The Potential of Internal Migration to Shape Rural and Urban Populations Across Africa, Asia, and Latin America

IF 4.6 2区 社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY Population and Development Review Pub Date : 2024-11-05 DOI:10.1111/padr.12676
Ashira Menashe‐Oren, Philippe Bocquier
{"title":"The Potential of Internal Migration to Shape Rural and Urban Populations Across Africa, Asia, and Latin America","authors":"Ashira Menashe‐Oren, Philippe Bocquier","doi":"10.1111/padr.12676","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Subnational divergence in the age and sex structures of populations can have far‐stretching consequences for development: from marriage markets to the potential for violence to economic growth. With urbanization and the demographic transition still underway, rural and urban populations continue to differ across low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent by which internal migration contributes to these differences, from 1970 to 2014 using estimates of migration between rural and urban sectors based on census data from 45 countries. We found that despite heavily delineated migration profiles by age and sex, internal migration does not alter sex and age structures of rural and urban populations. All the same, internal migration does increase urban growth in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean. In contrast, in Africa, internal migration has little leverage with the urban transition. Across the continents, there is a potential for de‐urbanization, driven by a rural/urban gap in fertility. As such, the rural population may continue to constitute a significant proportion of national populations, necessitating critical investments to ensure they are not left behind.","PeriodicalId":51372,"journal":{"name":"Population and Development Review","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":4.6000,"publicationDate":"2024-11-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Population and Development Review","FirstCategoryId":"90","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1111/padr.12676","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"DEMOGRAPHY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

Subnational divergence in the age and sex structures of populations can have far‐stretching consequences for development: from marriage markets to the potential for violence to economic growth. With urbanization and the demographic transition still underway, rural and urban populations continue to differ across low‐ and middle‐income countries. We examine the extent by which internal migration contributes to these differences, from 1970 to 2014 using estimates of migration between rural and urban sectors based on census data from 45 countries. We found that despite heavily delineated migration profiles by age and sex, internal migration does not alter sex and age structures of rural and urban populations. All the same, internal migration does increase urban growth in Asia and Latin America and the Caribbean. In contrast, in Africa, internal migration has little leverage with the urban transition. Across the continents, there is a potential for de‐urbanization, driven by a rural/urban gap in fertility. As such, the rural population may continue to constitute a significant proportion of national populations, necessitating critical investments to ensure they are not left behind.
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
国内移民塑造非洲、亚洲和拉丁美洲城乡人口的潜力
国家以下人口年龄和性别结构的差异会对发展产生深远的影响:从婚姻市场到暴力的可能性,再到经济增长。随着城市化和人口结构转型的不断深入,中低收入国家的城乡人口继续存在差异。我们利用基于 45 个国家人口普查数据的城乡人口迁移估算,研究了 1970 年至 2014 年期间国内人口迁移在多大程度上造成了这些差异。我们发现,尽管按年龄和性别划分的人口迁移特征非常明显,但国内迁移并没有改变农村和城市人口的性别和年龄结构。尽管如此,在亚洲、拉丁美洲和加勒比地区,国内移民确实增加了城市人口的增长。相比之下,在非洲,国内移民对城市转型的影响很小。在各大洲,由于城乡生育率的差距,存在着去城市化的可能性。因此,农村人口可能继续在国家人口中占相当大的比例,这就需要进行关键投资,以确保他们不被抛在后面。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 去求助
来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
4.00%
发文量
60
期刊介绍: Population and Development Review is essential reading to keep abreast of population studies, research on the interrelationships between population and socioeconomic change, and related thinking on public policy. Its interests span both developed and developing countries, theoretical advances as well as empirical analyses and case studies, a broad range of disciplinary approaches, and concern with historical as well as present-day problems.
期刊最新文献
Revisiting Women's Empowerment and Contraception The Globalization of International Migration? A Conceptual and Data‐Driven Synthesis Contraceptive Change and Fertility Transition The Next 2 Billion: Can the World Support 10 Billion People? The Potential of Internal Migration to Shape Rural and Urban Populations Across Africa, Asia, and Latin America
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1