How oil prices impact the Taiwanese economy: Evidence from the stock market

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Abstract

Oil prices are volatile. How do oil prices affect Taiwanese industries? This paper investigates how oil price increases driven by shocks to global aggregate demand and to oil supply affect Taiwanese sectoral stock returns. It uses Hamilton's (2014) approach to divide oil price changes into portions driven by demand and supply factors. The results indicate that the semiconductor sector and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) are harmed by oil price increases. Since oil prices are often high and quick to change, these findings imply that TSMC should expedite its goal of switching from depending on fossil fuels to utilizing renewable energy.
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石油价格如何影响台湾经济?来自股市的证据
石油价格起伏不定。油价对台湾产业有何影响?本文研究了全球总需求和石油供应冲击导致的油价上涨如何影响台湾行业股票回报。本文采用 Hamilton(2014)的方法,将油价变化分为需求和供应因素驱动的两部分。结果表明,半导体行业和台湾半导体制造公司(TSMC)受到油价上涨的损害。由于油价经常居高不下且变化迅速,这些发现意味着台积电应加快实现从依赖化石燃料转向利用可再生能源的目标。
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