Co-defining a user-based desirable future for seismic alert systems with stakeholders: application to martinique, French west indies

IF 4.2 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-11-01 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104932
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Abstract

Since we cannot predict earthquakes, it is critical to better anticipate them and thus to save time in enabling timely implementation of appropriate protection measures. To this end, several types of tools based on real-time monitoring have been proposed over the past ten years, namely: Operational Earthquake (or Aftershock) Forecasting, (ii) Earthquake Early Warning and (iii) Rapid Response to Earthquakes systems. This paper assesses the opportunity to transfer these three socio-technical systems into operational tools for the territory of Martinique (French West Indies), and more generally for the Lesser Antilles regions.
The research design relies on an user-centered approach based on an in-depth three-steps consultation of stakeholders in the territory of Martinique, by implementing (i) an online survey, (ii) a targeted interview with key actors and finally (iii) a workshop bringing together all stakeholders. This sequential consultation approach enables to start from individual considerations and to progressively refine the diagnosis of the applicability of earthquake alerting tools, first for each type of entity, then for the territory as a whole. Coupled with an analysis of international experience in seismic alerting and the regional context of seismic risk governance, this leads to the elaboration of perspectives at three scales: (i) the local scale of Martinique, (ii) the regional scale of the French West Indies on one hand, and of Lesser Antilles on the other, and (iii) the international scale. In particular, the findings of this study emphasize the need for an “informational continuum” of decision support for practitioners before, during and after the occurrence of earthquakes and their aftershocks. This leads to a reconsideration of Operational Earthquake Forecasting, Earthquake Early Warning and Rapid Response to Earthquakes systems as intrinsically complementary, while not having the same level of operational applicability.
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与利益相关方共同确定基于用户的地震警报系统的理想未来:在法属西印度群岛马提尼克的应用
由于我们无法预测地震,因此必须更好地预测地震,从而节省时间,及时采取适当的保护措施。为此,过去十年中提出了几种基于实时监测的工具,即地震(或余震)业务预报,(ii) 地震预警和 (iii) 地震快速反应系统。本文评估了将这三个社会技术系统转化为马提尼克岛(法属西印度群岛)以及更广泛的小安的列斯群岛地区的业务工具的机会。研究设计依赖于以用户为中心的方法,该方法基于对马提尼克岛利益相关者的三步深入咨询,即实施 (i) 在线调查,(ii) 有针对性地采访主要参与者,以及 (iii) 将所有利益相关者聚集在一起的研讨会。这种循序渐进的磋商方法有助于从个体考虑出发,逐步完善对地震预警工具适用性的诊断,首先是针对各类实体,然后是针对整个领土。结合对地震预警方面的国际经验和地震风险治理的地区背景的分析,我们从三个尺度阐述 了观点:(i) 马提尼克岛的地方尺度,(ii) 法属西印度群岛和小安的列斯群岛的地区尺度,(iii) 国际尺度。这项研究的结果特别强调,在地震及其余震发生之前、期间和之后,需要为从业人员 提供 "信息连续体 "决策支持。这就促使我们重新考虑地震业务预报、地震预警和地震快速反应系统,它们在本质上 是互补的,但在业务适用性方面却不尽相同。
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来源期刊
International journal of disaster risk reduction
International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
8.70
自引率
18.00%
发文量
688
审稿时长
79 days
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.
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