Carrot first, stick second? Environmental policy-mix sequencing and green technologies

IF 12.9 1区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS Technological Forecasting and Social Change Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.techfore.2024.123835
Kinga B. Tchorzewska , Pablo del Rio , Jose Garcia-Quevedo , Ester Martinez-Ros
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Abstract

Eco-innovations are considered key in the transition towards a more sustainable economy. However, since there are several barriers to the adoption of eco-innovations, different instruments have been proposed to encourage their uptake, leading to instrument mixes. Analysis of these mixes has been scarce in the eco-innovation literature and mostly focused on static rather than dynamic combinations of instruments. This paper tries to cover this gap by assessing the sequencing of instruments to promote eco-innovation. To that aim we use a panel database of investments in green technologies by Spanish firms between 2010–2020. Our results show that the order in which the instruments are introduced (sequencing) affects the adoption of eco-innovation, although the effective sequencing effect slightly differs for different environmental technological innovation types (cleaner production vs. end-of-pipe). In both cases, using subsidies (“carrots”) first and then using environmental taxes (“sticks”) positively and significantly influence the adoption of environmental technologies. Results from heterogeneous analysis confirms that this is especially true for small and medium firms. Within carrots, it seems tax credits and subsidies are substitutes, whatever the sequence of their introduction is. These results have clear policy implications which cannot be derived from analyses of static policy mixes. They suggest that, if the aim is to promote the adoption of eco-innovations, carrots should be used first, and then sticks should be adopted. In addition, it warns against using tax credits and subsidies together, given their redundancy in promoting eco-innovation. If subsidies are introduced after tax credits have already been applied (or the other way around), substantial inefficiencies can be expected, increasing the costs of eco-innovation promotion without any added value in terms of effectiveness.
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胡萝卜第一,大棒第二?环境政策组合排序与绿色技术
生态创新被认为是向更可持续的经济过渡的关键。然而,由于采用生态创新存在若干障碍,人们提出了不同的工具来鼓励采用生态创新,从而产生了各种工具组合。在生态创新文献中,对这些组合的分析很少,而且大多集中在静态而非动态的工具组合上。本文试图通过评估促进生态创新的工具排序来弥补这一空白。为此,我们使用了 2010-2020 年间西班牙企业绿色技术投资的面板数据库。我们的研究结果表明,引入工具的顺序(排序)会影响生态创新的采用,但对于不同的环境技术创新类型(清洁生产与末端治理),有效的排序效应略有不同。在这两种情况下,先使用补贴("胡萝卜"),然后再使用环境税("大棒"),都会对环境技术的采用产生积极而显著的影响。异质性分析结果证实,这一点对中小型企业尤为适用。在 "胡萝卜 "的范围内,税收减免和补贴似乎是相互替代的,无论其引入的顺序如何。这些结果具有明确的政策含义,而这些含义无法从静态政策组合分析中得出。这些结果表明,如果要促进采用生态创新,应首先使用胡萝卜,然后再使用大棒。此外,鉴于税收减免和补贴在促进生态创新方面的冗余性,该报告警告不要同时使用税收减免和补贴。如果在税款减免(或相反)之后再引入补贴,预计会出现严重的低效,增加生态创新推广的成本,却不会带来任何效果上的附加值。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
21.30
自引率
10.80%
发文量
813
期刊介绍: Technological Forecasting and Social Change is a prominent platform for individuals engaged in the methodology and application of technological forecasting and future studies as planning tools, exploring the interconnectedness of social, environmental, and technological factors. In addition to serving as a key forum for these discussions, we offer numerous benefits for authors, including complimentary PDFs, a generous copyright policy, exclusive discounts on Elsevier publications, and more.
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