and identity influence community perceptions of mining impacts and support for mine reactivation. We focused on Borralha, a village in northern Portugal founded in the early twentieth century around tungsten mining, whose economy, social fabric, and identity have been deeply shaped by decades of extractive activity. Using a mixed-methods design, quantitative data from a resident survey were used to develop a PLS-SEM model to test hypothesized relationships. Qualitative data from focus groups were analysed through content analysis to contextualise and deepen the quantitative findings. Results show that collective memory and identity have a direct positive effect on perceptions of mining impacts, which significantly influence their support for mine reactivation. The findings indicate a significant indirect effect of memory and identity on support, mediated by impact perceptions. Qualitative findings further substantiate the quantitative findings. This study advances empirical understanding of how memory and identity shape perceptions of mining impacts and acceptance of reactivation, offering a rare model linking these factors in a European post-extractive context, with clear implications for policy design.
为了满足关键的矿物需求和振兴后工业区域,越来越多地进行矿山恢复活动。虽然社会许可经营和采矿影响在文献中得到了大量关注,但影响社区接受恢复项目的社会文化因素仍未得到充分探讨,特别是在具有强大采矿遗产的社区。在这些情况下,集体记忆和认同可能在塑造当地观念和社区支持方面发挥关键作用。本研究探讨了集体记忆和身份认同如何影响社区对采矿影响的看法和对矿山重新激活的支持。我们关注的是Borralha,这是葡萄牙北部的一个村庄,建于20世纪初,围绕钨矿而建,其经济、社会结构和身份都受到数十年采掘活动的深刻影响。采用混合方法设计,从居民调查中获得的定量数据用于开发PLS-SEM模型来检验假设的关系。通过内容分析对焦点小组的定性数据进行分析,以将定量结果置于背景中并深化。结果表明,集体记忆和认同对采矿影响感知有直接的正向影响,并显著影响其对矿山复垦的支持。研究结果表明,记忆和认同对支持有显著的间接影响,并由影响感知介导。定性研究结果进一步证实了定量研究结果。这项研究推进了对记忆和身份如何塑造对采矿影响的看法和对重新激活的接受度的实证理解,提供了一个罕见的模型,将这些因素联系在欧洲后开采背景下,对政策设计具有明确的影响。
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引用次数: 0
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