Mathematical Modeling of the Co-Infection Dynamics of Dengue and Malaria Using Delay Differential Equations

IF 2.9 4区 工程技术 Q1 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES Advanced Theory and Simulations Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI:10.1002/adts.202400609
M. Prakash Raj, A. Venkatesh, K. Arun Kumar, M. Manivel
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Abstract

This study presents a comprehensive mathematical model to analyze the dynamics of co-infection between dengue and malaria using delay differential equations. The model investigates the transmission dynamics of both diseases, focusing on the stability of equilibrium points and the basic reproductive ratio, which measures the number of secondary infections caused by a single infected individual. A time-delay component is incorporated to account for the incubation periods, enhancing the model's realism. The study performs a detailed sensitivity analysis and global stability assessments, providing insights into the control and management of diseases. Numerical simulations are conducted to illustrate the effect of various transmission parameters on disease spread. This research highlights the importance of mathematical modeling in understanding co-infection dynamics and provides critical insights for public health interventions, particularly in regions where both diseases are endemic. The results emphasize the role of controlling transmission rates and the use of vector management strategies in mitigating disease outbreaks.

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利用延迟微分方程建立登革热和疟疾并发感染动力学数学模型
本研究提出了一个综合数学模型,利用延迟微分方程分析登革热和疟疾共同感染的动态。该模型研究了这两种疾病的传播动态,重点是平衡点的稳定性和基本生殖比(衡量单个感染者引起的二次感染数量)。模型中加入了时间延迟部分,以考虑潜伏期,从而增强了模型的真实性。该研究进行了详细的敏感性分析和全局稳定性评估,为疾病的控制和管理提供了见解。研究还进行了数值模拟,以说明各种传播参数对疾病传播的影响。这项研究凸显了数学建模在理解共同感染动态方面的重要性,并为公共卫生干预措施提供了重要启示,尤其是在两种疾病都流行的地区。研究结果强调了控制传播率和使用病媒管理策略在缓解疾病爆发方面的作用。
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来源期刊
Advanced Theory and Simulations
Advanced Theory and Simulations Multidisciplinary-Multidisciplinary
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
3.00%
发文量
221
期刊介绍: Advanced Theory and Simulations is an interdisciplinary, international, English-language journal that publishes high-quality scientific results focusing on the development and application of theoretical methods, modeling and simulation approaches in all natural science and medicine areas, including: materials, chemistry, condensed matter physics engineering, energy life science, biology, medicine atmospheric/environmental science, climate science planetary science, astronomy, cosmology method development, numerical methods, statistics
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