The horror of today and the terror of tomorrow: The role of future existential risks and present-day political risks in climate activism.

IF 3.2 2区 心理学 Q1 PSYCHOLOGY, SOCIAL British Journal of Social Psychology Pub Date : 2024-11-04 DOI:10.1111/bjso.12821
Mete Sefa Uysal, Nuria Martinez, Sara Vestergren
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Abstract

In response to the urgent global climate crisis, climate activism has risen as a potent force. Decision-making regarding climate collective action includes individuals' perceptions of the anticipated future existential risks of the climate crisis (risk of inaction) and present-day political risks of climate activism (risk of action). Our research, spanning four studies (two correlational surveys and two pre-registered experiments), focused on climate activism in Germany (N = 1027). We consistently showed that heightened politicized activist identification was associated with both confrontational and non-confrontational climate collective action across four studies. Furthermore, the anticipated existential climate risk was associated with non-confrontational climate action and present-day political risk with confrontational action. Politicized climate identity remained a robust predictor across different action tactics, while the content and temporality of risk (future existential vs. present-day political) in one's environment determined the transition between engagement in confrontational and non-confrontational climate action dynamically. Nevertheless, we did not find causal links between risk perceptions and collective action. We discuss our findings in line with ESIM (Elaborated Social Identity Model), and potential explanations for the lack of causal relationship and future directions for alternative methodologies and comprehensive conceptualization of risk perceptions are suggested.

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今天的恐怖与明天的恐怖:未来的生存风险和当今的政治风险在气候行动主义中的作用。
为应对紧迫的全球气候危机,气候行动主义已成为一股强大的力量。有关气候集体行动的决策包括个人对气候危机的预期未来生存风险(不作为风险)和气候行动主义的当前政治风险(行动风险)的看法。我们的研究横跨四项研究(两项相关调查和两项预注册实验),重点关注德国的气候行动主义(N = 1027)。我们的研究一致表明,在四项研究中,政治活动家认同的增强与对抗性和非对抗性气候集体行动都有关联。此外,预期存在的气候风险与非对抗性气候行动相关,而当前的政治风险与对抗性行动相关。在不同的行动策略中,政治化的气候认同仍然是一个强有力的预测因素,而个人所处环境的风险内容和时间性(未来的生存风险与当前的政治风险)则决定了参与对抗性和非对抗性气候行动之间的动态转变。然而,我们并未发现风险认知与集体行动之间存在因果关系。我们根据 ESIM(阐释社会认同模型)讨论了我们的发现,并提出了缺乏因果关系的潜在解释以及替代方法和风险认知综合概念化的未来方向。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
9.50
自引率
7.40%
发文量
85
期刊介绍: The British Journal of Social Psychology publishes work from scholars based in all parts of the world, and manuscripts that present data on a wide range of populations inside and outside the UK. It publishes original papers in all areas of social psychology including: • social cognition • attitudes • group processes • social influence • intergroup relations • self and identity • nonverbal communication • social psychological aspects of personality, affect and emotion • language and discourse Submissions addressing these topics from a variety of approaches and methods, both quantitative and qualitative are welcomed. We publish papers of the following kinds: • empirical papers that address theoretical issues; • theoretical papers, including analyses of existing social psychological theories and presentations of theoretical innovations, extensions, or integrations; • review papers that provide an evaluation of work within a given area of social psychology and that present proposals for further research in that area; • methodological papers concerning issues that are particularly relevant to a wide range of social psychologists; • an invited agenda article as the first article in the first part of every volume. The editorial team aims to handle papers as efficiently as possible. In 2016, papers were triaged within less than a week, and the average turnaround time from receipt of the manuscript to first decision sent back to the authors was 47 days.
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